reports
- Audrey Celia
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Carol Dou Xiao Qin
- Colin Lee
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Ejann Hiew
- Gigi Cheuk
- Heidi Mo Jinghui
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jieqi Liu
- John Cheong Ming Chern
- Johnny Yum Chung Man
- Joyce Chu
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kate Luang
- Ken Lee
- Ming San Soong
- Sunny Chen
- Wei Xiang Ku
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, November 21, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The phasing out of subsidies has hammered auto sales. PV sales fell 14% yoy, and PEV sales edged up 1-2% yoy during 1-16 Nov 25. Subsidies are likely to continue into 2026 at reduced levels. We expect PV and EV sales to grow 4.9% and over 20%, driven by exports. Tighter regulatory oversight amid rising safety concerns should benefit OEMs such as Geely and Great Wall. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Company Re...
00823 LINK REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
01093 CSPC PHARMACEUTICAL GROUP LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
MINT MINOR INTERNATIONAL PUBLIC CO. LTD.
SCGB SUNWAY CONSTRUCTION GROUP BH
PMAH PRESS METAL ALUMINIUM HOLDIN
2633 JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
09999 NETEASE INC
PTTOR PTT OIL AND RETAIL
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ) - More Constructive Outlook Towards ...
Company Update | Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ/BUY/Rp1,840/Target: Rp2,500) AMRT posted soft results for 3Q25, dragged by weaker purchasing power and margin compression from an unfavourable mix and opex pressure from new DCs, although its store expansion remains intact. We expect recovery to begin in 4Q25 and strengthen in 2026, supported by improving macro indicators, year-end fiscal stimulus measures, and a margin recovery as DC utilisation ramps up. We maintain BUY and lower our target pric...
- Audrey Celia
- Maskun Ramli
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Friday, November 21, 2025
Company Update | Sumber Alfaria Trijaya (AMRT IJ/BUY/Rp1,840/Target: Rp2,500) AMRT posted soft results for 3Q25, dragged by weaker purchasing power and margin compression from an unfavourable mix and opex pressure from new DCs, although its store expansion remains intact. We expect recovery to begin in 4Q25 and strengthen in 2026, supported by improving macro indicators, year-end fiscal stimulus measures, and a margin recovery as DC utilisation ramps up. We maintain BUY and lower our target pric...
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Consumer - Free-Meal Programme Showing Fruitful Developments
Sector Update | Consumer Our visit to an MBG central kitchen indicates improving on-ground operations supported by clearer funding mechanics. MBG budget realisation began to accelerate in 3Q25, with early signs of demand visible across dairy and poultry names and in higher CPI. Danantara also plans to allocate Rp20t to fund broiler and layer farms to support supply sufficiency. With MBG spending set to surge to Rp330t (~9% of the 2026 budget), execution will become the key risk to monitor. Top p...
- Audrey Celia
- Maskun Ramli
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Thursday, November 20, 2025
Sector Update | Consumer Our visit to an MBG central kitchen indicates improving on-ground operations supported by clearer funding mechanics. MBG budget realisation began to accelerate in 3Q25, with early signs of demand visible across dairy and poultry names and in higher CPI. Danantara also plans to allocate Rp20t to fund broiler and layer farms to support supply sufficiency. With MBG spending set to surge to Rp330t (~9% of the 2026 budget), execution will become the key risk to monitor. Top p...
- Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
- Audrey Celia
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Julia Pan Mengyao
- Kasemsun Koonnara
- Lester Siew
- Ming San Soong
- Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Thursday, November 20, 2025
Greater China Company Results | Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK/BUY/HK$30.72/Target: HK$44.00) Kingsoft’s 3Q25 results missed expectations. Revenue dropped 17% yoy to Rmb2.4b, 6% below consensus estimate. Gross margin shrank 4ppt yoy to 80.4%, in line with consensus expectation. Operating profit plunged 76% yoy to Rmb277m, while operating margin fell 28ppt yoy to 11%, dampened by subdued revenue growth. Net profit declined 49% yoy to Rmb213m, with net margin shrinking 5ppt yoy to 8.8%. Maintain BUY w...
OU8 CENTURION
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
3K1 KINGSOFT CORP. LTD.
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
HAPL HAP SENG PLANTATIONS HOLDINGS BHD
01024 KUAISHOU TECHNOLOGY CLASS B
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
ZETRIX MK ZETRIX AI (ZETRIX MK)
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Consumer - Tactical Rotation Lingers; Re-iterate OVERWEIGHT on Consume...
Our ground checks suggest improving business sentiment following Purbaya’s appointment, as his pro-growth and consultative stance has begun to restore optimism. Macro indicators point to firmer momentum toward the year-end, supported by typical seasonality and more accommodative fiscal measures that should reinforce consumption-led growth. We re-iterate our tactical allocation to big-cap laggards and consumer names. Top picks: JPFA, CMRY and AMRT. Highlights • Our ground check suggests that bus...
- Audrey Celia
- Hendri Effendi
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Thursday, October 30, 2025
Sector Update | Consumer Our ground checks suggest improving business sentiment following Purbaya’s appointment, as his pro-growth and consultative stance has begun to restore optimism. Macro indicators point to firmer momentum toward the year-end, supported by typical seasonality and more accommodative fiscal measures that should reinforce consumption-led growth. We re-iterate our tactical allocation to big-cap laggards and consumer names. Top picks: JPFA, CMRY and AMRT. Company Results | Bank...
- Willinoy Sitorus
Strategy - JCI Down On MSCI’s Proposed Inclusion Methodology
Strategy | JCI Down on MSCI’s Proposed Inclusion Methodology The JCI fell 1.87% after MSCI proposed changes to free float calculation, triggering selling of large caps, especially conglomerate-theme stocks. The proposal implies higher free float thresholds for most MSCI EM Indonesian stocks, raising exclusion risks for some constituents. The methodology remains under consultation, with outcomes dependent on feedback and MSCI's final review by 31 Dec 25. Re-iterate our preference for big-cap lagg...
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Maskun Ramli
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Tuesday, October 28, 2025
Strategy | JCI Down on MSCI’s Proposed Inclusion Methodology The JCI fell 1.87% after MSCI proposed changes to free float calculation, triggering selling of large caps, especially conglomerate-theme stocks. The proposal implies higher free float thresholds for most MSCI EM Indonesian stocks, raising exclusion risks for some constituents. The methodology remains under consultation, with outcomes dependent on feedback and MSCI's final review by 31 Dec 25. Re-iterate our preference for big-cap lagg...
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Strategy - Tactical Rotation To Big Cap Laggards
There has been a positive US$194m mtd equity inflow, reversing last year’s persistent outflow, although banks remain the largest source of foreign selling as flows rotate toward gold and MSCI-linked names. Domestically, sentiment is turning more constructive for 4Q25-2026, supported by fiscal acceleration, pro-growth policies, monetary easing, and improving banking liquidity. If macro conditions stabilise, we see market leadership shifting from flow-driven to earnings-driven performance. We add ...
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Maskun Ramli
- Posmarito Pakpahan
Indonesia Daily - Monday, October 20, 2025
Strategy | Tactical Rotation to Big Cap Laggards There has been a positive US$194m mtd equity inflow, reversing last year’s persistent outflow, although banks remain the largest source of foreign selling as flows rotate toward gold and MSCI-linked names. Domestically, sentiment is turning more constructive for 4Q25-2026, supported by fiscal acceleration, pro-growth policies, monetary easing, and improving banking liquidity. If macro conditions stabilise, we see market leadership shifting from fl...
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Ken Lee
- Posmarito Pakpahan
- Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Monday, October 20, 2025
Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/ HK$67.50/Target: HK$105.00) Fuyao Glass’ 3Q25 earnings miss stems from its margins, dragged by the US division and higher effective tax rate. Revenue grew 19% yoy on 11% sales volume growth and 7% ASP hike. Based on the lower margins, we trim our 2025-27 net profit forecasts by 5%/3%/2% to Rmb9.61b/Rmb10.98b/Rmb12.71b respectively, implying 19% CAGR. Earnings prospects remain positive on overseas market share gains, optimisation of pr...
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
KTC KRUNGTHAI CARD PCL
BBRI PT BANK RAKYAT INDONESIA (PERSERO) TBK CLASS B
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
COM7 COM7
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
CPALL TB CP ALL
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
AADI IJ ADARO ANDALAN INDONESIA
- Audrey Celia
- Willinoy Sitorus
Consumer - Consumer Sector 3Q25 Results Preview
Most 3Q25 results are expected to be in line, except for ACES, which may fall short due to heightened competition. JPFA is likely to stand out, supported by higher broiler prices and continued cost efficiency. The recent proposed VAT reduction by the government provides positive sentiment. Our channel checks indicate improving consumer confidence, supported by recent pro-growth policies, with sentiment turning more constructive towards year-end. Top picks: JPFA, AMRT, and CMRY. Highlights • Mos...
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Audrey Celia
- Bella Lu Yifei
- Benjaphol Suthwanish
- Benyamin Mikael
- Gigi Cheuk
- Joyce Chu
- Kate Luang
- Keith Wee Teck Keong
- Ken Lee
- Lester Siew
- Roy Chen Chengzhi
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, October 17, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s auto sector faces a geopolitical bind: Europe demands tech transfers for new investments, while China restricts such transfers. We see no earnings impact from the EU’s tech transfer requirement, but that allows first movers like CATL to enjoy unrivalled advantages. China raises market access requirements for automakers, targeting inexperienced players. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Small/Mid Ca...
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
ENRG ENERGI MEGA PERSADA
KLBF PT KALBE FARMA TBK
JPFA JAPFA COMFEED INDONESIA
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
MYOR MAYORA INDAH
C6L SINGAPORE AIRLINES LTD.
EGH EUREKA GROUP HOLDINGS
M3I MINTH GROUP LIMITED
002340 GEM CO. LTD. CLASS A
5Z0 ZHONGSHENG GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
ERAA ERAJAYA SWASEMBADA
01316 NEXTEER AUTOMOTIVE GROUP LIMITED
002709 GUANGZHOU TINCI MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY CO LTD CLASS A
601689 NINGBO TUOPU GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
01585 YADEA GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
2333 GREAT WALL MOTOR CO. LTD. CLASS H
1211 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
2338 WEICHAI POWER CO. LTD. CLASS H
02238 GUANGZHOU AUTOMOBILE GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS H
AOT AIRPORTS OF THAILAND PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BAL BUMITAMA AGRI LTD
BURSA BURSA MALAYSIA BHD
ICBP INDOFOOD CBP SUKSES MAKMUR T
2633 JACOBSON PHARMA CORP LTD
1772 GANFENG LITHIUM CO. LTD. CLASS H
300750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY CO. LTD. CLASS A
3606 FUYAO GLASS INDUSTRY GROUP CO LTD-H
603305 NINGBO XUSHENG AUTO TECHNOLOGY (A)
002920 HUIZHOU DESAY SV AUTOMOTIVE CO LTD
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
02161 JBM (HEALTHCARE) LTD
Z29 029 GROUP SE
02015 LI AUTO INC
600699 JOYSON ELECTRONICS CORP
- Alden Gabriel Lam
- Audrey Celia
- Benyamin Mikael
- Maskun Ramli
- Willinoy Sitorus
Indonesia Daily - Friday, October 17, 2025
Economics | Indonesia's External Debt Growth Cools As Borrowing Eases In Aug 25, Indonesia's external debt growth slowed significantly to 1.97% yoy, despite a slight monthly increase to US$431.9b. This deceleration was driven by declining public sector debt and a private sector contraction, improving key debt ratios. Looking ahead, debt growth is expected to accelerate with increased domestic spending, but will face challenges from a strong US dollar and high global bond yields, posing risks to ...
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Friday, October 3, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s EV sales surged 25% wow in the 39th week of 2025 but slowed to 10.5% yoy amid a high base and anti-involution efforts. Geely and XPeng outperformed, while BYD and Li Auto saw yoy sales declines. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector, with top BUYs on CATL and Geely; we downgrade Ganfeng Lithium from BUY to HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$40.00, as the stock price has hit our target. Indonesia Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Mu...
BJC BERLI JUCKER PUBLIC CO. LTD.
GRU GEELY AUTOMOBILE HOLDINGS LIMITED
544 CSE GLOBAL LTD.
U96 SEMBCORP INDUSTRIES LTD.
BN2 VALUETRONICS HOLDINGS
002594 BYD COMPANY LIMITED CLASS A
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
COM7 COM7
558 UMS HOLDINGS LIMITED
O39 OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED
AP4 RIVERSTONE HOLDINGS
ADRO PT ADARO ENERGY TBK
D01 DAIRY FARM INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LIMITED
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
CPALL TB CP ALL
IGBREIT IGB REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT T
SREIT SUNWAY REAL ESTATE INVESTMEN
CPALL-R CP ALL PCL NVDR
AXRB AXIS REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT
KLCCSS KLCCP STAPLED GROUP
FEH FOOD EMPIRE HOLDINGS LTD
FRKN FRENCKEN GROUP LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
CSSC CHINA SUNSINE CHEMICAL HOLDINGS LTD
LI LI AUTO INC. SPONSORED ADR CLASS A
LREIT SP LENDLEASE GLOBAL COMMERCIAL REIT
HLA HONG LEONG ASIA LTD
CLAR CAPITALAND ASCENDAS REIT
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
CMMT CAPITALAND MALAYSIA TRUST
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
PREIT PAVILION REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
3750 CONTEMPORARY AMPEREX TECHNOLOGY (3750 HK)
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
- Johnny Yum
Strategy Alpha Picks - Golden September
Highlights • Our stock portfolio outperformed the JCI by 15.65% in Sep 25. • We drop BBCA, BBNI and BRMS, and add US dollar earners (MDKA & ADRO). AMRT is included for its strong 2H25 momentum. • Our new Alpha Picks are ASSA, ARCI, ADRO, AMRT, MDKA, HRUM and NCKL.
- Johnny Yum
- Maskun Ramli
- Suryaputra Wijaksana
Indonesia Daily - Friday, October 3, 2025
Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Multi-Year High On Import Weakness Indonesia's Aug 25 trade surplus surged to a multi-year high of US$5.49b, primarily driven by a decline in imports due to weak domestic demand. Exports saw only a marginal growth, narrowly supported by China, which offset global softness. The outlook remains challenging, with exports facing headwinds from global economic deceleration, rising protectionism, waning front-loading effects and weak commodity prices, while a...
- Damon Shen
- Desmond Chong Chee Wai
- Jack Goh Tooan Orng
- Jack Lai Yuan Khai
- Jieqi Liu
- Jonathan Koh
- Malaysia Research Team
- Thanawat Thangchadakorn
- Willinoy Sitorus
Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Tuesday, September 23, 2025
Greater China Sector Update | Property Property investment has declined since Jul 25 due to weak demand, LGFV financing controls, slow destocking and urban-redevelopment, and limited new loans. Sep 25 data showed a rebound in Tier 1 city home sales, led by Shanghai. Central government capital is needed. However, the existing policy stance points to a low possibility of direct injection by the central government. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT, with CR Land as our top pick. Indonesia Strategy | T...
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
BBL BANGKOK BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
4197 SIME DARBY BHD.
TISCO TISCO FINANCIAL GROUP
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
AMRT SUMBER ALFARIA TRIJAYA TBK PT
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
INKP PT INDAH KIAT PULP & PAPER TBK
TMB TMB BANK PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
KBANK KASIKORNBANK PUBLIC CO. LTD.
BBCA PT BANK CENTRAL ASIA TBK
VSI V.S. INDUSTRY BERHAD
BAUTO BERMAZ AUTO BHD
KTB KONTOOR BRANDS
BBNI BANK NEGARA INDONESIA PERSER
SCB SCB X PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
CMRY PT CISARUA MOUNTAIN DAIRY TBK
MDKA MERDEKA COPPER GOLD TBK PT
NCKL PT TRIMEGAH BANGUN PERSADA TBK (HARITA NICKEL)
MTEL IJ PT DAYAMITRA TELEKOMUNIKASI
HRUM HARUM ENERGY TBK PT
PECCA MK PECCA GROUP BHD
NTTDCR SP NTT DC REIT
ASSA IJ ADI SARANA ARMADA TBK PT (ASSA IJ)
ARCI IJ ARCHI INDONESIA (ARCI IJ)
BNASTRA BINASTRA (BNASTRA MK)
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