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ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson

Ready to join the recovery path

We expect 16% EBITA growth in 2024 from better market & scale. Estimates down on European miss and FX, adj. EBITA -5-8%. Share at 14.3x 2024e EV/EBITA with 15% EBITA CAGR '23-'26e.

ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson
ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson
ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson
ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson
ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson

Return to earnings growth in Q3e

'23-'25e EBITA -2-4% as customers remain cautious. We expect 4% EBITA growth in '23e (+16% y-o-y in H2e). Solid growth and margins beyond 2023e at 13.0x '23e EV/EBITA.

ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson
ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson

Market resiliency and guidance in focus

Q2e: -2% organic growth, EBITA SEK 94m (-16% y-o-y). Keeping FY guidance should be supportive for estimates. FX-driven est. changes, share at 13.0x 2023e EV/EBITA.

ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson

Time to gain some market share

Entering a tougher market but BTS looks good long-term. We estimate EBITA to grow 3% in 2023e and we estimate an EBITA CAGR of 14% in 2022-'25e.

ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson
ABGSC Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Services Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Jönsson

Promising outlook for 2023

Q4 slightly on the soft side, 2023 guidance as expected. We expect growth but flat margin 2023e, adj. EBITA -1%.

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