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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; LAMDA GA; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; BOCH LN

HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: margins and fares normalising, after stellar 2023 (stays HOLD) • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (9-15 September) • Bank of Cyprus: AGM approves delisting from the LSE, and relisting on the ATHEX POSITIVE • Short News (CEZ, RICHT)

Jakub Caithaml ... (+2)
  • Jakub Caithaml
  • Peter Palovic

Aegean Airlines: margins and fares normalising, after stellar 2023 (st...

We maintain our HOLD rating on Aegean Airlines, adjusting our 12M price target (PT) to EUR 11.0/share, implying 2% upside. In 3Q24E, we expect the RASK to drop 3% yoy, driven by high competition, industry-wide pressure on fares, and the high base of last year. This will likely put some pressure on profitability. We pencil in the 3Q24E EBITDA margin to fall 4ppts yoy, to 31%, driven by a weaker RASK and higher ex-fuel unit costs (due mainly to GTF engine inspections) in the key summer quarter. De...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KTY PW; AEGN GA; LPP PW

HEADLINES: • Kety: casting a wider net abroad (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Aegean Airlines: 2Q24 – pressure on EBITDA less severe than we anticipated POSITIVE • LPP: 2Q24E results preview – EBITDA growth deceleration to 8% yoy (due on 25 September)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: WPL PW; ASELS TI; CAR PW; CAR PW; PCF PW; SPL PW; KAP LI

HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: WP boosts media margins (stays BUY) • Aselsan: 2Q24 IAS 29 results – strong execution POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 2Q24 EBITDA 10% above our forecast and 5% above the consensus, on higher margin POSITIVE • Inter Cars: August sales growth at 8% yoy, in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: new work-for-hire agreement with Krafton; PLN 7m write-off on Project Red POSITIVE • Santander Bank Polska: strategic investor wants to reduce its stake • Kazatomprom: obtains...

Jakub Caithaml
  • Jakub Caithaml

WOOD Flash - Aegean Airlines: to invest up to EUR 50m in Volotea, coul...

Aegean Airlines has announced that it may be buying up to a 21% stake in Volotea, investing up to EUR 50m via convertible notes, in two tranches of Volotea capital increases. At this stage, we see this mostly as a financial investment. That said, the two carriers will also be cross-selling each other’s tickets, and Volotea may use Aegean’s maintenance facilities and its flight simulators. Privately-owned, we have not found Volotea's recent financial statements, so we cannot assess the implied mu...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Czech PX index in positive te...

EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DNP PW; BGEO LN; KAP LI; BRISA TI; GPW PW; BDX PW; BFT PW;...

HEADLINES: Dino Polska: 5-13% EBITDA miss in 2Q24, first yoy EBITDA drop since IPO NEGATIVE Bank of Georgia: 2Q24 highlights NEUTRAL Kazatomprom: 2Q24 results and 2025E production guidance POSITIVE Brisa: bottom line hit by financing costs, taxes; FY24 demand outlook remains challenging NEUTRAL Warsaw Stock Exchange: 2Q24 results NEGATIVE Budimex: 2Q24 results fully in line with the prelims NEUTRAL Benefit Systems: earnings call takeaways – supportive 2025E profitability outlook for Poland NEUTR...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MGROS TI; NRP NA; TLV RO; TKNSA TI; AKCNS TI; TL Macro; NL...

HEADLINES: • Migros: solid operating results in 2Q24 POSITIVE • NEPI Rockcastle: 1H24 – robust NOI growth and strong tenant sales POSITIVE • Banca Transilvania: 2Q24 bottom-line beat on higher trading income and lower provisions booked POSITIVE • Teknosa: weak set of results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • Akcansa: 2Q24 conference call takeaways • Türkiye macro: CBT reaffirms prolonged pause • NLB Group: threshold for Addiko acquisition not met, plan shelved NEGATIVE • Bank Pekao and Commerzbank: notify Nati...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CCOLA TI; HSBK LI; BOCH LN; CCC PW; DNP PW; KAP LI

HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: mixed results in 2Q24; 2024E guidance revised downwards NEGATIVE • Halyk Bank: 2Q24 highlights – quarter in line, margin makes up for soft COR and fee growth • Bank of Cyprus: to hold EGM on 13 September • CCC: to purchase 2.5% Modivo shares for PLN 100m NEUTRAL • Dino: 2Q24E preview – 4% yoy EBITDA erosion expected (due on 22 August) • Kazatomprom: 2Q24E results preview (due on 26 August) NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ESLT IT; AQ RO; IGN1L LH; DIGI RO; ETEL EY; PL Macro; RO M...

HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 2Q24 results – strong growth, and improved cash flows and margins POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: earnings remain on target for FY24E POSITIVE • Ignitis Group: raises FY24E adjusted EBITDA guidance after the 2Q24 results POSITIVE • DIGI Communications: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Telecom Egypt: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Poland macro: flash GDP surprises positively • Romania macro: 2Q GDP flash estimate underperfo...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ALR PW; EBS AV; TOASO TI; ETE GA; NLBR SV; KAP LI; WIZZ LN...

HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: posts strong 2Q24 and upgrades medium-term COR outlook POSITIVE • Alior Bank: management board nominations POSITIVE • Erste Banks: books solid 2Q24; guides for 2024E DPS at an attractive level; awaiting opening conclusions from the new CEO POSITIVE • Tofas: highly weak set of results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • National Bank of Greece: 2Q24 highlights – positive 2H24E, with guidance upgrade • NLB Group: solid print in 2Q24, beating estimates, due to release of provisions POSITIVE...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greek ASE – best performer in July

EME Equity Market – July 2024 Greece the biggest winner, while Poland the clear loser in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.1% in EUR terms and 0.3% in USD terms in July. The Greek ASE Index posted the best performance for the month, advancing by 5.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a broadly similar performance in Hungary, Czechia and Romania (+ 2.9%, 2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Turkish ISE30 Index declined by 1.6% mom in EUR terms, but the clear loser was the Polis...

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO SHOPER SA
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: RBI AV; EXAE GA; SAB1L LH; AKBNK TI; BDX PW; SOLUTION AB; ...

HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: posts solid 2Q24 POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: good results delivery in 2Q24 POSITIVE • Siauliu Bankas: high opex drags net profit down in 2Q24, but some positives NEUTRAL • Akbank: 2Q24 highlights – interest rate risk plays out • Budimex: earnings call takeaways – 2024E outlook reiterated NEUTRAL • Solutions by STC: 2Q24 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Borouge/OMV: sign agreement, along with ADNOC and Borealis, with Wanhua Chemical Group for ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MIL PW; BDX PW; EMEA Airlines; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; ...

HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: 2Q24 – big beat on headline profit, underlying results largely in line NEUTRAL • Budimex: preliminary 2Q24 EBIT in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • EMEA airlines: 2Q24 traffic; summertime sadness • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (22-28 July) • Text: secures new (fifth) patent in the US POSITIVE • Arcelik: change of CFO NEUTRAL • Greek banks: 2Q24E previews (reporting season starts on 31 July) POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q24E preview – flat adjusted EBITD...

Jakub Caithaml ... (+2)
  • Jakub Caithaml
  • Peter Palovic

WOOD Flash – EMEA airlines: 2Q24 traffic; summertime sadness

For the European airlines, the past two months have been marked by concerns over pricing, as July demand surprised on the downside. Difficult weather, ATC capacity not keeping up with the industry growth, and the CrowdStrike software glitch all led to elevated levels of long delays and non-completions, which is weighing on customer satisfaction and which may be another drag on profitability. A number of airlines have published profit warnings (perhaps most notably Ryanair, which said, last week,...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: SPL PW; OPL PW; HU Macro; TL Macro; MGROS TI

HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: posts solid 2Q24 results POSITIVE • Orange Polska: 2Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 4% yoy, 1% above the consensus; 2024E EBITDAaL guidance raised POSITIVE • Hungary macro: MNB cuts by 25bps, to 6.75% • Türkiye macro: CBT on firm hold • Migros: sells entire stake in Ramstore Kazakhstan LLC POSITIVE

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KAP LI; AEGN GA; MGROS TI

HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: to face new tax regime in 2025 and 2026 NEGATIVE • Aegean Airlines: 2Q24 ASK up 10% yoy, 2Q24E RASK may be flat or slightly lower yoy • Migros: real estate sale in Antalya NEUTRAL • Short News (CDR)

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: another positive month for most EM...

EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...

Natalia Svyriadi
  • Natalia Svyriadi

Aegean Airlines | Flying high

Another upgrade on more resilient yields – 2024 looks set to be far more resilient than embedded in our previous estimates, given the strong demand and reasonable capacity additions in the remainder of the year. The improved outlook is manifested in our upgraded 2024e, where we fine tune our unit revenue assumption now envisaging flat yields yoy. On the cost side, we factor in the agreement with Pratt & Whitney on a compensation scheme for the grounding of the Airbus Family neo fleet, underlying...

Natalia Svyriadi
  • Natalia Svyriadi

Aegean Airlines | Flying high

Another upgrade on more resilient yields – 2024 looks set to be far more resilient than embedded in our previous estimates, given the strong demand and reasonable capacity additions in the remainder of the year. The improved outlook is manifested in our upgraded 2024e, where we fine tune our unit revenue assumption now envisaging flat yields yoy. On the cost side, we factor in the agreement with Pratt & Whitney on a compensation scheme for the grounding of the Airbus Family neo fleet, underlying...

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