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Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

bpost Conference call feedback and model update post 2Q25

Despite the ongoing headwinds, bpost reported better than expected 2Q25 results, with the adj. EBIT of € 58.3m exceeding expectations (kbcse: € 46m, css: € 48m). While results in Belgium were somewhat lower, this was offset by better than expected results in the other divisions while Staci's performance was in line. Although sales pressure at Radial US continued following the termination of contracts in 2024 and early 2025, we are pleased to see that its new fast track offering is gaining tracti...

Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Jensen-Group Further enhancing its market position after an exceptiona...

We updated our model (New € 62 Target Price, Accumulate rating) after Jensen-Group's exceptional 1H25. Jensen-Group highlighted in its outlook statement it is aiming for 2H25, without giving exact numbers, to hold firm to its strategic course : driving customer centricity and sustainable innovation while further enhancing the optimization and digitalization of business processes and applications. We incorporated in our updated model Jensen-Group's targeted investments in expanding production c...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

bpost: 2Q25 results beat 22%, outlook raised further, room for another upgrade at 3Q25. Lotus Bakeries: APAC factory ahead of schedule. NN Group: 1H on track with May CMD, longevity deal a positive surprise (Sol 2 PF 205%). Talabat: 2Q25 Preview. Vopak: AVTL's FID on Mumbai expansion

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Vopak FID on new LPG greenfield terminal by Indian JV AVTL

42% owned AVTL announced a €170m investment in a greenfield LPG terminal and bottling plant. LPG demand in India has grown at a 7.3% CAGR over the past decade with further attractive growth in demand and terminal imports expected. The Indian JV AVTL was recently listed and the IPO proceeds amounted to ca. €290m to be deployed for debt repayment and further growth initiatives. The listing frees up cash at the Vopak holding which can be deployed for funding other investments or additional sharehol...

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Lewi
Stefano Toffano ... (+2)
  • Stefano Toffano
  • Wim Gille
Guy Sips
  • Guy Sips

Lotus Bakeries FIRST LOOK : maintaining our € 10750 TP and increasing ...

In view of the significant volume growth Lotus Bakeries realised in FY24, the y/e consecutive volume increase of both Biscoff and Natural Foods was a testament to the strength of the different brands. The y/y increase of 1H25 REBITDA and REBIT of 11.7% and 12.6% respectively, outpace the top-line growth (9.7%) and confirms again the strength of Lotus Bakeries' operating model. The international growth engines of Biscoff and Natural Foods generate solid volume increases allowing to leverage its o...

 PRESS RELEASE

AVTL to develop new terminal in JNPA, India

AVTL to develop new terminal in JNPA, India AVTL to develop new terminal in JNPA, IndiaRotterdam, the Netherlands, 8 August 2025In India, AVTL announced a positive final investment decision to build a greenfield terminal for 132k cbm LPG and 318k cbm liquid products and a LPG bottling plant of 35,000MT capacity in the JNPA port in Mumbai. This is AVTL's second terminal in the JNPA port which will help grow its market share in servicing a highly industrialized and fast growing hinterland of West and central regions in India. The terminal is expected to be commissioned in phases starting mid ...

Jacob Mekhael ... (+5)
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Lynn Hautekeete
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thomas Couvreur

Morning Notes : ABN NA, AD NA, HOMI BB, MDXH BB, NN NA, SEQUA BB, ONWD...

: ABN NA, AD NA, HOMI BB, MDXH BB, NN NA, SEQUA BB, ONWD BB, MRUS US

Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

NN Group Increase FY26-FY27 estimates leading to higher TP; further up...

We have reviewed our NN Group model, adjusting our estimates for FY26-FY27, leaving FY25 largely unchanged. This has resulted in an increase of TP from €53 to €61. The biggest impact is coming from incorporating a more gradual growth towards the 2.2bn OCG target by FY28, rather than back-end loading the benefits. Given the very strong rally the stock has made since the beginning of the year, gaining 40%, we see a more limited upside going forward. We move our rating from Buy to Accumulate.

Kristof Samoy
  • Kristof Samoy

Vopak First look: 2Q25 earnings beat, proportional EBITDA outlook uppe...

Vopak reported 2Q25 which were better than expected with proportional EBITDA of €315m vs consensus of €291m. Overall the company has been coping well with all current macro uncertainties. The full year EBITDA outlook bandwidth was even narrowed to the upside and this when taking into account less favourable FX rates. The IPO of the Indian JV resulted in an €111m capital gain impacting IFRS net profit. Occupancy rates are holding up well at 91%, flat vs. last quarter. We reiterate Buy and € 50 TP...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: Strong results, guidance reiterated; dsm-firmenich: Symrise 1H25 results; IMCD: Stagnating gross profit leads to disappointing 2Q25 EBITA; JDE Peet's: Full of beans; Just Eat Takeaway: 1H25 results, weak update no impact on takeover; Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 1Q25 results; Melexis: 2Q25 results, gross margin under pressure; Solvay: 2Q25 in line, subdued outlook no surprise after pre-release; TKH Group: Preview: Under a magnifying glass; Universal Music Group: Spotify 2Q25 ...

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