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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: Consensus estimates for 4Q25 and FY25-27. Flow Traders: Market value traded grew YoY in December on low volatility. Universal Music Group: Spotify to increase prices by 8% in the United States. Events Calendar

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Stronger November market value and volatility; KPN: Collective labour agreement over 18 months with a total salary increase of 5%; Theon International: 99% subscribed, rump covered; VÅR ENERGI: Good old Ekofisk.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Arcadis: US peer Aecom sets a new standard for EBITDA margin potential. Belgian telecoms: Orange Belgium price increases from January. CFE: Keeps outlook, materially lower QoQ net debt. Flow Traders: Market volumes improve in October. IMCD: Awaiting a recovery. Kinepolis: Launches retail bond issuance for €100-150m. NEPI Rockcastle: Sound operational performance continues. Universal Music Group: EU to warn on Downtown deal

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AB InBev: The interim is back. Arcadis: Slow return to organic growth, FCF disappoints. Ayvens: Keeping its promise. dsm-firmenich: Waiting for Godot. D'Ieteren: Boyd prelim 3Q25, $1.3bn M&A deal, NYSE listing, $780m capital increase. Flow Traders: Down but not out. Ontex: FY25F guidance confirmed despite a modestly softer 3Q25. Recticel: Weak 3Q25 but comforting outlook. Shell plc: Solid story with cash continuing to come in strongly. TKH Group: Preview - subsea remains in foc...

Hilde Van Boxstael ... (+5)
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Thomas Couvreur
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, INGA NA,...

: ABI BB, ARCAD NA, ARGX BB, DSFIR NA, FLOW NA, INGA NA, ONTEX BB, RECT BB

Jason Kalamboussis ... (+3)
  • Jason Kalamboussis
  • Reg Watson
  • CFA

Flow Traders/Capital review and 3Q25 preview/HOLD

Following Flow Traders' 3Q25 pre-close update, we reduce our earnings forecast for 2025F but increase our 12-month target price as we roll forward the book value assumption. Based on a 1.5x book value multiple (of €19.18 per share), we increase our 12-month target price to €28.77 (previously €27.00) while maintaining our HOLD recommendation.

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