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Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Weekly bulletin - 5 May - 9 May 2025

The Bulgarian stock market finished the last week on an upbeat mode as world markets continued to recover from the sharp pullback during the last months. The positive sentiment pushed the benchmark SOFIX up with 3.7% to settle at 927.04, while all other major indexes closed in green, ranging from 2.8% to 0.1%. The news about starting the procedure for dual listing of Sirma Group Holding (SGH, BGN 1.21, +11.0%) put the company on the top of the gainers in our list of selected securities, followed...

Research Team
  • Research Team
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D. ... (+14)

WOOD Daily: OPTIMA GA; PKO PW; SOKM TI; RICHT HB; ARABIAND AB; TPE PW;...

HEADLINES: • Optima Bank: a touch of Midas, none of Icarus (BUY - initiation of coverage) • PKO BP: solid 1Q25 results, in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Sok Marketler Ticaret: 1Q25 results – significant miss NEGATIVE • Richter: 1Q25 results in line NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 1Q25 results NEUTRAL • Tauron: 1Q25 preliminary EBITDA 16% above our expectations POSITIVE • Kaspi.kz: 1Q25 highlights; 2025E guidance revised down NEGATIVE • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q25 results highlights • Zabka (NOT RATED): ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MIL PW; JAHEZ AB; CCC PW; APR PW; CAR PW; RICHT HB; FROTO ...

HEADLINES: • Bank Millennium: solid, but neutral, set of 1Q25 results; FX mortgage saga still eating material part of profits • Jahez: mixed 1Q25 results, affected by seasonality and intensified competition NEGATIVE • CCC: preliminary 1Q25 EBITDA beats expectations by 2-8%, on FX differences NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: April sales growth slows down to 5% yoy NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: April sales growth decelerates to 6% yoy NEGATIVE • Richter: Trump promises 30-80% cuts in US drug prices NEGATIVE • For...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 8 May 2025

The Bulgarian equity market had a mixed showing on Wednesday, though all major indexes registered gains in range between 0.25% and 0.66% led by the tech sector. The news about started procedure for dual listing of Sirma Group (SGH, BGN 1.17, +5.41%) attracted investors and the price quickly reached BGN 1.18 as the optimism spread out and Shelly Group (SLYG, EUR 35.20, +1.44%) met some buying interest too. The trading activity was widely based and the volumes improved significantly compared to pr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ING PW; JMT PL; BHW PW; BDX PW; MGROS TI; TBCG LN; CGEO LN...

HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q25 results in line with expectations and our annual 2025E expectations NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: beat in 1Q25; Biedronka margin stabilised, despite adverse calendar effect; FY25E guidance maintained POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: dull 1Q25 results; dividend recommendation due later in May; uncertainty over impact of sale of retail operations persisting NEUTRAL • Budimex: 1Q25 EBITDA misses forecast slightly, backlog down marginally qoq, but rising amount of pending contracts...

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  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: RBI AV; ADNOCDIS UH; ENA PW; TITC GA; RO Macro; BRISA TI; ...

HEADLINES: • Raiffeisen Bank International: 1Q25 results largely in line NEUTRAL • ADNOC Distribution: 1Q25 results NEUTRAL • Enea: preliminary 1Q25 EBITDA 13% above our expectations, driven by strong Supply; only 8% of 2025E capex plan realisation POSITIVE • Titan America: soft 1Q25 results, guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Romania macro: reflections on the resignation of PM Ciolacu • Brisa: takeaways from the 1Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: earnings call takeaways - targeting 2025E revenu...

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  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: BRISA TI; AIRA LI; VGO PW; DSPW CP; PCF PW; CIMSA TI; AKCN...

HEADLINES: • Brisa: reports weak 1Q25 numbers, as expected NEGATIVE • Air Astana Group: 1Q25 – first take broadly in line • VIGO Photonics: full 4Q24 results – miss on adjusted EBITDA, slight beat on net profit NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 2024 P&L numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • PCF Group: post-4Q24 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Cimsa: 1Q25 conference call takeaways • Akcansa: 1Q25 conference call takeaways • Solutions by STC: 1Q25 conference call takeaways • CEZ: to...

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  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the red in A...

EME Equity Market – April 2025 EME indices mostly in the red in April, Hungarian BUX and Greek ASE the exceptions. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.0% mom in EUR terms, but was up 2.9% mom in USD terms in April. The Hungarian BUX was the best performer, followed by the Greek ASE index (+3.5% and 0.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively). There was a slight decline in the Polish WIG20, and more pronounced deteriorations in the Romanian BET and Czech PX indices (-0.6%, -2.0% and -4.2% mom in EUR ...

GARAN TURKIYE GARANTI BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
YKBNK YAPI VE KREDI BANKASI A.S.
OMV OMV AG
ISCTR TURKIYE IS BANKASI ANONIM SIRKETI CLASS C
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
DOC DO & CO AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
AKBNK AKBANK TAS
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
MCOV B MEDICOVER AB
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAG DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Morning Bulletin - 30 April 2025

The Bulgarian equity market continued to be sluggish and the main indexed finished with small changes on Wednesday. Shelly (SLYG, EUR 33.70, +1.81%) and First Investment Bank (FIB, BGN 3.98, +1.53%) supported the indexes with moderate buying interest, while Eleven Capital (11C, BGN 13.00, -5.80%) and Agria Group (AGH, BGN 21.60, -3.57%) took over some sell pressure and placed BGTR30 (868.18, -0.36%) on negative territory. The volumes remained low as the trading activity was poor, though block tr...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PEO PW; KOMB CP; EBS AV; MBK PW; SPL PW; CCC PW; PCF PW; C...

HEADLINES: • Bank Pekao: very solid 1Q25, supporting our 2025E 20%+ ROE, trading at 1.3x BV and a 9%+ yield very attractive • Komercni Banka: beat on 1Q25 bottom line driven by LLPs releases, pre-provision profit falls short of expectations NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q25 results in line; 2025E ROTE guidance sustained, but market focus on potential big M&A effort • mBank: 1Q25 solid, but valuation reflects recovery already; 2025E revenue guidance a little disappointing • Santander Bank Polska: solid ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: THEON NA; KRU PW; SAB1L LH; MCOVB SS; OTKAR TI; TOASO TI; ...

HEADLINES: • Theon International: 1Q25 trading update – strong execution, rich options POSITIVE • Kruk: 1Q25 results, beat driven by Wonga, debt purchased segment in line, but slowing growth dynamics NEUTRAL • Siauliu Bankas: rather weak 1Q25, but maintained outlook should provide some support NEGATIVE • Medicover: 1Q25 beat on admin costs and other financial income POSITIVE • Otokar: 1Q25 results – continuing losses on the operating and bottom lines • Tofas: weak set of results in 1Q25, as anti...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; AKBNK TI; YKBNK TI; SOLUTION AB; PL Macro; PCF P...

HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak set of results in 1Q25 NEGATIVE • Akbank: 1Q25 highlights – management cautious on margin, but positive on fees • Yapi Kredi: 1Q25 highlights, before the call – beat on NII and fees (evolved better than the guidance) • Solutions by STC: weak 1Q25 financial results, disappointing revenue growth NEGATIVE • Poland macro: April data paint an encouraging picture • PCF Group: PLN 173m write-offs to hit the 2024 results, related mostly to Bifrost NEGATIVE • Richter: positive ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DOC AV; DIA PW; ALR PW; MONET CP; MYTIL GA; 11B PW; MBR PW...

HEADLINES: • DO & CO: the art of the meal (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Diagnostyka: strong 4Q24, in line with the prelims NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 1Q25 a little below 1Q25E expectations, but valuation (1Q25 P/BV at 1.2x) still very low NEUTRAL • MONETA Money Bank: 1Q25 results almost in line with expectations, ROE of 18% fully priced in by 1Q25 P/BV of 2.2x NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: 1Q25 sales +31% yoy, to EUR 1.5bn, in line NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: strategy update, expands pipeline to...

Mihail Dimitrov ... (+2)
  • Mihail Dimitrov
  • Veselin Radoychev Please Change Surname

Weekly bulletin - 14 April - 17 April 2025

The Bulgarian stocks marked a mixed week, as during the four trading days, the local benchmark SOFIX added 0.4% to settle at 885.82. The broader BGBX40 (169.95, +0.5%) and BGTR30 (865.83, -1.8%) ended in opposite directions. In this shortened trading week the turnover barely reached 49% of its YTD average, while block deal with one illiquid name pushed the volumes (+186.9% YTD avg.) to an unusual level. The weekly top performers within our selected companies were Trace Group Hold (T57, BGN 6.0, ...

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