reports
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Consumer - Positive Near-term Seasonality Momentum
Sector Update | Consumer Most consumer stocks are trading at undemanding valuations, offering a tactical rotation opportunity, which are further supported by potential pension and insurance inflows. Seasonal Lebaran and Chinese New Year demand, normalising input costs, improving purchasing power, and an accommodative fiscal stance provide near-term catalysts. We expect 4Q25 results to improve qoq, with full-year performance broadly in line. Top picks are CMRY, MYOR, and AMRT. Highlights • Most ...
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Damon Shen
- Gigi Cheuk
- Jieqi Liu
- Johnny Yum
- Jonathan Koh
- Joyce Chu
- Kate Luang
- Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
- Kong Ho Meng
- Krit Tanarattananon
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Thailand Research Team
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, February 03, 2026
Greater China Sector Update | China Property CRIC data show that the top 100 developers’ contracted sales fell 24.7% yoy in Jan 26, while new-home sales in 28 major cities declined 36% yoy. Second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities rose 1% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT but deepening industry downturn leads to rising possibility of policy support, supporting selective exposure. CR Land remains our top pick, with P/B at 1SD below the five-year mean, and PE and yield near the five-year average....
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
FCT FRASERS CENTREPOINT TRUST
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
IVL INDORAMA VENTURES PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
BUOU FRASERS LOGISTICS & COMMERCIAL TRUST
ADVANC ADVANCED INFO SERVICE PUBLIC CO. LTD.
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
PTTEP PTT EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION PLC
PTTGC PTT GLOBAL CHEMICAL PUBLIC COMPANY LTD
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
Q5T FAR EAST HOSPITALITY TRUST
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
CDREIT CDL HOSPITALITY TRUSTS
SUN SUNTECH SA
KREIT KEPPEL REIT
MLT MAPLETREE LOGISTICS TRUST
PREIT PARKWAYLIFE REAL ESTATE
WPRTS MAPLETREE INDUSTRIAL TRUST
06088 WESTPORTS HOLDINGS BHD
ICBP FIT HON TENG LIMITED
RATCH INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
UHU RATCH GROUP PUBLIC CO. LTD.
CRPU UNITED HAMPSHIRE US REIT
CICT SASSEUR REIT (S CHIP)
SCGP CAPITALAND INTEGRATED COMMERCIAL TRUST
LREIT SP SCG PACKAGING PCL
OXMU LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HMN PRIME US REIT
CLCT ASCOTT RESIDENCE TRUST
KORE CAPITALAND CHINA TRUST
BBNI KEPPEL PACIFIC OAK US REIT
GOTO BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
CMRY GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
MXNU PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
CLAR ELITE COMMERCIAL REIT MGNT PTE LTD
DCRU CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
DIGITAL CORE REIT MANAGEMENT PTE. LTD.
- Audrey Celia
- Johnny Yum
- Maskun Ramli
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Tuesday, February 3, 2026
Economics | Indonesia Headline Inflation Rises On Low-base Effect, Core Inflation Remains Stable Indonesia's headline inflation rose to 3.55% yoy in Jan 26, primarily driven by temporary base effects from last year's low electricity tariffs and high global gold prices. However, core inflation remained stable at 2.45%, and prices fell mom due to a strong food harvest. This indicates underlying demand pressures are still contained. Consequently, Bank Indonesia is expected to maintain its benchmark...
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Willinoy Sitorus
Strategy - Positive Sentiment On LQ45
Strategy | Positive Sentiment On LQ45 Following MSCI’s freeze on index inclusions and deletions, the government plans to raise equity investment limits for pension funds and insurance companies from 8% to 20%, broadly in line with OECD practices. Investment allocation is expected to focus on LQ45 constituents. For context, the LQ45 index has underperformed the JCI by approximately 16.0% over the past year. Highlights • JCI declined by -7.2% over the past three trading days after the freeze on ...
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Arsit Pamaranont
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benyamin Mikael
- Claire Wang Kelai
- Jonathan Koh
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Ken Lee
- Shirley Wang Xueyi
- Singapore Research Team
- Stella Guo Yuting
- Tham Mun Hon
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, February 02, 2026
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
D05 DBS GROUP HOLDINGS LTD
C09 CITY DEVELOPMENTS LIMITED
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
IRPC IRPC PUBLIC CO. LTD.
U11 UNITED OVERSEAS BANK LTD. (SINGAPORE)
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
002230 IFLYTEK CO. LTD. CLASS A
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
SPRC STAR PETROLEUM REFINING
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
00700 TENCENT HOLDINGS LTD.
SATS SP SATS LTD.
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
CAO CHINA AVIATION OIL SINGAPORE CORP LTD
PROP PROPNEX LTD
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09988 ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LTD.
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HLA HONG LEONG ASIA LTD
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
09888 BAIDU INC
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
DEWA IJ DARMA HENWA (DEWA IJ)
ASL SP ASL MARINE (ASL SP)
UGAI ULTRAGREEN.AI LIMITED
RGL RECLAIMS GLOBAL
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Benyamin Mikael
- Maskun Ramli
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Monday, February 2, 2026
Strategy | Positive Sentiment On LQ45 Following MSCI’s freeze on index inclusions and deletions, the government plans to raise equity investment limits for pension funds and insurance companies from 8% to 20%, broadly in line with OECD practices. Investment allocation is expected to focus on LQ45 constituents. For context, the LQ45 index has underperformed the JCI by approximately 16.0% over the past year. Company Results | Darma Henwa (DEWA IJ/BUY/Rp540/Target: Rp1,500) DEWA delivered in-line ...
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
BMRI PT BANK MANDIRI (PERSERO) TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
ASII PT ASTRA INTERNATIONAL TBK
TLKM PT TELKOM INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
GOTO GOJEK TOKOPEDIA TBK PT
DEWA IJ DARMA HENWA (DEWA IJ)
- Audrey Celia
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Joyce Chu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Sunny Chen
- Wei Xiang Ku
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 21, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Re...
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
2633 JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09999 NETEASE INC
PTTOR PTT OIL AND RETAIL
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - More Constructive Outlook Towards ...
Company Update | Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ/BUY/Rp1,840/Target: Rp2,500) AMRT posted soft results for 3Q25, dragged by weaker purchasing power and margin compression from an unfavourable mix and opex pressure from new DCs, although its store expansion remains intact. We expect recovery to begin in 4Q25 and strengthen in 2026, supported by improving macro indicators, year-end fiscal stimulus measures, and a margin recovery as DC utilisation ramps up. We maintain BUY and lower our target pric...
- Audrey Celia
- Maskun Ramli
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Friday, November 21, 2025
Company Update | Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ/BUY/Rp1,840/Target: Rp2,500) AMRT posted soft results for 3Q25, dragged by weaker purchasing power and margin compression from an unfavourable mix and opex pressure from new DCs, although its store expansion remains intact. We expect recovery to begin in 4Q25 and strengthen in 2026, supported by improving macro indicators, year-end fiscal stimulus measures, and a margin recovery as DC utilisation ramps up. We maintain BUY and lower our target pric...
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Consumer - Free-Meal Programme Showing Fruitful Developments
Sector Update | Consumer Our visit to an MBG central kitchen indicates improving on-ground operations supported by clearer funding mechanics. MBG budget realisation began to accelerate in 3Q25, with early signs of demand visible across dairy and poultry names and in higher CPI. Danantara also plans to allocate Rp20t to fund broiler and layer farms to support supply sufficiency. With MBG spending set to surge to Rp330t (~9% of the 2026 budget), execution will become the key risk to monitor. Top p...
- Audrey Celia
- Maskun Ramli
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Thursday, November 20, 2025
Sector Update | Consumer Our visit to an MBG central kitchen indicates improving on-ground operations supported by clearer funding mechanics. MBG budget realisation began to accelerate in 3Q25, with early signs of demand visible across dairy and poultry names and in higher CPI. Danantara also plans to allocate Rp20t to fund broiler and layer farms to support supply sufficiency. With MBG spending set to surge to Rp330t (~9% of the 2026 budget), execution will become the key risk to monitor. Top p...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 20, 2025
Greater China Company Results | Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$30.72/Target: HK$44.00) Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY w...
OU8 CENTURION
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ZETRIX MK ZETRIX AI (ZETRIX MK)
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Consumer - Tactical Rotation Lingers; Re-iterate OVERWEIGHT on Consume...
Our ground checks suggest improving business sentiment following Purbaya’s appointment, as his pro-growth and consultative stance has begun to restore optimism. Macro indicators point to firmer momentum toward the year-end, supported by typical seasonality and more accommodative fiscal measures that should reinforce consumption-led growth. We re-iterate our tactical allocation to big-cap laggards and consumer names. Top picks: JPFA, CMRY and AMRT. Highlights • Our ground check suggests that bus...
- Audrey Celia
- Hendri Effendi
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Thursday, October 30, 2025
Sector Update | Consumer Our ground checks suggest improving business sentiment following Purbaya’s appointment, as his pro-growth and consultative stance has begun to restore optimism. Macro indicators point to firmer momentum toward the year-end, supported by typical seasonality and more accommodative fiscal measures that should reinforce consumption-led growth. We re-iterate our tactical allocation to big-cap laggards and consumer names. Top picks: JPFA, CMRY and AMRT. Company Results | Bank...
- Willinoy Sitorus
Strategy - JCI Down On MSCI’s Proposed Inclusion Methodology
Strategy | JCI Down on MSCI’s Proposed Inclusion Methodology The JCI fell 1.87% after MSCI proposed changes to free float calculation, triggering selling of large caps, especially conglomerate-theme stocks. The proposal implies higher free float thresholds for most MSCI EM Indonesian stocks, raising exclusion risks for some constituents. The methodology remains under consultation, with outcomes dependent on feedback and MSCI's final review by 31 Dec 25. Re-iterate our preference for big-cap lagg...
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Maskun Ramli
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Tuesday, October 28, 2025
Strategy | JCI Down on MSCI’s Proposed Inclusion Methodology The JCI fell 1.87% after MSCI proposed changes to free float calculation, triggering selling of large caps, especially conglomerate-theme stocks. The proposal implies higher free float thresholds for most MSCI EM Indonesian stocks, raising exclusion risks for some constituents. The methodology remains under consultation, with outcomes dependent on feedback and MSCI's final review by 31 Dec 25. Re-iterate our preference for big-cap lagg...
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Strategy - Tactical Rotation To Big Cap Laggards
There has been a positive US$194m mtd equity inflow, reversing last year’s persistent outflow, although banks remain the largest source of foreign selling as flows rotate toward gold and MSCI-linked names. Domestically, sentiment is turning more constructive for 4Q25-2026, supported by fiscal acceleration, pro-growth policies, monetary easing, and improving banking liquidity. If macro conditions stabilise, we see market leadership shifting from flow-driven to earnings-driven performance. We add ...
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Indonesia Daily - Monday, October 20, 2025
Strategy | Tactical Rotation to Big Cap Laggards There has been a positive US$194m mtd equity inflow, reversing last year’s persistent outflow, although banks remain the largest source of foreign selling as flows rotate toward gold and MSCI-linked names. Domestically, sentiment is turning more constructive for 4Q25-2026, supported by fiscal acceleration, pro-growth policies, monetary easing, and improving banking liquidity. If macro conditions stabilise, we see market leadership shifting from fl...
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Ken Lee
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, October 20, 2025
Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/ HK$67.50/Target: HK$105.00) Fuyao Glass’ 3Q25 earnings miss stems from its margins, dragged by the US division and higher effective tax rate. Revenue grew 19% yoy on 11% sales volume growth and 7% ASP hike. Based on the lower margins, we trim our 2025-27 net profit forecasts by 5%/3%/2% to Rmb9.61b/Rmb10.98b/Rmb12.71b respectively, implying 19% CAGR. Earnings prospects remain positive on overseas market share gains, optimisation of pr...
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
COM7 COM7
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
CPALL TB CP ALL
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Consumer - Consumer Sector 3Q25 Results Preview
Most 3Q25 results are expected to be in line, except for ACES, which may fall short due to heightened competition. JPFA is likely to stand out, supported by higher broiler prices and continued cost efficiency. The recent proposed VAT reduction by the government provides positive sentiment. Our channel checks indicate improving consumer confidence, supported by recent pro-growth policies, with sentiment turning more constructive towards year-end. Top picks: JPFA, AMRT, and CMRY. Highlights • Mos...
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