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Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Tourism and catering strong performances during the La...

During the Labour Day holiday, tourism and catering continued to record strong performances, while DF per capita spending showed a downward trend. We reiterate our key theses for the consumer sector, highlighting companies with: a) overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) upside potential of improving operating efficiency, or c) near-term catalysts. We keep Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou as our most preferred stocks, but remove Galaxy from the stock picks. Mainta...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Wuliangye Yibin (000858 CH): 2023: In line; higher dividend payout rat...

Wuliangye’s 2023 results were in line with our and consensus estimates. The dividend payout ratio hike (+5ppt yoy to 60%) in 2023 was a pleasant surprise. 1Q24 revenue growth (+12% yoy) was on track with a revenue growth target of double-digit yoy for 2024. Looking ahead, we see a gradual improvement in Wuliangye’s brand value, as it has cut shipments in the traditional channels, further improving dealers’ confidence and profitability. Maintain BUY with unchanged target price at Rmb218.90.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, April 29, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Automobile We raise 2024 forecasts on China’s PV sales growth and PEV sales growth from +8%/+21% to +10%/+24% on bigger-than-expected subsidies for the cash-for-clunker program and zero downpayment auto loans. Meanwhile, we lift the target prices of BYD, Geely, GWM, GAC and Yadea to HK$160.00/HK$13.00/HK$13.50/HK$3.30 /HK$20.00 respectively. Upgrade GWM from HOLD to BUY, and upgrade GAC from SELL to HOLD. Top BUY: CATL, Geely and Yadea. Top SELL: BYD, Li Auto and XPeng. ...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+19)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Ceilica Su Rui
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Jun Sian Tan
  • Ken Lee
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, April 29, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$5.72/Target: HK$6.40): 1Q24: Below expectations; low wind speed weighed on performance. COSCO SHIPPING Ports (1199 HK/BUY/HK$4.62/Target: HK$6.75): 1Q24: Results in line; steady performance in a seasonally slow quarter with headwinds. Dian Diagnostics (300244 CH/BUY/Rmb14.13/Target: Rmb18.50): 1Q24: ICL revenue growth satisfactory; esoteric testing and self-developed product segments remain 2024’s key growth drivers. Foshan Haitian Flavou...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH): 2023: Satisfactory results; weak ...

2023 results were satisfactory but 1Q24 revenue growth was significantly slower than our estimate. We believe weak economic conditions may continue to put pressure on revenue growth. Aier continues to pursue service excellence by offering high valueadded services and products to attract patients and stay ahead of competition. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Rmb15.00 to factor in the possible impact of the relatively weak economic conditions and intensifying competition.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+7)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Friday, April 26, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.24/Target: Rmb15.00) 2023 results were satisfactory but 1Q24 revenue growth was significantly slower than our estimate. We believe weak economic conditions may continue to put pressure on revenue growth. Aier continues to pursue service excellence by offering high value-added services and products to attract patients and stay ahead of competition. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Rmb15.00 to factor in the possible i...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+13)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, April 26, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb12.24/Target: Rmb15.00) 2023: Satisfactory results; weak economic conditions may cloud 2024 growth visibility. Shanxi Xinghuacun Fenjiu (600809 CH/BUY/Rmb245.58/Target: Rmb321.00) 2023: Results in line; accelerating nationwide expansion. Update Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK/BUY/HK$16.60/Target: HK$21.00) Stronger confidence in EV business after Investor Day and factory visit. INDONESIA Results Unilev...

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Focus on four key theses for the sector.

In this report, we have summarised what we read from consumer companies’ 2023 results, the 2024 outlook and recent updates. We think companies: a) with overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) that have upside potential of improving operating efficiency, c) that will benefit from near-term catalysts (eg event-driven), and d) have increasing dividend payout will outperform. Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou are our most preferred stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Government’s draft plan seeks to promote a more supp...

China’s draft plan is expected to develop a more efficient and supportive ecosystem for drug innovation. We believe the government will support the development of a stronger and more innovative healthcare industry by providing more financial and regulatory resources in the next few years. Facing political headwinds, leading CRDMO players may benefit from the brighter outlook of China’s healthcare industry in the longer term. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on China’s healthcare sector.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Tourism, catering and movie consumption: Strong perfor...

During the Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday, tourism, both domestic and outbound, catering and movie consumption put up strong performances. For the consumer sector, we prefer discretionary to staple, and Macau gaming in the discretionary space, given the strong recovery momentum of Macau tourism and moderate hike in opex. Galaxy is our top pick in Macau gaming sector, given its net cash position amid the higher interests. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

Aier Eye Hospital Group Co (300015 CH): Expects solid business expansi...

Supported by its well-established business expansion strategy, Aier expects to see strong revenue and adjusted net earnings growth of 25.2% yoy and 26.8% yoy respectively in 2023. Despite the relatively weak economic conditions, Aier’s effective market penetration strategy and optimised service structure continue to support its market reach and a relatively strong revenue growth in 2024. Maintain BUY and target price of Rmb21.00.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+8)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen

Greater China Daily: Thursday, February 8, 2024

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$74.90/Target: HK$100.00) 3QFY24: Increased shareholder return plan; pivoting focus to reignite e-commerce growth. Yum China Holdings Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$332.80) 4Q23: Earnings beat; expect flattish same-store sales and stable core profit in 1Q24. Update Aier Eye Hospital Group Co (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.97/Target: Rmb21.00) Expects solid business expansion despite weak economic conditions. TRADERS’ CORNER China Power International (2...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+14)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, February 08, 2024

GREATER CHINA Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$74.90/Target: HK$100.00): 3QFY24: Increased shareholder return plan; pivoting focus to reignite e-commerce growth. Yum China Holdings Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$332.80): 4Q23: Earnings beat; expect flattish same-store sales and stable core profit in 1Q24. Update Aier Eye Hospital Group Co (300015 CH/BUY/Rmb13.97/Target: Rmb21.00): Expects solid business expansion despite weak economic conditions. MALAYSIA Results Carlsberg Brewery Malaysia (CA...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: Becoming more innovative; valuation increasingly att...

China’s healthcare industry has experienced a slump in stock prices due to weak market sentiment. Our channel check indicates that the industry is generally in good shape and has become increasingly innovative. Most healthcare companies are improving their operating efficiency and expecting to generate stronger revenue and/or earnings growth in 2024. The recent sell-off has made valuations more attractive. BUY on weakness. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Baijiu: Dealers’ confidence remains lacklustre.

Baijiu companies generally have a positive tone on 2024 revenue growth targets and have laid out pragmatic solutions to facilitate dealers’ pre-payment willingness. Despite that, dealers’ willingness and confidence in the baijiu end-demand recovery remain lacklustre. We also note that high-end baijiu companies have yet to follow Moutai’s ex-factory price hikes, as channel inventory pressures exist. Our top pick remains Moutai. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

China Healthcare: A brighter outlook in 2024.

Easing pressure from the anti-corruption campaign will result in stronger sales growth for medical products. Moreover, after years of persistent R&D efforts, many Chinese biopharmaceutical companies now expect a fruitful year of innovation in 2024. In addition, potential US interest rate cuts will also provide liquidity for R&D investment and support the development of biotech and CRO segments in 2024. We expect a brighter outlook in 2024. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Jo Yee Ng ... (+3)
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Wuliangye Yibin (000858 CH): 3Q23: Better-than-expected results; impro...

3Q23 results beat the street’s estimates by 5%, due to higher-than-expected revenue. The company’s marketing efforts that target retail consumers have improved bottle opening rates and channel inventories during the holidays, laying a solid foundation for future sales growth. Wuliangye is on track to register a double-digit revenue and earnings growth in 2023, underpinned by an upgraded product mix and higher marketing precision. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of Rmb231.40.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Terence Chiu
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, October 30, 2023

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Aviation Airlines: 3Q23 results broadly in line; bottom line turned around in the seasonal peak quarter. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.90) 3Q23: In line; 3Q23 wind power utilisation hours down 34 hours yoy. ENN Energy Holdings Limited (2688 HK/BUY/HK$61.70/Target: HK$72.10) 3Q23 operational data: 3Q23 dollar margin falls to Rmb0.50/cbm. Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/HOLD/HK$3.81/Target: HK$4.00) 3Q23: Below...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+18)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Jun Sian Tan
  • Ken Lee
  • Limartha Adhiputra
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Nurul Nazira Binti Abdullah
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Stevanus Juanda
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, October 30, 2023

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation: Airlines: 3Q23 results broadly in line; bottom line turned around in the seasonal peak quarter. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT. Results China Longyuan Power (916 HK/BUY/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.90): 3Q23: In line; 3Q23 wind power utilisation hours down 34 hours yoy. Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/HOLD/HK$3.76/Target: HK$4.00): 3Q23: Below expectations; 3Q23 WTG sales growth slows to +6.0% yoy. Great Wall Motor (2333 HK/BUY/HK$10.82/Target: HK$13.50): 3Q23: Earnings tripl...

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+2)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Sunny Chen

Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH): 9M23: Satisfactory results; weak ...

Aier reported satisfactory 9M23 results with total revenue and adjusted net earnings increasing 23.0% yoy and 24.0% yoy respectively, despite the relatively slow economic growth and high base in 3Q22. We expect Aier to deliver relatively strong growth in 4Q23, supported by its well-established business expansion strategy and a low base in 4Q22. Maintain BUY with a lower target price of Rmb21.00 to factor in the possible negative impact of the weaker economic conditions.

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