reports
- ING Helpdesk
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Colruyt: FY24/25F set to be in line with recently revised guidance. Exor: In search of a €2bn deal. Flow Traders: Sell In May And Go Away. Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex May 2025 box office revenue up 63% YoY, at 81% of 2019 level. Staffing: Dutch Period 5 - May vols up, strong pricing, working days/comps might distort. Staffing: French staffing - strong April data, May outlook also better
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
CM.com: CMD – AI-first strategy, new medium-term targets. CVC Capital Partners: Good realisations. D'Ieteren: CMD feedback. Euronext: An even stronger April is Next. Flow Traders: Promising April. KBC: M&A in Slovakia, capital changes, beat in 1Q. Prosus: iFood partners with Uber. SBM Offshore: FY25 starts reasonably well, decarbonization gains momentum. Syensqo: Modest 1Q25 beat, +€1.4bn FY EBITDA guidance excludes FX, tariff impact
- Jason Kalamboussis
- Reg Watson
- CFA
Flow Traders/Point proved/HOLD
The Flow Traders' share price fell by 21% on the 1Q25 results in which management revealed that the April bout of market volatility is of significantly smaller scale (intensity and duration) than the pandemic induced VIX index spike. We review our earnings forecast and valuation, and come to the conclusion that Flow Traders is likely to deliver a through cycle RoE of c.15%. As a result, we expect the company to trade around 1.5x book value (of €18.00 per share) now that the New Operating Model i...
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
SDG SYNERGIE SA
SBS STRATEC SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITP INTERPARFUMS
AUB AUBAY SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
COFA COFACE SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Stefano Toffano
- Thomas Zlowodzki
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DGE DIAGEO PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
RI PERNOD RICARD SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
CEN GROUPE CRIT SA
IDL ID LOGISTICS GROUP
SDG SYNERGIE SA
SBS STRATEC SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SCR SCOR SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ITP INTERPARFUMS
AUB AUBAY SA
FNAC FNAC DARTY SA
VNA VONOVIA SE
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
BB SOCIETE BIC SA
ERA ERAMET SA
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
VRNL VERNEUIL PARTICIPATIONS
CTAC CTAC N.V.
NDA AURUBIS AG
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
SESL SES-IMAGOTAG SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
PYT POLYTEC HOLDING
CSM CORBION NV
WLN WORLDLINE SA
COFA COFACE SA
GLPG GALAPAGOS NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
XFAB X-FAB SILICON FOUNDRIES SE
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
CPR DAVIDE CAMPARI-MILANO N.V.
FUR FUGRO NV
AZE AZELIS GROUP NV
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
- Julian Dobrovolschi
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Allfunds Group plc: 1Q25 Preview. Azelis: 1Q25 EBITA miss on tariff uncertainty, €20m self-help to support margins. Exor: Announces oversubscribed €1bn SBB tender offer, strike at VWAP +2%. Flow Traders: Mike drop. Fugro: 1Q25 as expected but outlook a question mark. IMCD: Breaking with tradition: CEO gone within 15 months. Kinepolis: Weak 1Q25, offset by a strong 2Q25 start. KPN: Small 1Q25 EBITDAal beat, guidance reiterated. Randstad: Capital Markets Event. RELX: 1Q25 trading...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Livio Luyten
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Lewi
- Kristof Samoy
- Michiel Declercq
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Thomas Couvreur
Flow Traders Trump volatility resulting in a massive tailwind
The volatility caused by initial trade war worries in 1Q25 is expected to result in a solid quarter; though partially compensated by more subdued digital assets trading. The market turmoil created by the reciprocal tariff announcement on April 2nd will result in a very strong 2Q25, hinting back to what we saw in 2020. Although visibility going forward is very limited, our base case assumes continued elevated volatility & trading levels until at least the November 2026 US Congress elections. Our ...
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Julian Dobrovolschi
- Julian Dobrovolschi
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
LEI LEIFHEIT AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
GXI GERRESHEIMER AG
EKI EKINOPS SA
RF EURAZEO SA
ALCLS CELLECTIS SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
A1XA4J CARBIOS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
POS PORR AG
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
ANTIN ANTIN INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
- Julian Dobrovolschi
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
ALLIX WALLIX GROUP SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
LEI LEIFHEIT AG
SZG SALZGITTER AG
GXI GERRESHEIMER AG
EKI EKINOPS SA
RF EURAZEO SA
ALCLS CELLECTIS SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
A1XA4J CARBIOS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
POS PORR AG
ROS ROSENBAUER INTERNATIONAL AG
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
ANTIN ANTIN INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
SCHOTT PHARMA AG
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
- Julian Dobrovolschi
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ORA ORANGE SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
SZG SALZGITTER AG
RF EURAZEO SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ERA ERAMET SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
NDA AURUBIS AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ANTIN ANTIN INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
- Julian Dobrovolschi
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
DB1 DEUTSCHE BOERSE AG
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
ORA ORANGE SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
LSEG LONDON STOCK EXCHANGE GROUP PLC
SZG SALZGITTER AG
RF EURAZEO SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ERA ERAMET SA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
NDA AURUBIS AG
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TKO TIKEHAU CAPITAL SCA
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
ANTIN ANTIN INFRASTRUCTURE PARTNERS
ALLFG ALLFUNDS (UK) LTD
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
CVC CVC CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC
- Guy Sips
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Michiel Declercq
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
US Tariffs Navigating the impact on Benelux equities
Trumps reciprocal tariffs caused a massive blow to equity markets, following a pressured period of escalating trade wars. Retaliatory measures can further heavily damage market confidence, as seen Friday when China announced their 34% tarrif of US goods. International trade policies have never moved this erratic and untransparant, with uncertainty and volatility being the baseline for now. In this report we highlight the key stocks in our coverage relevant to this discussion.
EURN EURONAV NV
ABN ABN AMRO BANK NV DEPOSITARY RECEIPTS
FAGR FAGRON SA
EVS EVS BROADCAST EQUIPMENT SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
SOLB SOLVAY SA
UCB UCB S.A.
COFB COFINIMMO SA
DIE D'IETEREN SA
AGFB AGFA-GEVAERT NV
IBAB ION BEAM APPLICATIONS SA
AALB AALBERTS N.V.
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
MELE MELEXIS NV
CSM CORBION NV
ABI ANHEUSER-BUSCH INBEV SA/NV
EXO EXOR N.V.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
ADYEN ADYEN NV
AUTL AUTOLUS THERAPEUTICS ADS
BAR BARCO NV
DEME DEME GROUP NV
FLOW FLOW TRADERS LTD
SYENS SYENSQO
- Jerôme Bodin
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Jerôme Bodin
- Thomas Zlowodzki
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