A director at GR Sarantis S.A. bought 34,097 shares at 10.128EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: high net cash position and strong FCFF yield (upgraded to BUY) • GTC: buys German residential portfolio worth EUR 448m • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: gross margin and wage costs weigh on the 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations; new signed contracts for defence and high-tech industries NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q24 highlights – solid, on the back of better-than-expected NIM • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 call takeaways – strong long-term ...
We have upgraded our rating for Aegean Airlines to BUY (from Hold), following the recent dip in the share price. We adjust our 12M price target (PT) to EUR 11.3/share, only slightly higher than the former level (EUR 11.0/share), driven mainly by incorporating a marginally more constructive outlook on fares next year. This reflects comments made by several airlines, which have reported in recent weeks, which are pointing towards a more constructive outlook for pricing, as persistent shortages of ...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 in line with our forecasts; solid trading update; 2025E outlook and 2025-27E strategy POSITIVE • Patria Bank: strong 3Q24 results POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q24 EBITDA 1-4% below our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Footshop (NOT RATED): solid 3Q24; 2024E guidance boosted POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: 3Q24 post-results webcast takeaways POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: ke...
Aegean's results were broadly in line with our estimates. The company flew 4% less ASK in 3Q24 compared to last summer. With a flat RASK, the revenue mirrored the ASK decline – slightly better than the 1% RASK contraction we had pencilled in. The ex-fuel CASK increased by 14%, driven by a combination of personnel costs and inefficiencies connected to groundings. This pushed the EBIT 27% lower yoy. Our 2024E forecast (where we pencil in the EBIT at EUR 205m) seems reasonable, in view of the 9M24 ...
HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: 3Q24 surprises slightly positively, but ytd Frostpunk 2 sales disappoint NEGATIVE • Sphera Group: small beat in 3Q24 – new Cioccolatitaliani franchise signed for Italy POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 – flat RASK, CASKX up 14%; 27% lower EBIT, on 4% lower ASK (in line) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q24 results and interim dividend NEUTRAL • OTE: 3Q24 results review – soft quarter, with flat yoy adjusted EBITDA, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 3Q24 results N...
HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: solid 3Q24 results, in line with our forecasts; future share price performance depends on growth guidance and/or capital distribution NEUTRAL • CCC: historically-best quarterly EBITDA 9% above our expectations, due to opex control POSITIVE • Dino Polska: 4-8% EBITDA beats in 3Q24, EBITDA back on the rise POSITIVE • InPost: 3Q24 in line with expectations; FY24E guidance upgrade POSITIVE • MOL: 3Q24 results – EBITDA in line with our and the consensus estimates NEUTRAL • Wizz...
HEADLINES: • Ilirija d.d.: ADRs growth pace cools, cost inflation persists (NOT RATED) • Migros: good set of operating results in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Kalekim: strong bottom-line performance in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Ford Otosan: 3Q24 results – quarterly margin improvement tempered by lower export guidance NEUTRAL • Tupras: 3Q24 results – net income beats the consensus; comment on the fire at the Izmit refinery NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 3Q24 – strong cargo and investments offset steep growth in staff cost...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
Solid 9-month execution – Sarantis announced solid 9-month results, growing revenues 11%, EBITDA 14% and EBIT 15%, all like-for-like, while adding some €59m in revenues and €5.5m in EBIT from Stella Pack in the period. The EBIT margin settled at 10.6%, up by 16bps yoy and above the targeted 10.2% for year-end. Q3’24 did see decelerating performance vs H1, mainly driven by higher costs vs Q3 last year, with like-for like EBIT down 5.8% on sequentially slower growth in revenues (+7.3% lfl). Howeve...
Solid 9-month execution – Sarantis announced solid 9-month results, growing revenues 11%, EBITDA 14% and EBIT 15%, all like-for-like, while adding some €59m in revenues and €5.5m in EBIT from Stella Pack in the period. The EBIT margin settled at 10.6%, up by 16bps yoy and above the targeted 10.2% for year-end. Q3’24 did see decelerating performance vs H1, mainly driven by higher costs vs Q3 last year, with like-for like EBIT down 5.8% on sequentially slower growth in revenues (+7.3% lfl). Howeve...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q24 results – strong NII delivery • mBank: underlying 3Q34 business delivery in line; beat on headline net profit due to tax charges NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 3Q24 results – minor miss on high credit risk charges, as corporate NPL ratio surges NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 3Q24, Biedronka at -2% lfl and stable margin erosion; price war continues POSITIVE • Komercni Banka: 3Q24 results – net profit largely in line with expectations • Medicover: 3Q24 operating numbers in l...
HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: ambitious, but achievable, 2025-28E strategy implies a return to growth and more of a focus on the corporate segment POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: 3Q24 results in line; key focus on 2025-28E strategic update • Santander Bank Polska: posts solid 3Q24 profits, as NII peaks and FX mortgage saga costs are very low for the quarter • OMV: 3Q24 results – CCS EBIT in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 3Q24 results in line with consensus NEUTRAL • Budimex: key takea...
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: profitability rebound slower than expected (downgraded to HOLD) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (21-27 October) • Georgia macro: early takes following the parliamentary election • Arcelik: weak set of results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • Budimex: 3Q24 EBIT marginally above our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Cimsa: 3Q24 conference call takeaways • PKO BP: three of four largest minority shareholders act jointly to call EGM...
HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: solid, good, 3Q24 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q24 in line, but we may be at the peak NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, 2% above consensus on one-offs; EBITDAaL excluding one-offs in line; 2024E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: full 3Q24 results below preliminaries NEGATIVE • CEZ: Babis promoting a buyout of the CEZ minorities POSITIVE • Eurowag: solid 3Q24 trading update POSITIVE • Georgia macro: NBG keeps ...
HEADLINES: • Footshop (FTSHP CP): a sneakerhead’s dream – soft coverage (NOT RATED) • Poland macro: weaker consumption boosts prospects for early rate cuts • Sarantis: 3Q trading update in line, FY24E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB signals a longer pause • PKO BP: CEO Midera gives the gist of key strategic directions in Puls Biznesu interview NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: Wakacje.pl and Itaka extend cooperation NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 9M24 trading update preview (due ou...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: 3Q24 traffic, margin descent underway • LPP: regulator initiates proceedings against the company, on the miscommunication of the departure from Russia NEGATIVE • GEVORKYAN: successfully issues EUR 7.5m from the second tranche of its green bond NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (14-20 October) • Sarantis: 3Q24 trading update preview (due on 23 October) • Budimex: 3Q24E EBITDA flat yoy (due on 28 October) • PKO BP: 3Q24E preview (due on 7 November) • OTP Ba...
The combination of continued capacity recovery and a weak macro backdrop is putting pressure on passenger yields. The more favourable fuel prices (and, for Turkish Airlines (THYAO), higher cargo yields) only partially compensate for cost pressures caused by the GTF engine issue, higher personnel costs, and general cost inflation. This means that margins are beginning to compress from the often very high levels we have seen in the past two-to-three years. Among the four airlines that we cover, we...
HEADLINES: • Greek oil refiners: need a little time to shake things up (HELLENiQ Energy downgraded to HOLD, Motor Oil Hellas stays BUY) • VIGO Photonics: 3Q24 sales down 5% yoy, to PLN 15.7m NEGATIVE • Allegro: announces another change in CEO post NEGATIVE • InPost: acquisition of remaining 70% stake in Menzies for GBP 60m POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from an interview with the CFO NEUTRAL • Polish media: TVN put on sale for PLN 5bn, according to Newsweek NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 3Q24E prev...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: licence to yield (reinitiating coverage with a BUY) • Turkish Airlines: 3Q24 traffic - ASK up 5% yoy NEUTRAL • Aegean Airlines: 3Q24 traffic - ASK down 1% yoy NEUTRAL • Richter: licences in a new biosimilar candidate from China’s Bio-Thera POSITIVE • Eurocash: creates a purchase group POSITIVE • Dom Development: advance dividend of PLN 6.0/share POSITIVE • Orange Polska: 3Q24E – 1% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 23 October) • Short News (CPS, BOCHGR)
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