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ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Henrik Bartnes
  • Petter Nystrøm

Core 2% below, Jotun better

Core EBIT 2% below adj for on-offs, better on lower sales / margin

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Bengt Jonassen
ABGSC Strategy Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Strategy Research
  • Christer Linde
ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun
Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Veidekke (Hold, TP: NOK150.00) - Q1 was a supportive non-event

Q1 EBIT was NOK-43m, slightly below our forecast, with low seasonal profits due to winter effects in the asphalt operations. This is a seasonally insignificant quarter for the company due to the winter season, and, for context, we expect 2025 EBIT of NOK1.7bn. Order intake and backlog were the Q1 strong points. With the results and commentary supportive of our earnings forecasts, we have made minor estimate changes on the group level and reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our target price to NOK15...

Veidekke ASA: 1 director

A director at Veidekke ASA bought 2,200 shares at 147.000NOK and the significance rating of the trade was 68/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly ...

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Bengt Jonassen
ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Bengt Jonassen
ABGSC Consumer Goods Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Consumer Goods Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Petter Nystrøm
Alexander Aukner
  • Alexander Aukner

Time to revisit

The unfolding trade war has led us to cut our global 2025–2027e demand and trim our spot price estimates. The negative price effect is partly countered by reduced mortality boosting volumes and lowering costs, leading to net EPS cuts of 11–2%. Given the sector’s solid track record in adapting to past crises and recent share-price declines, we see a significantly improved risk/reward and have a positive stance on the sector. We have upgraded Mowi, Bakkafrost, and Grieg Seafood to BUY (HOLD).

Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Mixed upside potential, despite market recovery expectations

Pent-up demand and falling interest rates remain the backbone for newbuild recovery expectations. However, as the recovery has not yet started, property developers screen as the most attractive long-term, but visibility remains mixed. Diversified construction companies are more attractive on near-term P/Es, although many seem to be fully valued on solid share-price performance over the past six months. We maintain a neutral sector view; NCC and Skanska are our top picks.

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun
Simen Mortensen
  • Simen Mortensen

Veidekke (Hold, TP: NOK160.00) - Seasonal low despite mild winter

Q1 is typically the low season for Veidekke on Nordic winter effects and a seasonal EBIT margin decline in the Infrastructure division (including asphalt). Despite the mild winter in the Nordics in Q1, we expect the positive impact to be limited as weather effects tend to affect Q4 more than Q1. We expect zero EPS for Q1. We reiterate our HOLD and NOK160 target price.

ABGSC Seafood Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Seafood Research
  • Martin Kaland
  • Simon Brun
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