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Alaa Tolba
  • Alaa Tolba

Another stifled year ahead, initiate with Neutral

Expect ST pressures, with 2018e EPS down c13% y-o-y. Farm Superstores, the largest grocery retailer in Saudi’s Eastern region (63% of revenue), is tapping into new areas in Saudi to diversify its footprint. But rising labour costs and high margin non-core segments (7% of revenue, 15% of GP), once key attributes, are at risk, being more exposed to affordability pressures, dragging margins. We believe the 4% discount to Al-Othaim on 2018e P/E of 17.7x is fair given Farm’s weaker LFL growth (-6% vs...

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