reports
- Adrian Kowollik
- Egor Fedorov
- Maureen Schuller
CEE bank bonds/Outperforming with a good case for more
The lower supply pressure and turning interest rate cycle have helped CEE bank bonds outperform this year, particularly in the unsecured segment. The relative value metrics of CEE bank bonds remain enticing though versus European comparables, from a bank fundamental and instrument rating angle. We expect to see a further outperformance of CEE names.
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Maureen Schuller
- Suvi Platerink Kosonen
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: only Czech PX index in positive te...
EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
BOCH BANK OF COMMERCE HOLDINGS
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
KOMB KOMERCNI BANKA A.S.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BRD BRD-GROUPE SOCIETE GENERALE
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
KSPI KASPI KZ
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
BCG BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
ELPE HELLENIQ ENERGY
SHO SHOPER SA
4071 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
7203 ELM CO
AQ AQUILA PART PROD COM
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PBK RO; DUNAHOUS HB; 4IG HB; SFG RO; EME Macro/Strategy We...
HEADLINES: • Patria Bank: solid bottom-line print in 2Q24 POSITIVE • Duna House: 2Q24 – EBITDA up 40% yoy in Italy POSITIVE • 4iG: 2Q24 results review – 4% yoy drop in reported EBITDA NEUTRAL • Sphera Group: key takeaways from the 1H24 conference call NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (25 August-1 September) • Mo-BRUK: Public Procurement Office (KIO) rejects MBR’s appeal regarding tender in Szczecin NEUTRAL • Sarantis: 1H24E preview – 34% yoy EBITDA growth expected, on Stella and or...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BOCH LN; BHW PW; TXT PW; SFG RO; M RO; ELPE GA; MBR PW; NO...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: room for further rerating (stays BUY) • Bank Handlowy: writes down remaining goodwill on retail banking fully in 2Q24 NEUTRAL • Text: 1Q24-25 (calendar 2Q24) results – EBITDA down 2% yoy, but 5% above the consensus POSITIVE • Sphera Group: strong 2Q24 results, as expected NEUTRAL • MedLife: 2Q24 confirms operational earnings recovery, net profits still weak NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q24 results – weak net income, due to one-off costs NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: earnings cal...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DIGI RO; PZU PW; MOH GA; CDR PW; MBR PW; DOM PW; CAI AV; D...
HEADLINES: • DIGI Communications: heavyweight European telco champion (upgraded to BUY) • PZU: posts PLN 1.19bn of net profit in 2Q24; results affected by higher combined ratio in P&C NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: 2Q24 results POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 2Q24 EBITDA 4-7% above expectations; Polaris to enter production phase “very soon” NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q24 EBITDA 8% above our forecast, but in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 2Q24 – in line, at first glance NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 2Q24 i...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: KOMB CP; MONET CP; TEN PW; WPL PW; MBR PW; ELPE GA; MOH GA...
HEADLINES: • Komercni Banka: awaiting a NII inflection point (stays BUY) • MONETA Money Bank: valuation prices in higher ROE and strong yield (stays HOLD) • Ten Square Games: 2Q24 adjusted EBITDA 16% above our forecast; TEN confirms mom bookings recovery in July POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 2Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: new tenders for ecological bombs decommissioning on the market NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ Energy: 2Q24E results previe...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PKO PW; CPS PW; BFT PW; GTC PW; PKN PW; HSBK LI; CEZ CP; K...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts very solid 2Q24 delivery, implying upside risk for 2024E forecasts POSITIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q24 results review – EBITDA up 8% yoy, 3% above our estimate POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: better-than-expected 2Q24 and FY24E profitability outlook revised upwards POSITIVE • GTC: 2Q24 in line, 2026 EUR 500m refinancing should be priority NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q24 results – in line with previous estimates NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 2Q24 conference call takeaways • CEZ: FinMin proposes ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BCG LN; ALARABIA AB; JAHEZ AB; TBCG LN; EME Macro/Strategy...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: niche diamond (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 2Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Jahez: mixed 1H24 financial results NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 2Q24 results and conference call NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (5-11 August) • Orlen: 2Q24E EBITDA estimates published NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: still challenging 2Q24E expected, with weaker yoy EBITDA, but up slightly qoq already (due on 29 August) • PZU: 2Q24E preview (due ...
Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A.: 1 director
A director at Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A. bought 10,000 shares at 14.594EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 65/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: WIZZ LN; PEO PW; CCC PW; LOGO TI; CEZ CP; CTPNV NA; MTELEK...
HEADLINES: • Trade Estates: Greek retail parks – a dividend growth story (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Wizz Air: thrust issues (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: posts bottom line slightly below expectations, NPL ratio down to below 5%, solid 19%+ ROE intact NEUTRAL • CCC: 12% EBITDA beat in 2Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 2Q24 results – strong margin recovery, FY24E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • CEZ: 2Q earnings beat, EBITDA guidance up 2-3%, but net guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • CTP:...
CEZ CEZ AS
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
PCF PCF GROUP SA
CTPNV CTP NV
SHO SHOPER SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
- Piotr Raciborski
- CFA
WOOD Flash – OTE: 2Q24 results review – a soft quarter, with a 2% yoy ...
OTE has reported a soft set of 2Q24 results, with sales up 7% yoy, to EUR 911m (in line with our forecast), and an adjusted EBITDA decline of 2% yoy, at EUR 344m (in line with our estimate), due mainly to a contraction in the Romanian segment adjusted EBITDA. We see the 2Q24 results as neutral as they are in line with our expectations in terms of sales and EBITDA, while the beat on the net income level was driven primarily by lower-than-expected D&A. We expect no significant market reaction.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: TLV RO; FROTO TI; ING PW; SHO PW; PPC GA; RICHT HB; 11B PW...
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: still some gas in the tank (stays BUY) • Ford Otosan: weak set of results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • ING Bank: posts neutral set of 2Q24 results NEUTRAL • Shoper: preliminary 2Q24 adjusted EBITDA up by a strong 32% yoy, as expected NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: 2Q24 beats, on lower receivables provisioning and tax rate NEUTRAL • Richter: takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: PAP interview with the CEO – key takeaways NEUTRAL • MOL: 2Q24E r...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy; RICHT HB; TUPRS TI; THYAO TI; ARABIAND...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: how strong are the recession signals? • Richter: well-rounded 2Q24 beat vs. the consensus POSITIVE • Tupras: 2Q24 results and dividend announcement POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q24 – RASK up 1% and CASKX up 8% yoy, driving margins lower from peak levels, as expected NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 2Q24 results below expectations NEGATIVE • Air Astana Group: 2Q24 in line, but 1H24 EBIT and FCFE both down yoy, and VietJet entry into Kazakhstan a risk NEUTRAL • KazMuna...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ELM AB; ALPHA GA; AIRA LI; ADNOCDRI UH; ADNOCDRI UH; EME M...
HEADLINES: • Elm: 2Q24 financial results review POSITIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 2Q24 highlights – similar trends vs. peers, guidance upgrade, catching up on CET1 and NPE ratios • Air Astana Group: 2Q24 – first look – in line NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: 2Q results and interim dividend NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: Enersol JV makes third acquisition NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (29 July-4 August) • Garanti Bank: CEO resigns NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: ADA releases July light ...
- Mihaly Gajda
Petrom slightly exceeded expectations in Q2 2024
Key Message The company reported a clean CCS operating profit of RON 1,379 mn, marking a 15% decline YoY and a 11% decrease quarter-over-quarter. The decline was primarily driven by the weak performance of the Gas & Power segment due to lower sales, higher gas storage obligations, and a decreased refining indicator margin in the R&M segment, partially offset by higher hydrocarbon prices, increased refined product sales, and higher retail and commercial margins in R&M.
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Greek ASE – best performer in July
EME Equity Market – July 2024 Greece the biggest winner, while Poland the clear loser in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 1.1% in EUR terms and 0.3% in USD terms in July. The Greek ASE Index posted the best performance for the month, advancing by 5.3% mom in EUR terms. There was a broadly similar performance in Hungary, Czechia and Romania (+ 2.9%, 2.7% and 2.1% mom in EUR terms, respectively). The Turkish ISE30 Index declined by 1.6% mom in EUR terms, but the clear loser was the Polis...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
CEZ CEZ AS
KRKG KRKA D.D.
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
MYTIL MYTILINEOS S.A.
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
SNP PETROM S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
M MED LIFE
NLBR NLB GROUP
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL ADNOC DRILLING CO
AROBS AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
9526 JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
SHO SHOPER SA
BOROUGE BOROUGE
7203 ELM CO
NOVAL NOVAL PROPERTY
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; GARAN TI; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO; HU Macro; ...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak set of results in 2Q24 NEGATIVE • Garanti Bank: 2Q24 highlights – good margin management, guidance intact • OMV: 2Q24 results NEGATIVE • Borouge: 2Q24 results – sales growth drives profit increase POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 2Q24 results – in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: materially weaker than expected • Czech Republic macro: GDP picks up pace in 2Q, no surprises • CCC: 2Q24E prelims preview – 61% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 7 August) NEUTRAL • VI...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.