HEADLINES: • AmRest: 3Q24 in line, on a EUR 9m positive one-off NEGATIVE • Eurocash: 3Q24 weak, as expected; FY25E guidance cancelled NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: 3Q24 results review – 26% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth, 2% above our estimate POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 3Q24 EBITDA up 26% yoy, 22-28% above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q24 EBITDA beat, but yoy decline guided for 4Q24E, due to international operations NEUTRAL • Vercom: 3Q24 results - 28% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with ou...
HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: posts strong 3Q24; one of the cheapest among the Polish banks, but remains hostage to merger risk • PKO BP: 3Q24 results – no major surprises • Wizz Air: 2Q FY25 – small miss, with better fuel, but higher ex-fuel cask than we expected NEUTRAL • Bucharest Stock Exchange: weak 3Q24 results NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 3Q24 results and conference call POSITIVE • CTP: 3Q24 in line; development-led growth continues NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q24 EBITDA up by 10% yoy, exceeding the ...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 3Q24 results – strong NII delivery • mBank: underlying 3Q34 business delivery in line; beat on headline net profit due to tax charges NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 3Q24 results – minor miss on high credit risk charges, as corporate NPL ratio surges NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 3Q24, Biedronka at -2% lfl and stable margin erosion; price war continues POSITIVE • Komercni Banka: 3Q24 results – net profit largely in line with expectations • Medicover: 3Q24 operating numbers in l...
HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: solid, good, 3Q24 results in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 3Q24 in line, but we may be at the peak NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 3Q24 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, 2% above consensus on one-offs; EBITDAaL excluding one-offs in line; 2024E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: full 3Q24 results below preliminaries NEGATIVE • CEZ: Babis promoting a buyout of the CEZ minorities POSITIVE • Eurowag: solid 3Q24 trading update POSITIVE • Georgia macro: NBG keeps ...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: 3Q24 traffic, margin descent underway • LPP: regulator initiates proceedings against the company, on the miscommunication of the departure from Russia NEGATIVE • GEVORKYAN: successfully issues EUR 7.5m from the second tranche of its green bond NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (14-20 October) • Sarantis: 3Q24 trading update preview (due on 23 October) • Budimex: 3Q24E EBITDA flat yoy (due on 28 October) • PKO BP: 3Q24E preview (due on 7 November) • OTP Ba...
HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: agrees to acquire Türkiye's Hepsiburada NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q24 highlights - on track to meet guidance NEUTRAL • Al Arabia: MBC Group sells 4.9% of shares of Al Arabia NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: establishment of JV with Jedco completed NEUTRAL • OTE: ANAF imposes EUR 33.5m in additional tax charges related to alleged VAT and CIT miscalculations NEGATIVE • Greece macro/banks: BOG increases the countercyclical capital buffer rate to 0.25%, with effect from October 2025E N...
HEADLINES: • Greek oil refiners: need a little time to shake things up (HELLENiQ Energy downgraded to HOLD, Motor Oil Hellas stays BUY) • VIGO Photonics: 3Q24 sales down 5% yoy, to PLN 15.7m NEGATIVE • Allegro: announces another change in CEO post NEGATIVE • InPost: acquisition of remaining 70% stake in Menzies for GBP 60m POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from an interview with the CFO NEUTRAL • Polish media: TVN put on sale for PLN 5bn, according to Newsweek NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 3Q24E prev...
A director at Comarch S.A. sold 1,493 shares at 332.200PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 58/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...
EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Medicover: private healthcare pioneer keeps on rolling (BUY - initiation of coverage) • OTE: safe dividend play (upgraded to BUY) • National Bank of Greece: HFSF launches the sale of a 10% stake in NBG NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 2Q24 results in negative territory, below our expectations NEGATIVE • mBank: issues traditional profit warning related to the CHF mortgage saga, ahead of 3Q24E results NEUTRAL • InPost: 4.9% price hike for Allegro NEUTRAL • Allegro: introduction of spirits from 21...
HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: risk profile increased materially (downgraded to HOLD) • Lamda Development: breaking ground (stays BUY) • Georgia macro: important elections approaching • CTP: 2024 CMD, the demand led growth continues • NEPI Rockcastle: buys Magnolia Park in Wroclaw for EUR 373m POSITIVE • PZU: has paid more than PLN 111m of claims related to floods, and serviced 70% of filed cases so far POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: incoming CEO talks to Forbes • 11 bit studios: interview with the CEO on...
EM issuance continued at a healthy pace this week, while the macro backdrop continues to point to further monetary easing in developed markets. We expect a slowing in the pace of supply to act as a technical tailwind, keeping spreads well anchored into the end of the year.
HEADLINES: • BIM: weak results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • GEK Terna: 1H24 EBITDA climbs 7%, to EUR 269m, as broadly expected NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H24 results in line, EGM approves share buyback plan NEUTRAL • LPP: key takeaways from the 2Q24 results call POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: appoints Marcin Zygmanowicz and dismisses Magdalena Zmitrowicz from the management board NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Solorz announces plans to dismiss his children from the company NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: signs new PLN 12.2m contract for “e...
Commerzbank spreads head wider as tensions mount between UniCredit and German government. mBank takes a different route with a new green preferred senior. Crédit Agricole comes with a new US$ AT1 to keep layers efficient. La Banque Postale makes its annual recurrence in senior non-pref. The ECB published its banking statistics for 2Q24
Commerzbank spreads head wider as tensions mount between UniCredit and German government. mBank takes a different route with a new green preferred senior. Crédit Agricole comes with a new US$ AT1 to keep layers efficient. La Banque Postale makes its annual recurrence in senior non-pref. The ECB published its banking statistics for 2Q24.
A director at MBank S.A. sold 451 shares at 666.245PLN and the significance rating of the trade was 55/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showin...
HEADLINES: • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: waiting for better times (downgraded to HOLD) • Noval Property: 1H24 – recurring results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: fire at refinery NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: another land plot sales tranche, to lift NAV by 6% POSITIVE • mBank: UniCredit seeks regulator's approval to reach 30% stake in Commerzbank • CTP: raises EUR 300m through an ABB, at EUR 16.0/share • 11...
HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: 1H24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • Orlen: discussing possible deals for Grupa Azoty’s polyolefins business NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: signs a conditional agreement with the EIB for the financing of the HyperPIC project NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: begins construction of a polyethylene complex NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 4Q24E trading update preview (due on 26 September)
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