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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; TEN PW; MUR PW; MONET CP...

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...

Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska ... (+2)
  • Marta Jezewska-Wasilewska
  • Miguel Dias

Polish Banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Ba...

We keep our positive bias on the Polish banks, although the upside is melting away, with the continuous positive share price performance. The upside left for our median 12M PTs lands at 17%+, just enough to keep our marginally positive stance on the sector. The WIG Banks index has returned c.45%+ in the LTM, mostly a function of a multiples expansion, as the 2025E median EPS change was almost zero in the LTM and the 2026E EPS saw a median cut of 10% in the LTM, driven mostly by the change in the...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...

EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OPAP GA; BFT PW; OPL PW; PEO PW; BHW PW; MONET CP; KOMB CP

HEADLINES: • OPAP: waiving of the 5% exit threshold paves the way for the Allwyn merger NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 4Q25E – 4% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 18 February) • Bank Pekao: 4Q25E preview (due on 19 February) • Bank Handlowy: 4Q25E preview (due on 17 March) • MONETA Money Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 3 February) • Komercni Banka: 4Q25E preview (due on 6 February)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CEZ CP; PEO PW; JMT PL; RO Macro; EME Macro/Strategy Weekl...

HEADLINES: • CEZ: work on nationalising CEZ could start in the coming months NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: to see c.PLN 110m of negative one-offs in 4Q25 NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q25E results preview – 10% yoy EBITDA expansion expected (due on 19 March) NEUTRAL • Romania macro: SAFE loan approved • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (9-15 January)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Macro; MUR PW; PCO PW; XTB PW; PZU PW; CTPNV NA; WIZZ L...

HEADLINES: • Poland macro: rates unchanged, and some positive news • Murapol: sells 767 and hands over 1,286 units in 4Q25 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1Q26 revenues growth eases to 4% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • XTB S.A.: over 250k new clients in 4Q25 in sight NEUTRAL • PZU/Bank Pekao: merger uncertain even by end-4Q27E, according to the Minister of State Assets NEUTRAL • CTP: prices EUR 500m 4Y bond at 3.4%; leases space in Amsterdam to Crisp POSITIVE • Wizz Air: may grow capacity by ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Czech PX in the lead in December

EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: TXT PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; MBK PW; SPL PW; CPS PW; MBR PW; CD...

HEADLINES: • Text: preliminary 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – MRR of USD 6.98m (-1.1% qoq and -1.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • PZU/Bank Pekao: delay merger deadline NEGATIVE • mBank: to face PLN 362.1m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: updates market on the impact of sale of 60% stake in Santander Consumer Bank NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska: calls EGM for 22 January NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court upholds May ruling on Solorz family succession POSITIVE •...

Alessio Chiesa ... (+2)
  • Alessio Chiesa
  • Raffaella Tenconi

EME Macro/Strategy: dividends in EMEA – yield hunting after markets ha...

The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Hungarian BUX in the lead in Octob...

EME Equity Market – October 2025 Hungarian BUX leads in October, Türkiye and Greece lag. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.5% mom in EUR terms and 1.8% mom in USD terms in October. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 9.1% mom in EUR terms; followed by the Polish WIG20 (+5.9% mom) and the Romanian BET (+5.4% mom) (in EUR terms). The Czech PX was also in the green (+2.8% mom in EUR terms). The Greek ASE and the Turkish ISE30 (-1.9% mom and -1.1% mom, in EUR terms, respectively) both los...

BRE MBANK SA
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
CGEO GEORGIA CAPITAL
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ADNOCDRILL CTP NV
2381 ADNOC DRILLING CO
7202 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
9526 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE HELLENIQ ENERGY
H2O BOROUGE
AQ HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
THEON AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL GEVORKYAN A.S.
ZAB NOVAL PROPERTY
DSPW ZABKA GROUP
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Louis Boujard ... (+4)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Roy Külter
BRE MBANK SA
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
EDEN EDENRED SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ANA ACCIONA SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
VGP VGP NV
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
NSI NSI N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
SIGN SIG COMBIBLOC GROUP LTD
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
8TRA TRATON SE
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
Louis Boujard ... (+4)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian
  • Roy Külter
BRE MBANK SA
LUFTHANSA DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
EDEN EDENRED SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
BEKB BEKAERT SA
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ADS ADIDAS AG
APAML APERAM SA
PUM PUMA SE
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
REE RED ELECTRICA CORP. SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
CARL B CARLSBERG A/S CLASS B
AIR AIRBUS SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
AMP AMPLIFON S.P.A.
REP REPSOL SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
ANA ACCIONA SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
ARCAD ARCADIS NV
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
KGX KION GROUP AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
VGP VGP NV
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
INGA ING GROEP NV
SAN BANCO SANTANDER S.A.
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
CCEP COCA-COLA EUROPEAN PARTNERS PLC
NSI NSI N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
SIGN SIG COMBIBLOC GROUP LTD
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
8TRA TRATON SE
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
GSK GSK PLC
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
Jovan Sikimic
  • Jovan Sikimic

ODDO : Healthy operational outlook absorbs higher tax beyond 2026

We think that the robust outlook for Polish economic growth should offset mid-term uncertainty on fiscal policy and political risk. We have made a slight upward revision to our forecasts for pre-tax profit (by 1% to 4%) but lowered our EPS forecasts by 21% for 2026e and 4% for 2027e. After factoring in the full impact of the new tax bill, we have adjusted our target prices but remain cautiously positive on Polish banks. We favour mBank (upgrade to Outperform) for its upbeat long-term outlook and...

Bank Polska Kasa Opieki S.A.: Update following ratings affirmation, ou...

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its large liquidity buffers, relatively weak asset quality and good profitability.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PKN PW; VGO PW; Poland macro; BDX PW; PZU PW; SFG RO; CEZ ...

HEADLINES: • Orlen: makes an offer to buy Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q25 sales up 48.5% yoy to PLN 23.3m POSITIVE • Poland macro: August balance of payments data underscores weak exports • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from Budimex's consortium scored highest in the PKP PLK tender POSITIVE • PZU: the new CEO gives one of his first interviews, discussing the potential PZU–Pekao merger NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: Hard Rock Cafe joining the company’s brand portfolio POSITIVE • CEZ: AN...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DIA PW; PZU PW; PEO PW; TEN PW; PL Telecoms; GTC PW; TPEIR...

HEADLINES: • Diagnostyka: risk of the gradual loss of key customer, Luxmed NEGATIVE • PZU / Bank Pekao: potential merger continuing • Ten Square Games: 3Q25 bookings up 4.5% qoq, better than Sensor Tower's estimates POSITIVE • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 3Q25 NEUTRAL • GTC: prices EUR 455m bond with an 8% yield POSITIVE • Piraeus Financial Holdings: prices EUR 600m AT1 bond POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: elections – forced cooperation should keep the economy strong • EME Macr...

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