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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AkzoNobel: 3Q25 in-line, FY guidance trimmed, €300m provision for Ichthys court case. Gimv: ImCheck Therapeutics checked out. Heineken: 3Q25 trading update; outlook FY25 slightly lowered. KPN: Ziggo 2Gbits internet roll out for c.7m homes by end 2025, full Netherlands by 2026. Randstad: 3Q25 result beats 5%; outlook 4Q25 also beats; strong OPEX performance

Guy Sips ... (+4)
  • Guy Sips
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ASML NA, BAR BB, OPTI BB, HEIA NA, IVA FP, PRO...

: ABI BB, ASML NA, BAR BB, OPTI BB, HEIA NA, IVA FP, PROX BB, SEQUA BB, MRUS US

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback Analyst & Asset Manager Day

Tessenderlo reiterated FY25 guidance at the occasion of its Investor event yesterday. We note that Luc Tack expressed his desire to become more strict in allocating capex, whilst in terms of activity portfolio there are no sacred cows and management asks themselves whether they are still the best owner of their businesses. The deal with Darling Ingredients on gelatin & collagen is progressing with deal closing probable in 2H26. We continue to appreciate Tessenderlo for its healthy FCF generation...

Kristof Samoy ... (+2)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+6)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+4)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, COLR BB, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, HYL BB, SEQUA BB,...

: ACKB BB, COLR BB, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, HYL BB, SEQUA BB, TWEKA NA, DEME BB

Jacob Mekhael ... (+2)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau

Life Sciences Conference 25 Sep 2025

KBC Securities will host its annual life sciences conference on 25 September in Brussels. The event will include 14 exciting companies, both public and private, from the BeNeLux ecosystem and beyond. In this conference note, we provide an overview of the attending companies, as well as an outlook on KBC Securities' life sciences broader coverage.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: Belgian August car registrations down 11%, easy comps, VW down 8.4% Gimv: Cash in motion: over €300m invested, still €400m to go. KPN: KPN and Vodafone yearly mobile price increases

Jacob Mekhael ... (+3)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Thomas Couvreur
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

REVISED VERSION - Benelux Morning Notes - updated to include IBA news

CFE: 1H results a bit light, FY outlook maintained. CMB.TECH: VLCC reasonable, pressure on Dry Bulk rates. dsm-firmenich: Givaudan CMD; Strategy 2030. Gimv: Investing in specialised healthcare services in the Netherlands. IBA: More sales but at lower margin

Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo Feedback 1H results conference call

Below are the highlights from the conference call. Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation t...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: Addition of €200m to existing SBB, considering US domicile, results mixed. Alfen: 19% EBITDA cut, mid-point new 2026 guidance. Flow Traders: Positive volumes, negative volatility. Kinepolis: Strong profit beat on better operating leverage, higher ticket and ITS per visitor. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 2Q25 results. Tessenderlo: Solid 1H25 beat, guidance maintained. VGP: Strong results, more news on JVs to come

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Wim Hoste
  • Wim Hoste

Tessenderlo FIRST LOOK: 1H adj EBITDA +8%, FY guidance maintained

Tessenderlo's 1H results positively surprised, with adj EBITDA up 8% y/y to 163.4m, which was 19% better than our forecast and 12% above consensus. The company reiterated its broad FY25 guidance range, with consensus currently at the midpoint of the range whilst KBCS estimates are at the low end of the guidance range (and will be upped somewhat). The company is using its solid balance sheet and FCF to buy back own shares. We consider valuation to be attractive enough from maintaining our Accumul...

Guy Sips ... (+7)
  • Guy Sips
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Livio Luyten
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost Conference call feedback and model update post 2Q25

Despite the ongoing headwinds, bpost reported better than expected 2Q25 results, with the adj. EBIT of € 58.3m exceeding expectations (kbcse: € 46m, css: € 48m). While results in Belgium were somewhat lower, this was offset by better than expected results in the other divisions while Staci's performance was in line. Although sales pressure at Radial US continued following the termination of contracts in 2024 and early 2025, we are pleased to see that its new fast track offering is gaining tracti...

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