View 
FILTERS (0)
* Not connected to ResearchPool

MORE FILTERS

  
reports
Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China Property: 1H25 Results Wrap-Up; Will The Removal Of HPRs In Non-...

In 1H25, Chinese developers faced declining profitability but stable balance sheets. Supportive policies drive a positive outlook. On 5 September, Shenzhen eased HPRs in non-core areas after Beijing and Shanghai, though Beijing's August sales disappointed. Further market consolidation is expected. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT and CR Land as our top pick.

Benyamin Mikael ... (+14)
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Ming San Soong
  • Philip Wong
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 09, 2025

Greater China Economics | Trade China’s export momentum softened in August as front-loaded US demand has faded, exposing the vulnerability of shipments to the US market. While the trade diversion supported flows to ASEAN and the EU, overall growth moderated. Imports also weakened amid subdued agricultural demand, despite firmer commodity-related inflows. Pro...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

Longfor Group Holdings (960 HK): 1H25: Results in line with strengthen...

Longfor's core net profit fell 70% yoy due to an estimated Rmb26b net loss from PD. Recurring business stayed resilient despite AEIs. Net OCF improved to Rmb2.0b with stronger debt metrics. With Rmb120b in saleable resources in 2H25 and a strong mall pipeline, management targets Rmb10b positive OCF and Rmb30b debt reduction in 2025. We cut PD margin and earnings forecasts. Roll to FY25/26 blended recurring earnings and raise PD’s P/B, thus lifting our target price to HK$11.98. Maintain BUY.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+21)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Monday, September 1, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics PMI August's manufacturing PMI edged up slightly to 49.4 (+0.1pt mom), while non-manufacturing PMI improved modestly to 50.3 (+0.2pt mom). However, construction PMI fell to 49.1 (-1.5pt mom), below the expansion threshold for the first time since January. With moderating decline in new orders and new export orders, PMI for large-sized enterprise (50.8, +0.5pt mom) and small-sized enterprise (46.6, +0.2pt mom) both improved. Overall, a mixed bag. Results Alibaba Group...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China & Hong Kong Property Strategy: CR Land’s acquisition of Shanghai...

The 30 Jul Politburo meeting emphasised strict controls on hidden government debt and high-quality/prudent urban renewal. CR Land’s acquisition of two prime residential projects in Shanghai (Rmb24.5b) highlights opportunities for SOE developers as LGFVs divest assets under stricter oversight. While Tier 1 and 2 cities show further sales weakness, Hong Kong is progressing with destocking, with potential changes to ease capital transfers for mainland talents. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on both sectors...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China & Hong Kong Property & Property Management Strategy: Mainland ma...

Mainland property sales continued to weaken in July, which may weigh on the recovery of land sales. Potential policy support in 2H25 could be a positive catalyst. The Hong Kong property market showed signs of stabilisation: CCL index has turned positive ytd, while inventory of primary private residential units decreased 3.8% qoq in 2Q25. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on both sectors, favouring CR Land in China for its resilient performance. We also highlight our other top pick, CR Mixc, for its attract...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+17)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Philip Wong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Wei Xiang Ku
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, July 29, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy China & Hong Kong Property & Property Management Mainland market continues to weaken, while the Hong Kong residential market progresses with destocking; we highlight CR Land and CR Mixc as top picks. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Archi Indonesia (ARCI IJ/BUY/Rp770/Target: Rp1,280) Well-timed turnaround with true potential waiting to be unlocked. Results Cisarua Mountain Dairy (CMRY IJ/BUY/Rp4,750/Target: Rp6,000) 1H25: ...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China Property: Channel check on Guangzhou’s and Shenzhen’s primary re...

In Guangzhou and Shenzhen, relaxed construction standards have boosted new project efficiency ratios and sales, but increased pressure on older inventory, prompting Guangzhou to tighten rules again in May 25. For Longfor, we expect a 60-70% yoy fall in 1H25 core earnings due to lower DP segment GPM. We lower our earnings forecast and target price for Longfor while maintaining BUY for its resilient IP portfolio and deleveraging progress. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China Property: Operational update and 1H25 earnings preview for CR La...

In 1H25, CR Land's revenue is expected to rise about 20% yoy with better-than-expected GPM, but core profit may drop around 5% yoy due to fewer one-off gains. COLI is projected to see a mild revenue growth, with a yoy decline in GPM, leading to an around 20% yoy drop in core profit. Although sales of both CR Land and COLI fell short of targets, 1H25 financials were better than the market had feared. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China Property: Property sales and prices weakened further in June and...

Held on 14-15 July, the central urban work conference set a pragmatic tone on urbanisation without any mention of large-scale urban redevelopment. The updated framework set at the meeting will help lower policy uncertainty in the medium term, in our view. With the continuous weakening of property sales in June-July 25 and further declines in property prices in all city tiers, the mid-year Politburo meeting at the end of July 25 remains a key policy window. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT; top pick: CR La...

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+15)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jieqi Liu
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, July 16, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Resilient 1H25 growth of 5.3% yoy belies rising downside pressure. Sector Healthcare Weekly: Gaining strength on robust earnings outlook and pipeline growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Property sales and prices weakened further in J...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China Property: Channel check on Hangzhou’s primary residential market...

Hangzhou’s property market saw weaker June sales but a stable 1H25 performance, with a stronger performance in the upgrade segment. Core area projects saw high sell-through rates and strong demand for large units. The removal of pricing restrictions in Hangzhou has enabled developers to adopt more flexible pricing and strategies. We see a higher likelihood of policy support being announced during the July Politburo meeting. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.

Greater China Research Team
  • Greater China Research Team

Greater China Strategy: Alpha Picks -- July Conviction Calls

June’s HSI and MSCI China Index rose 3.4% mom and 4.0% mom respectively, despite the pullback due to the Middle East tensions. July may see increased volatility as the US looks to bring the tariff negotiations to a close. At this juncture, we continue to favour domestic policy beneficiaries and sector leaders. New additions to our BUY list are CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and Tencent Music Entertainment. We take profit on Prudential.

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, July 03, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...

BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
AEONTS AEON THANA SINSAP (THAILAND) PCL
CK CH. KARNCHANG PCL
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
A0M4P7 HAN'S LASER TECHNOLOGY INDUSTRY GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AIY IFAST
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
01177 SINO BIOPHARMACEUTICAL LIMITED
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
TCAP THANACHART CAPITAL PCL
MIKA MITRA KELUARGA KARYASEHAT
SAWAD SRISAWAD CORPORATION PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
01810 XIAOMI CORP. CLASS B
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
MTC MUANGTHAI CAPITAL PCL
SSG SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CPALL TB CP ALL
01801 INNOVENT BIOLOGICS INC.
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
09999 NETEASE INC
CICT CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
02618 JD LOGISTICS INC
02423 KE HOLDINGS INC.
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
SDG SD GUTHRIE BHD
STECON STECON GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
1698 HK TENCENT MUSIC ENTERTAINMENT GROUP
TIDLOR TIDLOR HOLDINGS PCL
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China and Hong Kong Property Strategy: Weakening sales in China has ra...

For China’s property sector, Jun 25 preliminary data pointed to weakening sales, while the land market saw a clearer divergence. Weakened fundamentals may raise hopes of policy support in the July Politburo meeting. In Hong Kong, with the rental index in May 25 only 2.4% lower than the peak in Aug 19, we see signs of a stabilisation of property prices. However, a rebound in HIBOR may test the strength of sales recovery. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT for both sectors with a preference for China property...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+10)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Damon Shen
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Singapore Research Team

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, June 30, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Property Weakening sales in China has raised hopes of policy support in July; rebound in HIBOR will test the strength of recovery in Hong Kong property sales. INDONESIA Update Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ/BUY/Rp5,025/Target: Rp6,000) 5M25: Steady earnings amid NIM pressure. MALAYSIA Sector Oil & Gas ...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China Property: New- and secondary-home transactions in Tier 1 cities ...

Since June, more cities have allowed HPF to be used for downpayments, although the usage for second-hand homes remains limited. YOY growth in new- and secondhand home transaction volumes in Tier 1 cities turned negative in Jun 25, pointing to a further weakening in market sentiment. While supply in Tier 1 cities remains stable and the HPF policy may offer some support, major policy easing is unlikely in the near term. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China Property: Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverg...

The latest data from the NBS indicates that the weakness in both sales and investment sentiment within China's property industry, observed in April, continued into May 25. Market sentiment continues to diverge across city tiers – Tier 1 cities outperformed while lower-tier cities struggled. Despite Premier Li Qiang’s pledge to boost demand and stabilise the market, significant policy easing is unlikely before end-July, contributing to expected volatility in developer stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Benjaphol Suthwanish ... (+13)
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, June 17, 2025

GREATER CHINA Economics Economic Activity Mixed bag for May. Sector Property Property market weakens further in May 25, with diverging city-tier performance. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Bumi Resources Minerals (BRMS IJ/BUY/Rp454/Target: Rp610) Soaring to new heights; initiate coverage with BUY. MALAYSIA Update Press Metal ...

Damon Shen ... (+2)
  • Damon Shen
  • Jieqi Liu

China Property: Shenzhen taps HPF for down payments to stabilise the p...

Shenzhen will allow homebuyers to use HPF for down payments, following Guangzhou’s strategy. With growing balances, HPF is expected to become one of the major policy tools to stabilise the property market in 2025. In 5M25, some top-tier cities saw strong growth in land sales, outperforming the national market. Sales data for key cities in Jun 25 point to a yoy fall in both new home sales and secondary transactions. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top pick: CR Land.

Loading...
New interest

Save your current filters as a new Interest

Please enter a name for this interest

Email alerts

Would you like to receive real-time email alerts when a new report is published under this interest?

Save This Search

These search results will show up under 'Saved searches' in the left panel

Please enter a name for this saved search

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch