HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: still opportunities, if the growth continues (PKO BP, Bank Pekao, Santander BP, mBank, ING BSK, Bank Millennium, Alior Bank, Bank Handlowy) • cyber_Folks: 4Q25E results preview – 18% yoy organic adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Shoper: 4Q25E results preview – 11% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Vercom: 4Q25E results preview – 23% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth (due on 18 March) • Ten Square Games: 4Q25E preview – adjusted EBITDA -7% qoq on higher U...
We keep our positive bias on the Polish banks, although the upside is melting away, with the continuous positive share price performance. The upside left for our median 12M PTs lands at 17%+, just enough to keep our marginally positive stance on the sector. The WIG Banks index has returned c.45%+ in the LTM, mostly a function of a multiples expansion, as the 2025E median EPS change was almost zero in the LTM and the 2026E EPS saw a median cut of 10% in the LTM, driven mostly by the change in the...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
We have downgraded Orlen to HOLD (from Buy), with a new price target (PT) of PLN 102.7 (from PLN 73.3), offering upside of -2.2%. For Orlen, 2025 was an annus mirabilis and the share price broke new records, so we see limited upside from here. Gas prices fell in 2025, lowering our expectations for upstream and supply EBITDA. Capex in 2025E was below plan, but we expect negative FCF in 2026-27E. Acquisitions and discoveries keep Orlen’s upstream segment on a growing trajectory, while the first of...
HEADLINES: • OPAP: waiving of the 5% exit threshold paves the way for the Allwyn merger NEUTRAL • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 4Q25E – 4% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 18 February) • Bank Pekao: 4Q25E preview (due on 19 February) • Bank Handlowy: 4Q25E preview (due on 17 March) • MONETA Money Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on 3 February) • Komercni Banka: 4Q25E preview (due on 6 February)
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: structural headwinds ahead (downgraded to SELL) • EME Strategy: OFEs' 2025 annual assets structure • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl reached 368k in 2H25, down 2% yoy NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 4Q25E preview (due on 9 February) • ING BSK: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • mBank: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • MOL: to buy NIS in Serbia POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: concludes construction of 72MW of BESS projects NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: solid traffic growth...
HEADLINES: • CEZ: work on nationalising CEZ could start in the coming months NEUTRAL • Bank Pekao: to see c.PLN 110m of negative one-offs in 4Q25 NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: 4Q25E results preview – 10% yoy EBITDA expansion expected (due on 19 March) NEUTRAL • Romania macro: SAFE loan approved • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (9-15 January)
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: rates unchanged, and some positive news • Murapol: sells 767 and hands over 1,286 units in 4Q25 NEGATIVE • Pepco Group: 1Q26 revenues growth eases to 4% yoy; FY26E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • XTB S.A.: over 250k new clients in 4Q25 in sight NEUTRAL • PZU/Bank Pekao: merger uncertain even by end-4Q27E, according to the Minister of State Assets NEUTRAL • CTP: prices EUR 500m 4Y bond at 3.4%; leases space in Amsterdam to Crisp POSITIVE • Wizz Air: may grow capacity by ...
A director at MBank S.A. sold 73 shares at 1,051.450PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showi...
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