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Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 29/09/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.45 per share: Transactions repriced on more attractive terms – Criterium has renegotiated the terms of the Mont d’Or (MOPL) acquisition. Criterium will now assume only ~US$25.5 mm of debt rather than ~US$37 mm previously. A US$4.8 mm payment to the lenders and the conversion of US$4.9 mm of debt into equity (US$2.5 mm on completion of the acquisition plus US$2.4 mm in 2025) reduce further...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 15/09/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C: target price of £0.55 per share: Tripling 2P reserves at Tapir – The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte (net to Arrow) have been estimated at 3.92 mmbbl with an 3P upside case of 6.62 mmbbl (1.82 mmbbl of 1P reserves). The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are ~2x larger than at Rio Crave Este with overall net 2P reserves at Tapir increased to ~6 mmbbl. The 2P reserves at Carrizales Norte are also 2x the pre ...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 04/08/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Growing production. New Anshof well to be spudded in September - 2Q23 production was 317 boe/d reaching 366 boe/d in June and including ~115 bbl/d at Anshof. Anshof-3 production performance continues to exceed expectations with strong pressure support and deliverability with no water production. Work-over activities at Zistersdorf and Gaiselberg (Vienna basin) in mid-August are ex...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 14/07/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.10 per share: Securing additional loan to prepare for drilling – ADX is issuing A$1.5 mm of loan notes with a term of 18 months. A$1.0 mm of the loan notes carry an interest rate of 8% per annum with 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.01 per share and 30 mm options with an exercise price of A$0.014 per share. The balance of the loan notes carry an interest rate of 12% per annum with 2...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 30/06/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target price of A$0.100 per share: Exploration portfolio update in Austria: larger volume, lower risk – The exploration portfolio in Upper Austria is now estimated to hold 213 mmboe of best technical prospective resources (previously 200 mmboe) in 20 prospects. The importance of the upgrade is as much about risk reduction as it is about resources increase. The expansion of the portfolio also provides new opportuni...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

IOG (IOG LN)

H2 well production rates successfully increased. IOG has announced that a successful intervention programme has been carried out at its recently drilled Blythe H2 well (IOG 50%).

Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 22 Jun 23

22nd June 2023 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment objecti...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 16/06/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Criterium Energy (CEQ CN)C; target price of C$0.95 per share: Transformational acquisition in Indonesia – Criterium is delivering on its plans by acquiring Mont D’Or Petroleum with long life and high netback production of 1,050 bbl/d and 4.7 mmbbl 2P reserves across 2 PSCs in Indonesia (Tungkal in South Sumatra and West Salawati in Southwest Papua). With important spare capacity in existing infrastructure and very low drilling costs (U...

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 09/06/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Arrow Exploration (AXL LN/CN)C; target price of £0.50 per share: No flow from the Gacheta but overall reserves addition from CN-1 larger than initially expected – The Gacheta zones proved unproductive at the CN 1 well location. Management is investigating potential reasons for the lack of productivity and plans to re-evaluate these Gacheta zones in future wells. The Gacheta zones were located above the Ubaque that flowed at rates >1,10...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

IOG (IOG LN) - Blythe H2 well result, bond update

IOG has announced the initial results from its Blythe H2 development well, alongside providing an update on discussions with its bondholders.

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

IOG

Forecast updates for production, OPEX, CAPEX and gas prices. We have now updated our model for the 2022 results, and for the current focus of operations on IOG’s assets.

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 05/05/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C: Target price of A$0.100 per share: 1Q23 in line with expectations. Growing production at Anshof – 1Q23 production was 299 boe/d including 88 bbl/d for Anshof. In March net production from Anshof has increased to 94 bbl/d. Overall net production in March including the Zistersdorf & Gaiselberg fields (Z&G) was 336 boe/d. Additional site storage is planned to be installed at the Anshof-3 well location in June which ...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

IOG (IOG LN) - Operational update

IOG has released an operational update, reporting progress on its Blythe H2 production well, planning for the upcoming Kelham North/Central and Goddard appraisal wells, and a new farmout process for Goddard.

IOG Plc: 3 directors

Three Directors at IOG Plc bought 744,180 shares at between 4.45p and 4.58p. The significance rating of the trade was 67/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ye...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

IOG (IOG LN) - Full year 2022 results

Numbers partly already released in January. IOG has released its full year 2022 results. In January the company announced gross average production from first gas in March to the end of 2022 of 27.4mmcf/d, end 2022 gross cash of £32.4m (including £5.7m restricted), 2022 revenue before sales deductions of £79.6m, cash OPEX of 13.9p/therm, and cash CAPEX of £61.2m

Stephane Foucaud
  • Stephane Foucaud

Auctus on Friday - 10/03/2023

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Chariot (CHAR LM) C; Target price of £0.55 per share: One step closer to FID – Production ramp-up quicker than expected – Chariot has completed the Front-End Engineering and Design (FEED) on the key components of the Anchois gas development project. The FEED confirms a plateau production of 105 mmcf/d from three wells including the existing Anchois-2 well, subsea infrastructure to an onshore central processing facility and an onshore g...

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

Audio Note: IOG - Reserves and resources update; Blythe H2 well spud

In this audio note, Zeus’ Daniel Slater summarises the investment case for IOG. Downgrade to Southwark reserves. IOG on Friday announced an update to its reserves and resources, including a significant, though not unsurprising, downgrade to Southwark reserves. Listen to the audio note below, and read the full research here.

Daniel Slater
  • Daniel Slater

IOG (IOG LN) - Reserves and resources update; Blythe H2 well spud

Downgrade to Southwark reserves. IOG on Friday announced an update to its reserves and resources, including a significant, though not unsurprising, downgrade to Southwark reserves. Southwark 2P reserves fell from 71.3bcf gross to 10.0bcf gross (IOG 50%), on the back of the low flow rates seen in the A2 well and drilling issues seen in the A1 well. Given these existing reported results for both wells, while the magnitude of the reserves downgrade is disappointing, it is not a huge surprise, and t...

ABGSC Credit Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Credit Research
  • Bendik Fougner Engebretsen

It's all up to Blythe

Succeeding with Blythe H2 will be key for IOG to show proof of concept. But even with a success, covenants remain a risk.

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