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Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Indorama Ventures (IVL TB) - Key Takeaways From Taiwan Roadshow

ASEAN Gems Corporate Highlights | Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt19.70/Target: Bt25.00) IVL met regional fund managers at our Asian Gems Conference in Taiwan last week, and with discussions were focused on Chinese overcapacity and the potential impact from the Middle East tensions. Management expects Chinese capacity additions to peak in 2026, which could ease industry supply pressure. Geopolitical disruptions may also support spreads through higher oil prices and freight costs. Meanwhile, mana...

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Thailand Daily - Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Top Stories ASEAN Gems Corporate Highlights | Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt19.70/Target: Bt25.00) IVL met regional fund managers at our Asian Gems Conference in Taiwan last week, and with discussions were focused on Chinese overcapacity and the potential impact from the Middle East tensions. Management expects Chinese capacity additions to peak in 2026, which could ease industry supply pressure. Geopolitical disruptions may also support spreads through higher oil prices and freight costs. Me...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+16)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Audrey Celia
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Damon Shen
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Joyce Chu
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kate Luang
  • Keith Wee Teck Keong
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Tham Mun Hon
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Greater China Economics | Economic Activity Economic activity in 2M26 broadly surprised to the upside. Industrial production accelerated to 6.3% yoy, while retail sales recovered to 2.8% yoy. FAI ytd rebounded to 1.8% yoy, beating expectations of a contraction, supported by strong infrastructure spending and a marked improvement in property FAI ytd to −11.1% yoy. However, it remains to be seen if the rebound is sustainable, as February’s PMI remained in contractionary territory at 49.0. Se...

Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - March 2026

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: March Conviction Calls Chinese equities consolidated further in February, with the HSI and MSCI China Index declining 2.8% mom and 5.6% mom, respectively. March is expected to be volatile, as there are signs that the Middle East conflict could last for a while. We focus on names which have greater domestic exposure, adding Anta, China Duty Free, FII, Futu, Kuaishou and Tencent to our BUY list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: Rotating To Commodities Amid M...

BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
ENRG ENERGI MEGA PERSADA
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
MINT-R MINOR INTERNATIONAL PCL NVDR
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09999 NETEASE INC
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
0303 ALPHA IVF GROUP
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ZETRIX MK ZETRIX AI (ZETRIX MK)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
UGAI ULTRAGREEN.AI LIMITED
Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Indorama Ventures (IVL TB) - 4Q25: Weak Results But Recovery Expected ...

Company Results | Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt22.90/Target: Bt25.00) IVL reported a 4Q25 net loss of Bt4.7b, with core loss at Bt2.9b as weaker spreads and lower utilisation pressured margins. Production declined 4% qoq to 3.04m tonnes, while core EBITDA/tonne fell to US$73. 2025 recorded a core loss of Bt3.1b versus a Bt6.2b profit in 2024. Management declared a Bt0.175 dividend (0.8% yield). We believe 4Q25 marks the trough, with 2026 recovery supported by fewer shutdowns, US PET tariff be...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+5)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily - Wednesday, March 04, 2026

Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: Focusing On Stocks That Dose Not Impact Form Geopolitical Our portfolio returns underperformed the market in Feb 26 (+10.9% vs +15.3%). We have a positive view on the SET Index as benefits from the investment rotation away from the treasury market and higher crude oil prices should support energy stocks. We take profit on ADVANC and IVL. We add AOT, CRC, and HANA to our portfolio. Company Results | Charoen Pokphand Foods (CPF TB/HOLD/Bt20.40/Target: Bt21.0...

Andrew Agita Buntoro ... (+11)
  • Andrew Agita Buntoro
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Philip Wong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, February 05, 2026

Greater China Company Results | Yum China Holdings, Inc (9987 HK/NOT RATED/HK$392.40) In 4Q25, YUMC’s total revenue reached US$2,823m, up 9% yoy. Total system sales grew 7% yoy, with a 3% increase in same-store sales. Operating profit rose 25% yoy to US$187m, with operating margin at 6.6% (+80bp). For 1Q26, management targets positive SSS. It aims to maintain flat yoy restaurant margin and operating profit margin on a high base. For 2026, it expects to open more than 1,900 net new stores, wi...

Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks – February 2026

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite the risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, and Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Strategy | Alpha Picks: From MSCI Shock To Policy-Driven Rebala...

BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
A117ME ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD. SPONSORED ADR
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
ENRG ENERGI MEGA PERSADA
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
002460 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS A
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
MINT-R MINOR INTERNATIONAL PCL NVDR
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
CPN-R CENTRAL PATTANA PCL NVDR
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09999 NETEASE INC
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
PXP PLAINS EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION COMPANY
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
0303 ALPHA IVF GROUP
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ZETRIX MK ZETRIX AI (ZETRIX MK)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
UGAI ULTRAGREEN.AI LIMITED
Audrey Celia ... (+16)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Damon Shen
  • Gigi Cheuk
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Joyce Chu
  • Kate Luang
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, February 03, 2026

Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....

BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
WPRTS MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
06088 WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
ICBP FIT HON TENG LIMITED
RATCH INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
UHU RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
CRPU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
SCGP CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP SCG PACKAGING PCL
OXMU LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN PRIME US REIT
CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
BBNI KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
GOTO BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
MXNU PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
DCRU CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
Greater China Research Team ... (+5)
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Thailand Research Team

Regional Strategy: Alpha Picks - January 2026

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December pic...

BDMS BANGKOK DUSIT MEDICAL SERVICES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
00388 HONG KONG EXCHANGES & CLEARING LTD.
ENRG ENERGI MEGA PERSADA
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
BN4 KEPPEL CORPORATION LIMITED
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
MINT-R MINOR INTERNATIONAL PCL NVDR
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
RSTON RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09999 NETEASE INC
SCGP SCG PACKAGING PCL
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
2269 WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
OR PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
06160 BEIGENE LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
YINSON YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
IOIPG IOI PROPERTIES GROUP BHD
0303 ALPHA IVF GROUP
LAGENDA LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
1523 PLOVER BAY TECHNOLOGIES LTD (1523 HK)
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ZETRIX MK ZETRIX AI (ZETRIX MK)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
002371 CH NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
UGAI ULTRAGREEN.AI LIMITED
Andrew Agita Buntoro ... (+16)
  • Andrew Agita Buntoro
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Philip Wong
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, January 06, 2026

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls Chinese equities remained in consolidation through December, with the HSI and MSCI China down 0.9% mom and 1.5% mom, respectively, despite last week’s window dressing narrowing losses. Policy signals from the Economic Work Conference broadly met expectations. Looking ahead, we are constructive on 1Q26, supported by a favourable global liquidity cycle and potential macro supportive measures in China. We retain most of our December...

Audrey Celia ... (+15)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, December 02, 2025

Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Indorama Ventures (IVL TB) - 3Q25: Results In Line With Our Expectatio...

Company Results | Indorama Ventures (IVL/BUY/Bt17.6/Target: Bt27.00) IVL reported 3Q25 core profit of Bt177m and a net loss of Bt818m, both in line with expectations. Core EBITDA fell 15% qoq and 35% yoy to US$279m, pressured by weaker PET spreads and scheduled PO/MTBE maintenance. We see a gradual recovery starting from 4Q25 and stronger 2026 earnings on spread improvement, tariff benefits, and lower energy costs, targeting EBITDA ~US$1.4b. The planned IPOs of Indovinya (IOD) and Indovida (Pack...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+4)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thanawat Thangchadakorn

Thailand Daily - Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Top Stories Company Results | Betagro (BTG TB/BUY/Bt16.70/Target: Bt20.00) Betagro’s 3Q25 core profit was reported at Bt1,180m (up 14% yoy, but down 54% qoq). The key pressure on 3Q25 earnings qoq was a lower gross margin due to softer swine prices. We observe an upward trend in domestic swine prices in Nov 25 and expect the trend to continue into 1H26. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of Bt20.00. Company Results | CP Axtra (CPAXT TB/BUY/Bt20.00/Target: Bt24.00) 3Q25 earnings are we...

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Indorama Ventures (IVL TB) - Core Profit Expected To Be Positive

Company Update | Company Name (IVL TB/BUY/Bt18.50/Target: Bt27.00) IVL’s 3Q25 core profit is expected at Bt105m, outperforming market expectations of a core loss, driven by lower energy costs, steady utilisation, and higher MEG contribution. Net loss (~Bt1.0b) remains due to inventory and hedging losses. 4Q25 should see gradual recovery from stronger PET spreads and US tariff support. Looking ahead, 2026 core profit (~Bt8.5b) is projected on full tariff benefits, spread recovery, cost efficien...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+3)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thailand Research Team

Thailand Daily - Tuesday, November 04, 2025

Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: Leaning Towards Overseas Earnings Base Our portfolio returns underperformed the market by -2.8%, which moved up by 2.8% in October. We have a cautious outlook for the Thai equity market in November due to the low earnings season particularly among domestically driven sectors. This month, we decide to drop BCH and BDMS due to the lack of catalysts and add SCGP and MINT to our portfolio. Company Results | Thai Union Group (TU TB/HOLD/Bt12.90/Target: Bt13.20) ...

Alden Gabriel Lam ... (+20)
  • Alden Gabriel Lam
  • Andrew Agita Buntoro
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Krit Tanarattananon
  • Lester Siew
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Sunny Chen
  • Suryaputra Wijaksana
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Thailand Research Team
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, November 04, 2025

Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...

KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
02328 PICC PROPERTY & CASUALTY CO. LTD. CLASS H
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
SXC SUNNY OPTICAL TECHNOLOGY (GROUP) CO. LTD.
00285 BYD ELECTRONIC (INTERNATIONAL) CO. LTD.
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
TU THAI UNION GROUP PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
GFPT GFPT
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
5347 TENAGA NASIONAL BHD
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
002472 ZHEJIANG SHUANGHUAN DRIVELINE (A)
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
PDD PINDUODUO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
YNS YINSON HOLDINGS BHD
RHBBANK RHB BANK BHD
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
BURSA MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
PEP BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
RATCH PPB GROUP BERHAD
2633 RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
HCM JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
AIS HUTCHISON CHINA MEDITECH LIMITED
RSTON ADVANCED INFO SYSTEMS
FEH RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS LTD
UHU FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
MPM FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
CSSC MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CRPU CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
SCGP CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP SCG PACKAGING PCL
2269 LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
OXMU WUXI BIOLOGICS (CAYMAN) INC.
HMN PRIME US REIT
CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
OR KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
MXNU PTT OIL AND RETAIL BUSINESS PUBLIC CO LIMITED
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
DCRU CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MTEL IJ DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
02161 PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
02015 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
0303 LI AUTO INC
LAGENDA ALPHA IVF GROUP
SDG LAGENDA PROPERTIES BHD
BRMS IJ SD GUTHRIE BHD
AADI IJ BUMI RESOURCES MINERALS
002371 CH ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
ASL SP NAURA TECHNOLOGY GROUP CO LTD
ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Indorama Ventures (IVL TB) - Strong Beneficiary Of US Reciprocal Tarif...

Highlights • We see a positive earnings impact from the new US reciprocal tariffs, effective 8 Sep 25, on PET. We are estimating an EBITDA contribution of US$50m per year, reflecting 40% of IVL’s total capacity in the US. • We continue to expect a sharp earnings recovery in 3Q-4Q25, with quarterly net profit likely to exceed Bt2.0b, supported by healthy spreads in PET, higher production volumes and incremental earnings from Essel Propack. • Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt27.00.

Arsit Pamaranont
  • Arsit Pamaranont

Thailand Daily - Thursday, September 11, 2025

Top Stories Company Updates | Indorama Ventures (IVL TB/BUY/Bt22.10/Target: Bt27.00) IVL is set to benefit strongly from US reciprocal tariffs on PET, effective 8 Sep 25, adding an estimated US$50m EBITDA annually. Lower TTF-linked gas costs further support margins. We expect net profit above Bt2.0b/quarter in 2H25, aided by tariff gains, higher volumes, and Essel Propack contribution. Additional upside stems from land sales and asset monetisation. Maintain BUY with a target price of Bt27.00,...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+6)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Tham Mun Hon

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, September 11, 2025

Greater China Economics | Inflation China’s August CPI returned to deflation at -0.4% yoy (-0.4ppt), below consensus, led by a sharper fall in food prices (-4.3% yoy) which includes a 16.1% yoy drop in pork prices. In contrast, core CPI rose to a ytd high of 0.9% (+0.1ppt), underpinned by services inflation. PPI deflation eased to -2.9% yoy (+0.7ppt), reflecting upstream stabilisation in mining and raw materials. The CPI-PPI divergence underscores fragile consumer demand. Broader policy supp...

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