reports
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China & Hong Kong Property Strategy: CR Land’s acquisition of Shanghai...
The 30 Jul Politburo meeting emphasised strict controls on hidden government debt and high-quality/prudent urban renewal. CR Land’s acquisition of two prime residential projects in Shanghai (Rmb24.5b) highlights opportunities for SOE developers as LGFVs divest assets under stricter oversight. While Tier 1 and 2 cities show further sales weakness, Hong Kong is progressing with destocking, with potential changes to ease capital transfers for mainland talents. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on both sectors...
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China & Hong Kong Property & Property Management Strategy: Mainland ma...
Mainland property sales continued to weaken in July, which may weigh on the recovery of land sales. Potential policy support in 2H25 could be a positive catalyst. The Hong Kong property market showed signs of stabilisation: CCL index has turned positive ytd, while inventory of primary private residential units decreased 3.8% qoq in 2Q25. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on both sectors, favouring CR Land in China for its resilient performance. We also highlight our other top pick, CR Mixc, for its attract...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Philip Wong
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Wei Xiang Ku
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China & Hong Kong Property & Property Management Mainland market continues to weaken, while the Hong Kong residential market progresses with destocking; we highlight CR Land and CR Mixc as top picks. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Archi Indonesia (ARCI IJ/BUY/Rp770/Target: Rp1,280) Well-timed turnaround with true potential waiting to be unlocked. Results Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,750/Target: Rp6,000) 1H25: ...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AIY IFAST
PLANB PLAN B MEDIA
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
02669 CHINA OVERSEAS PROPERTY HOLDINGS LIMITED
ROTH BRITISH AMERICAN TOBACCO BHD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
06098 COUNTRY GARDEN SERVICES HOLDINGS CO. LTD.
6049 POLY PROPERTY SERVICES CO LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01209 CHINA RESOURCES MIXC LIFESTYLE SERVICES (RED CHIP)
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
STM SEATRIUM LTD
DELTA DELTA ELECTRONICS
0303 ALPHA IVF GROUP
ECOSHOP MK ECO-SHOP MARKETING BHD
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
OXB MK OXFORD INNOTECH BHD (OXB MK)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Channel check on Guangzhou’s and Shenzhen’s primary re...
In Guangzhou and Shenzhen, relaxed construction standards have boosted new project efficiency ratios and sales, but increased pressure on older inventory, prompting Guangzhou to tighten rules again in May 25. For Longfor, we expect a 60-70% yoy fall in 1H25 core earnings due to lower DP segment GPM. We lower our earnings forecast and target price for Longfor while maintaining BUY for its resilient IP portfolio and deleveraging progress. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Operational update and 1H25 earnings preview for CR La...
In 1H25, CR Land's revenue is expected to rise about 20% yoy with better-than-expected GPM, but core profit may drop around 5% yoy due to fewer one-off gains. COLI is projected to see a mild revenue growth, with a yoy decline in GPM, leading to an around 20% yoy drop in core profit. Although sales of both CR Land and COLI fell short of targets, 1H25 financials were better than the market had feared. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Property sales and prices weakened further in June and...
Held on 14-15 July, the central urban work conference set a pragmatic tone on urbanisation without any mention of large-scale urban redevelopment. The updated framework set at the meeting will help lower policy uncertainty in the medium term, in our view. With the continuous weakening of property sales in June-July 25 and further declines in property prices in all city tiers, the mid-year Politburo meeting at the end of July 25 remains a key policy window. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; top pick: CR La...
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Sunny Chen
- Tham Mun Hon
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 16, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Resilient 1H25 growth of 5.3% yoy belies rising downside pressure. Sector Healthcare Weekly: Gaining strength on robust earnings outlook and pipeline growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Property sales and prices weakened further in J...
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
300015 AIER EYE HOSPITAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00241 ALIBABA HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY LTD.
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
7160 PENTAMASTER CORP. BHD
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
0097 VITROX
X2S SINOPHARM GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
INRI INARI AMERTRON BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
3933 THE UNITED LABORATORIES INTE
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
SKP SKP RESOURCES BHD
HCM HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
1833 PING AN HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY COMPANY LIMITED
300760 SHENZHEN MINDRAY BIO-MEDICAL ELECTRONICS CO. LTD. CLASS A
603882 GUANGZHOU KINGMED DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
GREATEC GREATECH TECHNOLOGY BHD
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
3692 HANSOH PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
BBTN BANK TABUNGAN NEGARA PERSERO TBK PT
CORAZA CORAZA INTEGRATED TECHNOLOGY BERHAD
300765 WUXI APPTEC CO. LTD. CLASS H
ITMAX CSPC INNOVATION PHARMACEUTICAL CO L
NATGATE ITMAX SYSTEM BHD
300244 NATIONGATE HOLDINGS BHD
NE DIAN DIAGNOSTICS GROUP CO
NORTHEAST GROUP BHD (NE MK)
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Channel check on Hangzhou’s primary residential market...
Hangzhou’s property market saw weaker June sales but a stable 1H25 performance, with a stronger performance in the upgrade segment. Core area projects saw high sell-through rates and strong demand for large units. The removal of pricing restrictions in Hangzhou has enabled developers to adopt more flexible pricing and strategies. We see a higher likelihood of policy support being announced during the July Politburo meeting. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China and Hong Kong Property Strategy: Weakening sales in China has ra...
For China’s property sector, Jun 25 preliminary data pointed to weakening sales, while the land market saw a clearer divergence. Weakened fundamentals may raise hopes of policy support in the July Politburo meeting. In Hong Kong, with the rental index in May 25 only 2.4% lower than the peak in Aug 19, we see signs of a stabilisation of property prices. However, a rebound in HIBOR may test the strength of sales recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT for both sectors with a preference for China property...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Damon Shen
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kong Ho Meng
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Singapore Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, June 30, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy Property Weakening sales in China has raised hopes of policy support in July; rebound in HIBOR will test the strength of recovery in Hong Kong property sales. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp5,025/Target: Rp6,000) 5M25: Steady earnings amid NIM pressure. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas ...
OU8 CENTURION
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
5218 SAPURA ENERGY BHD
AIY IFAST
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
3816 MISC BHD
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
7113 TOP GLOVE CORPORATION BHD.
AP AP THAILAND
5243 VELESTO ENERGY
UZMA UZMA BHD
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
NETLINK NETLINK NBN TRUST
SIE SIA ENGINEERING CO LTD
GAM GAMUDA BHD
BAB BUMI ARMADA BERHAD
SPOST SINGAPORE POST LTD
DLG DIALOG GROUP BHD
MMHE MALAYSIA MARINE AND HEAVY EN
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
RFMD RAFFLES MEDICAL GROUP LTD
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
DLUM DELEUM BERHAD
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PETGAS PETRONAS GAS BHD
- Leonard Law
- Trung Nguyen
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: New- and secondary-home transactions in Tier 1 cities ...
Since June, more cities have allowed HPF to be used for downpayments, although the usage for second-hand homes remains limited. YOY growth in new- and secondhand home transaction volumes in Tier 1 cities turned negative in Jun 25, pointing to a further weakening in market sentiment. While supply in Tier 1 cities remains stable and the HPF policy may offer some support, major policy easing is unlikely in the near term. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverg...
The latest data from the NBS indicates that the weakness in both sales and investment sentiment within China's property industry, observed in April, continued into May 25. Market sentiment continues to diverge across city tiers – Tier 1 cities outperformed while lower-tier cities struggled. Despite Premier Li Qiang’s pledge to boost demand and stabilise the market, significant policy easing is unlikely before end-July, contributing to expected volatility in developer stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Jieqi Liu
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Thailand Research Team
- Tham Mun Hon
- Wei Xiang Ku
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...
ORI ORIGIN PROPERTY
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
QH QUALITY HOUSES
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
SPALI SUPALAI PCL
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
BH BUMRUNGRAD HOSPITAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
AP AP THAILAND
CHG CHULARAT HOSPITAL
AOT AIRPORTS OF THAILAND PUBLIC CO. LTD.
LPN LPN DEVELOPMENT PCL
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
PSH PRUKSA HOLDING PCL
BRMS IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: Shenzhen taps HPF for down payments to stabilise the p...
Shenzhen will allow homebuyers to use HPF for down payments, following Guangzhou’s strategy. With growing balances, HPF is expected to become one of the major policy tools to stabilise the property market in 2025. In 5M25, some top-tier cities saw strong growth in land sales, outperforming the national market. Sales data for key cities in Jun 25 point to a yoy fall in both new home sales and secondary transactions. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China & Hong Kong Property, Hong Kong Landlord Strategy: Manageable pr...
In May 25, data from 28 cities and the top 100 developers’ sales point to a mom increase but yoy fall in new home sales. Secondary transactions in 12 cities continued to see a yoy hike. Homebuyers’ sentiments remain weak and divergent among cities, but better supply-demand dynamics lower the urge to introduce strong policies. For Hong Kong, the gentle yoy decline in retail sales and stronger tourist numbers growth are positive developments. Maintain sector ratings. Top picks: CR Land, SHKP and L...
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
- Jo Yee Ng
- Johnny Yum
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Singapore Research Team
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 03, 2025
GREATER CHINA Strategy China Property & Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Manageable pressure in mainland property market; improved tourism and retail sales momentum in Hong Kong. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances in May Good performances from most with the exception of GOTO and BUKA. MALAYSIA Results CIMB Group (CIMB MK/HOLD/RM6.93/Target: RM7.70) 1Q25: Earnings in line, underpinned by lower provisions. Mai...
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
1023 CIMB GROUP HOLDINGS BHD
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
00014 HYSAN DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
01997 WHARF REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CO. LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSGB MAH SING GROUP BHD
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
STM SEATRIUM LTD
DKFT IJ CENTRAL OMEGA RESOURCES
- Felix Fischer
Asia Monthly – May 2025 In Review - Lucror Analytics
In our latest Asia Monthly, we discuss the performance of major Asian credit indices and review UST curve movements in May 2025. We also provide a recap of major news and macroeconomic releases, including those from the US, China, India, Indonesia and Japan. In addition, we summarise the top/bottom performers, recent USD bond issuances and rating actions in Asian corporate credit, as well as a list of our recent research. The Asia Monthly publication serves to keep investors updated on devel...
M04 MGM CHINA HOLDINGS LIMITED
MAS MELCO RESORTS & ENTERTAINMENT LIMITED SPONSORED ADR
JSWSTEEL JSW STEEL LIMITED
00813 SHIMAO GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
XGH CHINA WATER AFFAIRS GROUP LIMITED
00817 ENN ENERGY HOLDINGS LIMITED
CHINA JINMAO HOLDINGS GROUP LIMITED
01238 CENTRAL CHINA REAL ESTATE LIMITED
00992 POWERLONG REAL ESTATE HOLDINGS LTD.
VED LENOVO GROUP LIMITED
02777 VEDANTA RESOURCES PLC
03383 GUANGZHOU R&F PROPERTIES CO. LTD. CLASS H
TATASTEEL AGILE GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
4755 TATA STEEL LIMITED
MEDC RAKUTEN INC.
ICT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
01098 INTERNATIONAL CONTAINER TERMINAL SERVICES INC.
00603 ROAD KING INFRASTRUCTURE LIMITED
OL5 CHINA OIL & GAS GROUP LTD.
Z25 SHUI ON LAND LTD.
SXC YANLORD LAND GROUP LIMITED
03377 SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00880 SINO-OCEAN GROUP HOLDING LTD.
INDY SJM HOLDINGS LIMITED
8WY PT INDIKA ENERGY TBK
01668 WYNN MACAU LTD.
WFG1 CHINA SOUTH CITY HOLDINGS LIMITED
SCNR WEST CHINA CEMENT LTD.
01030 SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
00884 SEAZEN GROUP LTD.
JPFA CIFI HOLDINGS (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00142 JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
600803 FIRST PACIFIC CO. LTD.
JFC ENN ECOLOGICAL HOLDINGS (A)
KIJA JOLLIBEE FOODS CORP.
BIOCON PT KAWASAN INDUSTRI JABABEKA TBK CLASS A
9984 BIOCON LIMITED
SM SOFTBANK GROUP CORP.
00405 SM INVESTMENTS CORPORATION
KOU YUEXIU REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
VLL KWG GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
00656 VISTA LAND & LIFESCAPES INC.
ADANIPORTS FOSUN INTERNATIONAL LIMITED
PWON ADANI PORTS & SPECIAL ECONOMIC ZONE LTD.
ICBP PT PAKUWON JATI TBK
TBIG PT INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR TBK
599A PT TOWER BERSAMA INFRASTRUCTURE TBK
TATAMOTORS SANDS CHINA LTD.
ADANITRANS TATA MOTORS LIMITED
POWR ADANI TRANSMISSION LTD.
AZRE PT CIKARANG LISTRINDO TBK
01112 AZURE POWER GLOBAL LTD.
VHM HEALTH AND HAPPINESS (H&H) INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
MSC VINHOMES
ADANIGREEN STUDIO CITY INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS ADS
00017 ADANI GREEN ENERGY LIMITED
RNW NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
PGEO RENEW ENERGY GLOBAL PLC
PT. PERTAMINA GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
- Damon Shen
- Jieqi Liu
China Property: New home sales improved mom in May 25; channel check o...
In May 25, overall new home sales improved compared with Apr 25. The second-hand home market remains resilient thanks to flexible pricing. We visited three residential projects with the following takeaways: a) discounts in Suzhou are larger, b) smaller units saw a higher sell-through rate, and c) the proportion of new home sales units is shrinking. We think property market sentiment is still weak. Continuous policy support is needed. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.
- Leonard Law
- Si Yong Ng
- Trung Nguyen
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