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Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Automobile: MAA TIV May 25: Sales rebound mom in May 25, but lag yoy. ...

MAA’s May 2025 TIV rose mom, driven by higher deliveries and more working days, but lagged yoy. Non-national brands remained weak, with Japanese players under pressure from strong Chinese competition. We officially downgrade the sector to UNDERWEIGHT with limited catalysts and continued strong competition to existing players. Our top pick remains Pecca.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Automobile - MAA TIV May 25: Sales Rebound mom, But Lag yoy

MAA TIV May 25: Sales Rebound mom, But Lag yoy MAA’s May 2025 TIV rose mom, driven by higher deliveries and more working days, but lagged yoy. Non-national brands remained weak, with Japanese players under pressure from strong Chinese competition. We officially downgrade the sector to UNDERWEIGHT with limited catalysts and continued strong competition to existing players. Our top pick remains Pecca.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+11)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Johnny Yum
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, June 23, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Insurance Weighing the risks and returns. Update Sunny Optical (2382 HK/BUY/HK$65.15/Target: HK$100.00) Takeaways from 2025 Investor Day. Maintain BUY. INDONESIA Strategy Challenging Macro Environment Adds To Case For Rate Cut Our top picks are BBCA, BBRI, ANTM, AMRT, ICBP, CMRY and ERAA. MALAYSIA Sector Automobile ...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Sime Darby (SIME MK) - 9MFY25: Below Expectations; Pressure Persists O...

9MFY25: Below Expectations; Pressure Persists On Its Core Division Sime’s 9MFY25 results came in below expectations with the key deviation driven by the lower contributions from its core business, particularly Industrial and Motors. The outlook remains uncertain as margin pressure in the Motors division and short-term challenges in Industrial continue to weigh on performance, despite support from UMW’s strong order backlog and a stable Industrial order book. Maintain HOLD with a new target price...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+14)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, May 28, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK/BUY/HK$48.75/Target: HK$70.00): 1Q25: Results in line; poised for encouraging contribution from Kling AI in 2025. Link REIT (823 HK/BUY/HK$40.90/Target: HK$44.90): FY25: Earnings beat expectations; cautious outlook for FY26. PDD Holdings (PDD US/SELL/US$119.24/Target: US$90.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss expectations; increased platform investment to weigh on profitability. Downgrade to SELL. Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$51.55/Target: HK$69.90): 1Q25: ...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Automobile - MAA Apr 25 TIV: Sales Dip On Festive Break, 4M25 Softens

MAA Apr 25 TIV: Sales Dip On Festive Break, 4M25 Softens Sales fell due to a shorter work month in Apr 25, 4M25 sales down yoy. The Malaysia Automotive Association’s (MAA) total industry volume (TIV) registered sales of 60,527 units, declining by 16.7% mom but slightly increasing by 1% yoy in Apr 25. The lower sales performance in Apr 25 was due to the shorter working period during the Hari Raya festive season in early-April, coupled with a high base in Mar 25 driven by increased deliveries ahea...

Desmond Chong Chee Wai ... (+3)
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - Opportunities In A Ringgit Resurgence Environment

Opportunities In A Ringgit Resurgence Environment The sharp ringgit appreciation driven by de-dollarisation and thus a broader reallocation of capital toward emerging market currencies support our view of a moderate upside for Malaysian equities. Key beneficiaries include importers and companies with high US dollar debt, while exporters may face margin pressure. While historical parallel suggests temporary trading opportunities, we recommend a tactical trading stance, focusing on value-driven op...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Automobile - MAA March 25 TIV: Higher Sales Driven by Festive Promotio...

MAA March 25 TIV: Higher Sales Driven by Festive Promotions; Maintain 2025 TIV Forecast Sales rebounds in Mar 25, but slips in 3M25. The Malaysia Automotive Association’s (MAA) Feb 25 total industry volume (TIV) registered sales of 72,704 units (+14% mom, +2% yoy). The jump in Mar 25 sales was attributed to promotional offers during the festive season (Hari Raya), which boosted sales. Passenger vehicles sales increased by 13% mom and 5% yoy, supported by the strong festive promotion across both ...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Automobile - MAA TIV Feb 25: Sales Rebound Led By National Brands; Com...

MAA TIV Feb 25: Sales Rebound Led By National Brands; Commercial Lags MAA’s Feb 25 TIV was higher mom but flat yoy, lifted by a recovery in national brands, although commercial vehicles remained weak. The non-national segment remains impacted by intense competition from Chinese players; however, demand for national brands remains robust. We maintain MARKET WEIGHT due to the limited catalysts, despite the continuous launches. Our top pick is Pecca.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+19)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, March 24, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.78/Target: HK$5.90) 2024: Core earnings in line; expect low single digit throughput growth in 2025. CSPC Innovation Pharmaceutical Co (300765 CH/BUY/Rmb37.00/Target: Rmb50.00) 2024: Smooth progress in R&D promises bright long-term outlook. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$20.10/Target:HK$29.00) 2024: Results beat; strong growth momentum continues. Meituan (3690 HK/BUY/HK$167.60/Target: HK$216.00) ...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Sime Darby (SIME MK) - 1HFY25: Below Expectations; Motors Division To ...

1HFY25: Below Expectations; Motors Division To Remain Challenging Sime’s 1HFY25 results came in below expectations with the key deviation from our forecasts driven by a lower assumption on minority interest and lower taxes. Higher core PBIT in 2QFY25 was largely due to UMW’s full contribution. However, the industrial and motors divisions recorded lower PBIT. The outlook remains challenging for the motors division, but strong demand and growing orderbook support the industrial division. Downgrade...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+15)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Damon Shen
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Philip Wong
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, February 25, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Property Channel checks and observations of Shenzhen and Shanghai primary markets. INDONESIA Strategy Danantara – Who Could Benefit Beneficiaries: PGEO, ANTM, TINS, BMRI, BBNI, BBRI and TLKM. We have an end-25 target of 7,500 for the JCI. MALAYSIA Results 99 Speed Mart Retail (99SMART MK/BUY/RM2.14/Target: RM2.60) 4Q24: Delivers on earnings...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Automobile - MAA TIV 2024: Another Year, Another Record-breaking Sales...

MAA TIV 2024: Another Year, Another Record-breaking Sales Performance; Forecast Lower TIV In 2025 MAA’s 2024 TIV registered another record-breaking sales figure, driven by a slight increase in passenger vehicle sales (+4% yoy). We expect TIV in 2025 to fall 9% due to limited catalysts, normalisation of demand, and increased competition from Chinese brands. However, demand for budget-friendly vehicles, especially from Perodua, remains strong. We have cut our earnings expectations for BAUTO and Si...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Sime Darby (SIME MK) - 1Q25: Below Expectations

1Q25: Below Expectations Below expectations. Sime reported a core net profit of RM301m (+8.7% qoq, -7.4% yoy) ,accounting for 17% of our full-year estimate which we deem below expectations. 1QFY25 core net profit came in at RM301m after excluding exceptional items of disposal gain from its MVV land, and business & associates (RM494m). The key deviation against our forecasts was underpinned by lower revenue from the motors division as well as higher net interest expenses.

Malaysia Research Team ... (+2)
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - Alpha Picks: A Variety Of Event Drivers

Alpha Picks: A Variety Of Event Drivers Our Alpha Picks outperformed the FBMKLCI in Sep 24 (+3.7% vs -1.8%) as hoped, partly reversing Aug 24’s stark underperformance; nevertheless, our Alpha Picks have still neatly outperformed the FBMKLCI ytd. Our Oct 24 Alpha Picks embrace a variety of event-driven picks. Oct 24 picks: EcoWorld, Gamuda, Lagenda, MYEG, Pekat, RHB Bank, RGB, Sime Darby, VSI and Yinson.

Malaysia Research Team ... (+2)
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Strategy - China Economic Recovery Beneficiaries

China Economic Recovery Beneficiaries China’s signal to roll out a major fiscal stimulus programme in the coming weeks has lifted hopes of a major economic turnaround. However, details remain sketchy, and the verdict remains whether the fiscal and monetary measures would truly reinvigorate and sustain domestic consumption. While China remains as Malaysia’s key trading partner, only a handful of Malaysian-listed companies directly derive significant revenues from China, while the biggest (indirec...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Automobile - MAA Aug 24 TIV: Falls Slightly Due To The Lower Performan...

MAA Aug 24 TIV: Falls Slightly Due To The Lower Performance In Both Passenger And Commercial Vehicles MAA’s Aug 24 TIV saw a slight decrease by 0.8% mom and 2.3% yoy, resulting from passenger and commercial vehicles’ lower performance respectively. We increased our TIV forecast to 760,000 units as we anticipate demand for budget-friendly products especially Perodua’s models to remain robust. However, we foresee limited catalysts except for ongoing new models and brands. BAUTO remains our top pic...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Sime Darby (SIME MK) - 4QFY24: Results Within Expectations

4QFY24: Results Within Expectations Sime Darby’s 12MFY24 results were within expectations, driven by higher contributions from the industrial and UMW divisions, which offset the lower profits from the motors division. Despite lower contributions expected from the motors division due to heavy discounting in China, we remain positive on the industrial segment, supported by a stable orderbook and UMW's contributions. Maintain BUY. Target price: RM3.13.

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad ... (+16)
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Ming San Soong
  • Paula Ruth
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, August 28, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Anta (2020 HK/BUY/HK$71.65/Target: HK$109.60) 1H24: Results beat. Fila's guidance slightly lowered; new brands performed well. China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$4.63/Target: HK$7.20) 1H24: Results meet expectations; higher dividend payout ratio. Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group Company (3692 HK/BUY/HK$18.22/Target: HK$27.00) 2Q24: Margins deteriorate; automation demand outlook remains sluggish. Shenzhen Inovance (300124 CH/BU...

Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad
  • Anas Fitri Bin Ahmad

Automobile - MAA Jul 24 TIV: A Good Start For 2H24

MAA Jul 24 TIV: A Good Start For 2H24 A good start for 2H24 TIV. The Malaysia Automotive Association’s (MAA) total industry volume (TIV) for Jul 24 came in at 71,739 units (+23.5% mom, +10.75 yoy). Passenger vehicle sales reached 65,781 units (+25.3% mom, +11.4% yoy), while commercial vehicle sales were at 5,944 units (+7% mom, +3.1% yoy). Both segments recorded higher sales volumes on a mom and yoy basis. 7M24 TIV came in at 462,088 units, which accounted for 62% of our 2024 TIV forecast of 735...

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