Intervacc AB: 2 directors

Two Directors at Intervacc AB bought 2,410,000 shares at between 0.970SEK and 1.016SEK. The significance rating of the trade was 75/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the ...

Oncopeptides (Buy, TP: SEK2.00) - Softer-than-expected earnings

Although Q4 earnings were weaker than we expected, operating expenses were higher (partly due to borderline one-off costs; R&D-related for an EMA facility inspection). We have lowered our sales forecasts for Pepaxti in Europe. However, we believe 2025 will be important for the company, as sales should start to ramp up in Italy and Spain. We reiterate our BUY, but have reduced our target price to SEK2.0 (2.5).

Q4 report: weak upward trend

Patience is a virtue

Q4: Year-end sales bump

Swedish Orphan Biovitrum (Buy, TP: SEK365.00) - Investing for growth

SOBI reported in line with its pre-announced earnings. We expected a higher margin than consensus. Guidance for 2025 was for high-single-digit growth and an adj. EBITA margin in the mid-30s. We believe our margin assumptions have been too high, and have thus made adjustments. However, as SOBI has several new launches and multiple clinical trials, we believe the investments in sales and marketing are sound. We reiterate our BUY, despite lowering our estimates, and have raised our target price to ...

Investing in product launches

Heads-up for report Wed, 5 February

FY'24 topline upgrade, margin unchanged

A closer look at GBS and NiceR

Swedish Orphan Biovitrum (Buy, TP: SEK355.00) - On course for a strong...

We are above consensus on Q4e adj. EBITA, but fairly in line for 2025–2026e. We expect focus to be on Beyfortus royalties as well as the launch of Altuvoct in Germany and the coming launches in other large EU countries in 2025e. Following the soft share price performance recently, we have upgraded to BUY (HOLD), but reiterate our SEK355 target price.

Solid GBS IGOS efficacy analysis

Initiates Ph 2 in Crigler-Najjar syndrome

Oncopeptides (Buy, TP: SEK2.50) - Germany leads Q3 sales miss

Q3 sales were roughly half the level we expected – admittedly from a small base, but still a concern for us, since the miss was led by Germany, with much slower growth than recently. However, operating expenses were also less than we forecast, leaving an operating loss of SEK61m, a fraction better than our cSEK-63m. End-Q3 cash was SEK250m, which the company said would see it to positive cash flow in 2026e. We reiterate our BUY but have cut our target price to SEK2.5 (4.5) on increased uncertain...

Q3 report: weak Germany weighs on sales

Swedish Orphan Biovitrum (Hold, TP: SEK355.00) - Strong quarter, raise...

SOBI reported a very strong Q3, with beats of 15% on the top line and c42% on adj. EBITA. The company increased its guidance for the 2024 top line but reiterated it for margins. The latter indicates higher operating costs in Q4, and this dampened the share price yesterday. We reiterate our HOLD but have raised our target price to SEK355 (335) on updated forecasts.

Igniting the Beyfortus booster

Q3: Beyfortus beats at the start of RSV season