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Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA (Buy, TP: NOK87.00) - Still-attractive value

We have cut our near-term forecast to reflect heightened uncertainty and more cautious full-year guidance, but remain confident that the majority (79%) of the current market cap should be derisked by end-2027e, leaving an attractive stub value for the long-term business potential in the world-leading car carrier. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK87 (91).

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA (Buy, TP: NOK91.00) - Solid value in troublin...

Challenging times for the car carriers is reflected in depressed equity valuations. We believe a considerable backlog to derisk the investment over time, and potential upside on any respite in peaking trade tensions, make for an attractive investment case. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK91 (115).

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Another abrupt change

The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

25% tariff on US car imports

Yesterday’s news is likely to weigh on the car carrier sector as it strikes at the core of shipping demand. We would expect headwinds for the stocks.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

‘The times they are a-changin’

The recurring theme at our 18th Energy & Shipping Conference was geopolitical uncertainty and a potential trade war, warranting a wait-and-see approach, particularly on the Trump 2.0 effect. The consensus view pointed to high asset values, with no rush to the yards, aligning with below-NAV valuations across most of our coverage. However, panellists generally saw less downside risk than the 25% average discount to steel for our Tanker, Dry Bulk and Gas coverage. Overall, the day highlighted uncer...

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen
Jørgen Lian
  • Jørgen Lian

Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA (Buy, TP: NOK123.00) - Start of something goo...

The inaugural H2 extraordinary dividend marks a new beginning for a company that has spent recent years shedding debt and improving its balance sheet. We view this move positively, and believe it is just the beginning. Our forecasts suggest cNOK90/share could be distributed to shareholders by end-2027. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK123 (125).

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

DPS beat in Q4, but lower '25 guidance range

Adj. EBITDA of USD 446m (+2% vs. ABGSC, -2% vs. cons); Shipping and Government above, logistics below; DPS beat warrants positive share price reaction, despite lower '25 guidance.

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