reports
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
SNA SNAP-ON INCORPORATED
WTFC WINTRUST FINANCIAL CORPORATION
WSFS WSFS FINANCIAL CORPORATION
WFC WELLS FARGO & COMPANY
SPG SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC.
PKXN POSCO
PEB PEBBLEBROOK HOTEL TRUST
FTE1 ORANGE
MSTR MICROSTRATEGY INCORPORATED CLASS A
LLY ELI LILLY AND COMPANY
IPGP IPG PHOTONICS CORPORATION
INSM INSMED INCORPORATED
ICPT INTERCEPT PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
HOO HERBALIFE NUTRITION LTD.
I3N CHART INDUSTRIES INC.
GBCI GLACIER BANCORP INC.
FMBI FIRST MIDWEST BANCORP INC.
ERICn TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON
EBIX EBIX INC.
CXW CORECIVIC INC.
BT BT GROUP PLC ADS
BP BP PLC ADS
APA.. APA CORP.
ALDR ALDER BIOPHARMACEUTICALS INC.
AERI AERIE PHARMACEUTICALS INC.
UVE UNIVERSAL INSURANCE HOLDINGS INC.
FDP FRESH DEL MONTE PRODUCE INC.
MUR MURPHY OIL CORPORATION
CCO. CAMECO CORPORATION
CMA COMERICA INCORPORATED
DNOW NOW INC.
CHRW C.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE INC.
MED MEDIFAST INC.
LASR NLIGHT
- Michael Hodel
Morningstar | BT Holds a Solid Position in the U.K. but it Needs Regul...
Following its 2016 acquisition of wireless carrier EE, BT has been the only telecom operator in the United Kingdom with the ability to offer fixed-line and wireless services without leasing network access from others. After three years, however, the benefits of this converged position have been modest, failing to overcome the regulatory, operational, and competitive challenges BT has faced. We believe the firm is gradually moving in the right direction, but progress will likely be slow. BT's rel...
- Michael Hodel
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Short Shots: Technically Vulnerable Stocks
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
GWW W.W. GRAINGER INC.
BK BANK OF NEW YORK MELLON CORPORATION
VC VISTEON CORPORATION
USNA USANA HEALTH SCIENCES INC.
TSLA TESLA INC
TEN TENNECO INC. CLASS A
STLD STEEL DYNAMICS INC.
SRDX SURMODICS INC.
QYM SOCIEDAD QUIMICA Y MINERA DE CHILE S.A. SERIES B ADS
SNP CHINA PETROLEUM & CHEMICAL CORP. ADS
MYL VIATRIS INC.
MOS MOSAIC COMPANY
DLY LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES NV
KSS KOHL'S CORPORATION
JWN NORDSTROM INC.
INGR INGREDION INCORPORATED
FAN FABRINET
FCX FREEPORT-MCMORAN INC.
ENDP ENDO INTERNATIONAL PLC
DE DEERE & COMPANY
DDS DILLARD'S INC. CLASS A
CROX CROCS INC.
CPS COOPER-STANDARD HOLDINGS INC.
CMC COMMERCIAL METALS COMPANY
CALM CAL-MAINE FOODS INC.
BT BT GROUP PLC ADS
BNFT BENEFITFOCUS INC.
K3SD BAIDU INC SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
C25 BIOTELEMETRY INC.
AMG AFFILIATED MANAGERS GROUP INC.
AMED AMEDISYS INC.
ALV AUTOLIV INC.
ABX. BARRICK GOLD CORPORATION
AAL AMERICAN AIRLINES GROUP INC.
VRS VERSO CORPORATIN
CLB CORE LABORATORIES NV
PAAS PAN AMERICAN SILVER CORP.
MSM MSC INDUSTRIAL DIRECT CO. INC. CLASS A
VSH VISHAY INTERTECHNOLOGY INC.
WB WEIBO CORP SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
CHRW C.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE INC.
WAB WESTINGHOUSE AIR BRAKE TECHNOLOGIES CORPORATION
UTHR UNITED THERAPEUTICS CORPORATION
LW LAMB WESTON HOLDINGS INC.
MT ARCELORMITTAL
PVAC PENN VIRGINIA CORPORATION
- Allan C. Nichols
- Allan C. Nichols
- Allan C. Nichols
Morningstar | BT Group Reported in Line Fiscal 2019 Results, but Weake...
BT Group reported fiscal year-end results that were in line with our expectations, and we don’t anticipate any significant changes to our GBX 360 per local share fair value estimate. Our narrow moat remains intact, and we believe the shares are undervalued. Revenue declined 1% year over year with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 31.6%, right where we projected. However, guidance for fiscal 2020 calls for a revenue decline of 2% versus our expectation of flat revenue, and an EBITDA margin of 31.8%...
- Allan C. Nichols
BT Group Reported in Line Fiscal 2019 Results, but Weaker Guidance; Sh...
BT Group reported fiscal year-end results that were in line with our expectations, and we don’t anticipate any significant changes to our GBX 360 per local share fair value estimate. Our narrow moat remains intact, and we believe the shares are undervalued. Revenue declined 1% year over year with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 31.6%, right where we projected. However, guidance for fiscal 2020 calls for a revenue decline of 2% versus our expectation of flat revenue, and an EBITDA margin of 31.8% ...
- Allan C. Nichols
Morningstar | BT Is Making Progress on its Turnaround
When BT acquired EE, it became the only truly convergent telecom operator in the United Kingdom with the ability to offer fixed-line and wireless telephony, broadband, and pay TV on its own network. The U.K. has trailed several other European countries in moving to converged services, but we think this acquisition jump-starts that move. BT should benefit, as it controls the whole network, while others will need to wholesale at least some services from somewhere else. BT's best-performing divisio...
- Allan C. Nichols
BT Is Making Progress on its Turnaround
BT reported fiscal third-quarter revenue and EBITDA that was a bit better than our expectations, but the pension deficit widened by GBP 500 million, offsetting this improvement. Thus, we expect to maintain our GBX 360 per local share fair value estimate and narrow moat rating. We believe the shares are significantly undervalued. No financials were provided beyond EBITDA. The firm reported revenue fell 1% year over year during the quarter versus our full-year projection of a 1.9% decline. The con...
- Allan C. Nichols
Morningstar | BT Reported Improved Fiscal 3Q Results but Offset by Hig...
BT reported fiscal third-quarter revenue and EBITDA that was a bit better than our expectations, but the pension deficit widened by GBP 500 million, offsetting this improvement. Thus, we expect to maintain our GBX 360 per local share fair value estimate and narrow moat rating. We believe the shares are significantly undervalued. No financials were provided beyond EBITDA. The firm reported revenue fell 1% year over year during the quarter versus our full-year projection of a 1.9% decline. The co...
- Allan C. Nichols
BT Reported Improved Fiscal 3Q Results but Offset by Higher Pension De...
BT reported fiscal third-quarter revenue and EBITDA that was a bit better than our expectations, but the pension deficit widened by GBP 500 million, offsetting this improvement. Thus, we expect to maintain our GBX 360 per local share fair value estimate and narrow moat rating. We believe the shares are significantly undervalued. No financials were provided beyond EBITDA. The firm reported revenue fell 1% year over year during the quarter versus our full-year projection of a 1.9% decline. The con...
- Allan C. Nichols
Morningstar | BT Begins to Aggressively Roll out Fibre to the Premises
When BT acquired EE, it became the only truly convergent telecom operator in the United Kingdom with the ability to offer fixed-line and wireless telephony, broadband, and pay TV on its own network. The U.K. has trailed several other European countries in moving to converged services, but we think this acquisition jump-starts that move. BT should benefit, as it controls the whole network, while others will need to wholesale at least some services from somewhere else. BT's best-performing divisio...
- Allan C. Nichols
BT Begins to Aggressively Roll out Fibre to the Premises
BT reported in-line fiscal second-quarter results, and we expect to maintain our GBX 360 per local share fair value estimate and narrow moat rating. Despite the local shares being up over 8% on the news, we believe the stock remains significantly undervalued. The firm reported revenue fell 2% year over year versus our full-year projection of a decline of 1.9%. Once again, the consumer sector, which generates about 45% of net firmwide revenue, is driving revenue growth. We were particularly plea...
- Allan C. Nichols
Morningstar | BT Reports In-Line 2Q Results; Firm Continues to Increas...
BT reported in-line fiscal second-quarter results, and we expect to maintain our GBX 360 per local share fair value estimate and narrow moat rating. Despite the local shares being up over 8% on the news, we believe the stock remains significantly undervalued. The firm reported revenue fell 2% year over year versus our full-year projection of a decline of 1.9%. Once again, the consumer sector, which generates about 45% of net firmwide revenue, is driving revenue growth. We were particularly plea...
- Allan C. Nichols
BT Reports In-Line 2Q Results; Firm Continues to Increase EBITDA; Shar...
BT reported in-line fiscal second-quarter results, and we expect to maintain our GBX 360 per local share fair value estimate and narrow moat rating. Despite the local shares being up over 8% on the news, we believe the stock remains significantly undervalued. The firm reported revenue fell 2% year over year versus our full-year projection of a decline of 1.9%. Once again, the consumer sector, which generates about 45% of net firmwide revenue, is driving revenue growth. We were particularly plea...
- Allan C. Nichols
Morningstar | BT Announces Philip Jansen Will Take Over as CEO in 2019
With the closing of its acquisition of EE, BT becomes the only truly convergent telecom operator in the United Kingdom with the ability to offer fixed-line and wireless telephony, broadband, and pay TV on its own network. The U.K. has trailed several other European countries in moving to converged services, but we think this acquisition will help jump-start that move. BT should benefit, as it controls the whole network, while others will need to wholesale at least some services from somewhere el...
- Allan C. Nichols
BT Announces Philip Jansen Will Take Over as CEO in 2019
BT reported fiscal first-quarter results in line with our expectations on both revenue and margins, and we expect to maintain our GBX 360 per local share fair value estimate. Our narrow moat rating remains intact, and we believe the shares are undervalued. Reported revenue fell 2% year over year versus our full-year estimate of a decline of 1.9%. This was the first time BT reported a scaled-down report for its first and third fiscal quarters. Also, starting this quarter, EE, its wireless busine...
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