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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: 2Q25 results. Air France-KLM: Nice beat, let's see how FY25 finishes. AMG: Uptrend continues in 2Q25 with 23% EBITDA beat and guidance up to +US$200m. Aperam: Slight 2Q25 EBITDA beat, 3Q25 seen down QoQ. Arcadis: EBITA margin held up well in 2Q25, order intake mixed. Ayvens: 2Q25 results. Azelis: Soft but largely in-line 2Q25 with EMEA offsetting weaker APAC. Bekaert: 1H25 miss and lowered outlook to result in c.5% consensus downside. Corbion: Taking it to the wire. dsm...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+7)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste
  • Wim Lewi

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, F...

: ABI BB, ARGX BB, BEKB BB, CRBN NA, DSFIR NA, ENX FP, FAGR BB, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, UCB BB, AZE BB, SYENS BB

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ahold Delhaize: Peer Albertsons 1Q25/26 results ASML: 2Q25 results; good update, focus on FY26 Barco: 1H25 results; margin uplift despite headwinds Belgian Telecoms: DIGI fixed internet launch in Wallonia Flow Traders: June global volume rises but volatility declines MoM NSI: Good operational results, cautious outlook Ontex: Sizeable profit warning calls for material consensus downgrade

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: Acquisition of Asian semiconductor player. ASML: Preview 2Q25; building backlog for 2026. BAM: 1H25 preview - YoY improvement from UK. Barco: Preview 1H25F; significant headwinds. Econocom: Acquires four specialist AV companies under ‘One Econocom' strategic plan. Flow Traders: Preview 2Q25. Staffing: Page Group 2Q25 trading update; soft 2Q25 especially in perm; outlook in line. WDP: €41m sale-and-lease back in France

Michiel Declercq ... (+3)
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Thomas Couvreur
Thomas Couvreur
  • Thomas Couvreur

Flow Traders Trump uplift in market volatility short-lived

In April we published the note “Trump volatility resulting in a massive tailwind”, where we were banking on a strong 2Q25 for Flow Traders on the back on economic turmoil caused by Trump's trade war. Despite continued erratic actions from the White House, combined with a significant escalation in the Middle East, market volatility virtually fully normalized. The strong quarter for Flow Traders we were expecting clearly did not materialize.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ASR: Buyout deal, second in as many months, similar size (€660m). Flow Traders: Sticky digits. IMCD: Small but solid acquisition in India. Randstad: Preliminary preview of 2Q25F results due 23 July. UCB: Fintepla meets primary endpoint in CDKL5 Deficiency Disorder

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Colruyt: FY24/25F set to be in line with recently revised guidance. Exor: In search of a €2bn deal. Flow Traders: Sell In May And Go Away. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex May 2025 box office revenue up 63% YoY, at 81% of 2019 level. Staffing: Dutch Period 5 - May vols up, strong pricing, working days/comps might distort. Staffing: French staffing - strong April data, May outlook also better

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CM.com: CMD – AI-first strategy, new medium-term targets. CVC Capital Partners: Good realisations. D'Ieteren: CMD feedback. Euronext: An even stronger April is Next. Flow Traders: Promising April. KBC: M&A in Slovakia, capital changes, beat in 1Q. Prosus: iFood partners with Uber. SBM Offshore: FY25 starts reasonably well, decarbonization gains momentum. Syensqo: Modest 1Q25 beat, +€1.4bn FY EBITDA guidance excludes FX, tariff impact

Jason Kalamboussis ... (+3)
  • Jason Kalamboussis
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA

Flow Traders/Point proved/HOLD

The Flow Traders' share price fell by 21% on the 1Q25 results in which management revealed that the April bout of market volatility is of significantly smaller scale (intensity and duration) than the pandemic induced VIX index spike. We review our earnings forecast and valuation, and come to the conclusion that Flow Traders is likely to deliver a through cycle RoE of c.15%. As a result, we expect the company to trade around 1.5x book value (of €18.00 per share) now that the New Operating Model i...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Allfunds Group plc: 1Q25 Preview. Azelis: 1Q25 EBITA miss on tariff uncertainty, €20m self-help to support margins. Exor: Announces oversubscribed €1bn SBB tender offer, strike at VWAP +2%. Flow Traders: Mike drop. Fugro: 1Q25 as expected but outlook a question mark. IMCD: Breaking with tradition: CEO gone within 15 months. Kinepolis: Weak 1Q25, offset by a strong 2Q25 start. KPN: Small 1Q25 EBITDAal beat, guidance reiterated. Randstad: Capital Markets Event. RELX: 1Q25 trading...

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