A turbulent 2025e – We have moderately lowered our 2025 revenue forecast to €1.84bn (up 3.8% yoy) and reduced our bottom-line estimate by c2% to €139mn (+7% yoy), while maintaining both our load factor (82.5%) and EBITDA forecast (€422mn, +4% yoy). These revisions capture the two-speed nature of 2025: robust H1 pricing and meaningful FX gains offset by Q3 softness and an anticipated Q4 pullback on a demanding comp base. At the same time, Aegean continues to push significant capacity growth into ...
A turbulent 2025e – We have moderately lowered our 2025 revenue forecast to €1.84bn (up 3.8% yoy) and reduced our bottom-line estimate by c2% to €139mn (+7% yoy), while maintaining both our load factor (82.5%) and EBITDA forecast (€422mn, +4% yoy). These revisions capture the two-speed nature of 2025: robust H1 pricing and meaningful FX gains offset by Q3 softness and an anticipated Q4 pullback on a demanding comp base. At the same time, Aegean continues to push significant capacity growth into ...
HEADLINES: • LPP: profitable growth (stays BUY) • Premier Energy: M&A-driven growth on track (upgraded to BUY) • Polish telecoms: Revolut enters the Polish mobile market NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 2H25 in line with guidance; FY26 EBITDA and earnings growth guidance of 9%+ and 25%+, 2025-30E EBTDA CAGR of 9%+ POSITIVE • CEZ: cabinet approves step to lower utility bills NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB softens its hawkish tone • OPAP: EGM for merger with Alwyn set for 7 January; preference shares scrapped...
HEADLINES: • Eurocash: key takeaways from the strategy presentation NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro launches C2X locker service NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from BDX's consortium selected in PKP PLK tender NEUTRAL • Theon International: signs its largest ever contract, worth EUR 1bn, with OCCAR POSITIVE • Mavi: strong beat in 3Q25 results POSITIVE • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: wins 10-year contract to operate advertising at Prince Mohammad bin Abdulaziz Airport (PMIA) in Madinah POSIT...
HEADLINES: • XTB S.A.: morphing into a Pan-European super app (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Eurocash: new strategy aiming at 2027E EBIT of PLN 600m POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales growth accelerates to 8.2% yoy POSITIVE • Budimex: PLN 276m bid from BDX consortium scores highest in tender for district heat network construction NEUTRAL • 4iG: signs strategic partnership agreements in Türkiye POSITIVE • 4iG: sells 4iG Broadcast Infrastructure NEUTRAL • Short News (4iG)
HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m • Auto Partner: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 1.1bn offer selected by PKP PLK POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (28 November-4 December) • Postcards from Prague • Dino • Enea • Warsaw Stock Exchange • CEZ • Banca Transilvania • BRD-GSG • Cimsa • Akcansa • Artea Bankas • Ignitis • NLB Group • Mavi: 3Q25E earnings preview (due out 10 December)
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: FY 1H26 financial results review and conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: signs Social Agreement for 2026-27 with trade unions POSITIVE • Budimex: GDDKiA cancels selection for Starogard Gdański bypass NEGATIVE • CEZ: minority shareholders group suing State for WFT damages NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2025: Postcards from Prague • CD Projekt • cyber_Folks/Shoper • Orange Polska • Text • Vercom • 4iG • Magyar Telekom • Titan
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: NBP cuts again, with inflation back at target • Wirtualna Polska: sells Invia Flights Germany at EUR 42.3m EV, 9.0x 2024 EV/EBITDA POSITIVE • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Conference 2025: Postcards from Prague • Allegro • Asseco Poland • Benefit Systems • Budimex • CCC • Kety • PGE • Tauron • Primoco UAV • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A. • MedLife • Mavi • Georgia Capital • GEVORKYAN • Krka • Medicover
HEADLINES: • Optima Bank: buying the dip (stays BUY) • CTP: great story, fairly valued (downgraded to HOLD) • PCF Group: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.37%, while WP TV at 0.46% in November 2025 NEUTRAL • Budimex: plans to pay out 100% of net income in dividends in 2025-29E NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: finalises agreement with Microsoft on licence for Game Pass POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: October Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: too cheap to ignore (stays BUY) • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA over 2x above our estimate; order intake up 24% yoy POSITIVE • CCC: final 3Q25 EBITDA spot on prelims NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Polish banks: President signs bill on higher CIT for the banks • Murapol: main shareholder sells 20.5% of shares in ABB NEUTRAL • Primoco UAV: promising tactical UAV producer (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • CTP: enters...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • Doosan Skoda Power: 3Q25 weak; 2025E guidance lowered for both revenues and profitability NEGATIVE • Poland macro: latest data add evidence of industry-led growth • CD Projekt: changes policy for diversification of surplus cash NEUTRAL • Czech Republic macro: November sentiment somewhat weak • 4iG: 3Q25E preview – 12% yoy reported EBITDA increase expected (due on 28 November) • Athens Exchange Group: strong 3Q25 results, due mostly to post trading segment POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 3Q2...
A director at GR Sarantis S.A. bought 27,000 shares at 12.150EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clea...
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: value á la carte (upgraded to BUY) • Diagnostyka: 3Q25 results in line with expectations; strong demand continues POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 3Q25 EBITDA below our forecasts, following weaker gross margin and higher SG&As NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 3Q25 results call NEGATIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Tauron: 3Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: key takeaways from the 3Q25 results call NEUTRAL...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: summer performance ahead of our estimates (upgraded to BUY) • Elm: clarity is on its way (stays BUY) • AmRest: 3Q25 below expectations NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q25 EBITDA above our expectations and the market by 3-6% NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q25 highlights before the call - good quarter with an 8% beat to our estimate, 2026E guidance POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q25 results beat, on record-high refining output POSITIVE • Romgaz: 3Q25 results - net income beat our expec...
We have increased our forecasts for Aegean Airlines (Aegean) for 2025E (by 8% on the EBIT level), following a better performance in the summer than we had been pricing in. We still expect to see some margin pressure in 2026E, mainly as a function of: 1) a higher number of parked aircraft yoy; and 2) no free carbon allowances starting from January 2026E. Still, Aegean continues to generate substantial cash flows, and benefits from a modern fleet, the extension of the tourism flows into the should...
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