reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CZG CP; PGSUS TI; ALE PW; ECH PW; APR PW; HSBK LI
HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group SE: full metal jacket (stays BUY) • Pegasus Airlines: another good year (stays HOLD) • Allegro: 2Q24 above expectations, but growth deceleration guided for 3Q24E NEUTRAL • Echo Investment: 2Q24 ahead of PAP consensus expectations • Auto Partner: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: announces programme to buy back up to USD 50m of its GDRs
- Jakub Caithaml
- Peter Palovic
Pegasus Airlines: another good year (stays HOLD)
We have increased our 12M price target (PT) for Pegasus to TRY 248/share, while maintaining our HOLD rating. After two years of stellar margins, 2024E is shaping up to be another good year. We expect Pegasus to fly 13% more ASK, while keeping its RASK flat yoy (lower fares offset by a higher load factor). Pegasus remains one of the lowest unit cost producers globally. Its efficiency is underpinned by its modern neo fleet, which is not affected by the P&W GTF engine issue – an important competiti...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; LAMDA GA; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; BOCH LN
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: margins and fares normalising, after stellar 2023 (stays HOLD) • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (9-15 September) • Bank of Cyprus: AGM approves delisting from the LSE, and relisting on the ATHEX POSITIVE • Short News (CEZ, RICHT)
- Jakub Caithaml
- Peter Palovic
Aegean Airlines: margins and fares normalising, after stellar 2023 (st...
We maintain our HOLD rating on Aegean Airlines, adjusting our 12M price target (PT) to EUR 11.0/share, implying 2% upside. In 3Q24E, we expect the RASK to drop 3% yoy, driven by high competition, industry-wide pressure on fares, and the high base of last year. This will likely put some pressure on profitability. We pencil in the 3Q24E EBITDA margin to fall 4ppts yoy, to 31%, driven by a weaker RASK and higher ex-fuel unit costs (due mainly to GTF engine inspections) in the key summer quarter. De...
- Research Team
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash - Aegean Airlines: to invest up to EUR 50m in Volotea, coul...
Aegean Airlines has announced that it may be buying up to a 21% stake in Volotea, investing up to EUR 50m via convertible notes, in two tranches of Volotea capital increases. At this stage, we see this mostly as a financial investment. That said, the two carriers will also be cross-selling each other’s tickets, and Volotea may use Aegean’s maintenance facilities and its flight simulators. Privately-owned, we have not found Volotea's recent financial statements, so we cannot assess the implied mu...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Czech PX index in positive te...
EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
Wizz Air Holdings: 1 director
A director at Wizz Air Holdings bought 13,350 shares at 1,273p and the significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearl...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ESLT IT; AQ RO; IGN1L LH; DIGI RO; ETEL EY; PL Macro; RO M...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 2Q24 results – strong growth, and improved cash flows and margins POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: earnings remain on target for FY24E POSITIVE • Ignitis Group: raises FY24E adjusted EBITDA guidance after the 2Q24 results POSITIVE • DIGI Communications: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Telecom Egypt: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Poland macro: flash GDP surprises positively • Romania macro: 2Q GDP flash estimate underperfo...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: GSPARK HB; DIGI RO; ETEL EY; SNG RO; PGSUS TI; PGSUS TI; C...
HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: 2Q24 – steady results, guidance reviewed slightly upwards • DIGI Communications: 2Q24 results – adjusted EBITDA up 16% yoy, 1% above our estimate POSITIVE • Telecom Egypt: 2Q24 results review – EBITDA up 40% yoy, 7% above our estimate POSITIVE • Romgaz: 2Q24 results NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q24 – RASK (up 4% yoy) ahead of our and the consensus estimates POSITIVE • Pegasus Airlines: erratum • Georgia Capital: takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • DataWa...
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – Pegasus Airlines: 2Q24 – RASK (up 4% yoy) ahead of our an...
Pegasus has managed to reverse the negative RASK trend of the first quarter, delivering a 4% higher RASK yoy in 2Q24. This was driven by a materially stronger load factor yoy, as well as a good ancillary take up, which offset the pressure on passenger yields (the international passenger yield was down to EUR 68/pax, from EUR 75/pax in 2Q23). The company has maintained its guidance of a flat RASK, a mid-to-high single digit higher ex-fuel CASK (CASKx), and a 28-30% EBITDA margin for 2024E. Follow...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PGSUS TI; AQ RO; DAT PW; EME Strategy – MSCI
HEADLINES: • Pegasus Airlines: 2Q24 – a beat on pricing POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: on track to meet our FY24E forecasts after 2Q NEUTRAL • DataWalk: preliminary 2Q24 results – sales down 57% yoy, to PLN 4.49m NEGATIVE • EME Strategy: MSCI – August QIR results • Short News (BFT)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; PEO PW; CCC PW; LOGO TI; CEZ CP; CTPNV NA; MTELEK...
HEADLINES: • Trade Estates: Greek retail parks – a dividend growth story (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Wizz Air: thrust issues (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: posts bottom line slightly below expectations, NPL ratio down to below 5%, solid 19%+ ROE intact NEUTRAL • CCC: 12% EBITDA beat in 2Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 2Q24 results – strong margin recovery, FY24E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • CEZ: 2Q earnings beat, EBITDA guidance up 2-3%, but net guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • CTP:...
CEZ CEZ AS
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
PCF PCF GROUP SA
CTPNV CTP NV
SHO SHOPER SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
- Jakub Caithaml
- Peter Palovic
Wizz Air: thrust issues (stays BUY)
Wizz Air’s unit profitability is struggling to take off, towards the pre-pandemic levels. Instead, the stock has plunged, following the latest guidance cut, last week. We had been sceptical that the former guidance was attainable. Now, our concern is that the new guidance could still prove too ambitious (especially the ex-fuel CASK (CASKX) growth staying contained in single digits in FY25E). This is problematic, as Wizz needs to work on winning back its credibility and the market’s trust – and a...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy; RICHT HB; TUPRS TI; THYAO TI; ARABIAND...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: how strong are the recession signals? • Richter: well-rounded 2Q24 beat vs. the consensus POSITIVE • Tupras: 2Q24 results and dividend announcement POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q24 – RASK up 1% and CASKX up 8% yoy, driving margins lower from peak levels, as expected NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 2Q24 results below expectations NEGATIVE • Air Astana Group: 2Q24 in line, but 1H24 EBIT and FCFE both down yoy, and VietJet entry into Kazakhstan a risk NEUTRAL • KazMuna...
- Klaus Breitenbach
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 08/02/2024
The Stoxx 600 gained just 1.1% in July after shedding 1.3% in June, driven by the SMI (+2.5%) and the Footsie 100 (+2.7%). With business sentiment indicators continuing to weaken, defensive stocks outperformed cyclicals in July, and many healthcare stocks were among the best performers of the Stoxx 600. Long-term interest rates have fallen sharply (probably too much), but this has not benefited tech and luxury goods stocks, penalised by their disappointing results publications. - ...
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
ATO ATOS SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
BON BONDUELLE SCA
BCP BANCO COMERCIAL PORTUGUES S.A.
NEX NEXANS SA
GLB GLANBIA PLC
INH INDUS HOLDING AG
BPOST BPOST SA
BRNL BRUNEL INTERNATIONAL N.V.
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
ALKAL KALRAY SA
CLA CLARANOVA SE
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
AG1 AUTO1 GROUP
BLV BELIEVE SA
FUR FUGRO NV
EBUS EBUSCO HLDG NV
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
- Klaus Breitenbach
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 02/08/2024
Le Stoxx 600 ne progresse que de 1,1% en juillet après sa baisse de 1,3% en juin, tiré par le SMI (+2,5%) et le Footsie 100 (+2,7%). Avec la poursuite du fléchissement des indicateurs de climat des affaires, les défensives ont surperformé les cycliques en juillet, et de nombreuses valeurs Santé sont présentes parmi les meilleures performances du Stoxx 600. Les taux d’intérêt longs ont nettement reflué (sans doute trop) sans que cela profite aux valeurs de la Tech ou du Luxe qui ont s...
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
ATO ATOS SE
TPE PVA TEPLA AG
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
BON BONDUELLE SCA
BCP BANCO COMERCIAL PORTUGUES S.A.
NEX NEXANS SA
GLB GLANBIA PLC
INH INDUS HOLDING AG
BPOST BPOST SA
BRNL BRUNEL INTERNATIONAL N.V.
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
ALKAL KALRAY SA
CLA CLARANOVA SE
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
AG1 AUTO1 GROUP
BLV BELIEVE SA
FUR FUGRO NV
EBUS EBUSCO HLDG NV
FLE PEGASUS ENTREPRENEURIAL ACQUISITION CO EURO BV
- Olfa Taamallah
- Yan Derocles
Wizz Air : Overblown correction offers good entry point
>One-off impact relating to wet lease and slight pricing pressure account for guidance adjustment - The performance in Q1 was disappointing with net profit of only € 1.2m (vs our forecast of € 58m and the consensus of € 99m) and a downward revision of € 150m to the full-year guidance with net profit now expected in the € 350-450m range. This stems mainly from i/ more pronounced inflation in unit costs ex. fuel (in Q1 at 8.2% vs our forecast of 6.3%) related to a los...
- Gabor Bukta
Cautious consumers disappoint EU airline industry
We revisited our model following Wizz Air’s fiscal 2025 Q1 earnings results. We cut our 12m TP to 25 GBP/sh from 33 GBP/sh, implying a 69% upside potential. Lowered TP reflects the softer than expected fare environment and the downgraded net profit guidance of the Company. The management now sees this in the range of between EUR 350-450mn, but our forecast is slightly below the lower end of the range at EUR 344mn, down by 37% compared to our previous forecast. Going forward, we are very ca...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALR PW; EBS AV; TOASO TI; ETE GA; NLBR SV; KAP LI; WIZZ LN...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: posts strong 2Q24 and upgrades medium-term COR outlook POSITIVE • Alior Bank: management board nominations POSITIVE • Erste Banks: books solid 2Q24; guides for 2024E DPS at an attractive level; awaiting opening conclusions from the new CEO POSITIVE • Tofas: highly weak set of results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • National Bank of Greece: 2Q24 highlights – positive 2H24E, with guidance upgrade • NLB Group: solid print in 2Q24, beating estimates, due to release of provisions POSITIVE...
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
7203 ELM CO
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