Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls Chinese equities recovered in January, with the HSI and MSCI China rising 6.9% and 5.0% mom, respectively. Given the supportive macro policy environment, we maintain a constructive view on the markets despite risk of further volatility in February. Accordingly, we are adding Alibaba, Ganfeng Lithium, and Minth to our BUY list, while adding Meituan to our SELL list. Indonesia Company Results | Bank Negara Indonesia (BBNI IJ/B...
Singapore equities delivered a strong January performance, with the STI rising 5.6% to fresh record highs amid heightened geopolitical tensions that drove flight-to-safety flows. Manufacturing activity remained in mild expansion, led by electronics and AI-related demand. Market/corporate catalysts during the month include REIT earnings, IPO interest in Catalist and continued strength in gold-linked counters.
Top Stories Strategy | Alpha Picks: Reallocating Into Higher-Conviction Names Our Alpha Picks outperformed the STI on a price-weighted and market cap-weighted basis but underperformed on an equal-weighted basis. For Feb 26, we add CAO, RGL, HLA, and PROP and remove CLAR, KEP, MPM, and RSTON. The portfolio continues to be well-positioned ahead of expected EQDP-driven flows into small- and mid-cap stocks. Sector Update | Banking The appointment of Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair has strengthened...
Greater China Economics | PMI January PMI was below Bloomberg’s consensus, as the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.2 (-0.9pt mom). The manufacturing output sub-index stayed marginally expansionary, while the new orders and new export orders sub-indices weakened. The purchase prices sub-index surged, pointing to higher cost pressure for manufacturers. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4 (-0.8pt mom), mainly driven by a sharp contraction in the construction industry index. Large enterpri...
On a full-year basis, KDCREIT clocked a positive rental reversion was 45% for 2025, driven by renewals for colocation leases in Singapore. Contribution from Singapore was also boosted by newly-acquired SGP7 and SGP8. KDCREIT is scouting for acquisition of hyperscale data centres in Singapore, Japan, South Korea and Europe. It also creates value by enhancing SGP1 and SGP8. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$2.82.
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs Safe haven liquidity continues flowing into Singapore, pushing down SORA on an overnight basis to a low of 1.27%. Three-month compounded SORA eased 8bp to 1.25% in Nov 25. The Fed cut the Fed Funds Rate by another 25bp to 3.75% during the FOMC meeting on 29 Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.81). Market S...
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs Two out of the 16 large-cap S-REITs under our coverage surpassed expectations. FLT’s occupancy for logistics properties in Australia gained 4.3ppt qoq to 100% in 4QFY25. SUN has received a favourable ruling from the ATO, which has a positive impact of 3.7% on 2025 DPU. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79). Mark...
Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet Data from the initial phase of the 11.11 campaign set a compelling prelude for a mid-single-digit GMV growth in 4Q25. The new phase of 11.11 is characterised by a longer cycle, simplified promotion mechanics, and deeper technological integration. Platform competition has shifted from “traffic wars” to “efficiency wars”, as AI enhances demand-supply matching and instant retail breaks offline barriers, reducing consumer decision costs. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT....
NPI grew 42.2% yoy in 9M25 driven by the acquisition of SGP7, SGP8 and Tokyo Data Centre 1. KDCREIT clocked a positive rental reversion of 10% in 3Q25, driven mainly by lease renewals in Dublin. KDCREIT plans to invest S$53.9m to fit-out half a floor at SGP8 to build one data centre hall, which is expected to increase revenue contribution from SGP8 by 15% when completed in 3Q27.
Top Stories Company Results | Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP/BUY/S$2.39/Target: S$2.65) NPI grew 42.2% yoy in 9M25 driven by the acquisition of SGP7, SGP8 and Tokyo Data Centre 1. KDCREIT clocked a positive rental reversion of 10% in 3Q25, driven mainly by lease renewals in Dublin. KDCREIT plans to invest S$53.9m to fit-out half a floor at SGP8 to build one data centre hall, which is expected to increase revenue contribution from SGP8 by 15% when completed in 3Q27. Company Results | Suntec REIT (...
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs The sudden U-turn in trade negotiations between the US and China has caught the market by surprise. Risk from a protracted US government shutdown also adds to greater uncertainties. The most defensive sectors are suburban retail (CICT and LREIT), healthcare (PREIT) and data centres (KDCREIT and NTTDCR), which are less affected by trade conflicts and reciprocal tariffs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY CICT (Target: S$2.79), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), PREIT (Target: S$5....
US monetary policy is at an inflexion point and has switched towards easing to support the job market, which has slowed considerably in recent months. S-REITs benefit from lower cost of debt and expanded yield spread. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), KREIT (Target: S$1.18) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
Top Stories Company Update | Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP/BUY/S$2.39/Target: S$2.69) KDCREIT is acquiring Tokyo Data Centre 3, a five-storey freehold hyperscale data centre in Inzai City, Greater Tokyo, for JPY82.1b (S$707m). The transaction is accretive to pro forma 2024 DPU by 2.8%. KDCREIT has launched a non-renounceable preferential offering with 80 new units for every 1,000 existing units at S$2.24 per unit. Market Spotlight • US stocks ended lower on Tuesday, with the DJIA, S&P 500, and N...
Greater China Company Update | Miniso (MNSO US/BUY/US$23.53/Target: US$26.80) Miniso’s qtd business performance was in line with management’s expectations. Domestically, it has 12 Miniso Land stores, with a payback period of 3-4 months. Overseas, adjustments were implemented in the US market following the appointment of the new CEO, who has over 15 years of experience in local retailing. On proprietary IP strategy, Yoyo’s sales are expected to exceed Rmb100m in 2026. Management expects propr...
• KDCREIT is acquiring Tokyo Data Centre 3, a five-storey freehold hyperscale data centre in Inzai City, Greater Tokyo, for JPY82.1b (S$707m). • The transaction is accretive to pro forma 2024 DPU by 2.8%. KDCREIT has launched a non-renounceable preferential offering with 80 new units for every 1,000 existing units at S$2.24 per unit. • We raise our 2026 DPU forecast by 1.7%. Maintain BUY. Target price: S$2.69.
Top Stories Company Update | Keppel DC REIT (KDCREIT SP/BUY/S$2.37/Target: S$2.64) Japan’s data centre market is at an inflexion point. KDCREIT could benefit from cap rate compression if regulations are eased to facilitate acquisitions of data centres by life insurance and real estate funds. The AEI for SGP1 to be AI-capable could commence in 2028. Company Update | NTT DC REIT (NTTDCR SP/NOT RATED/US$1.00) Management is exploring the feasibility of acquiring a hyperscale data centre in Frankfu...
Greater China Sector Update | Property Property investment has declined since Jul 25 due to weak demand, LGFV financing controls, slow destocking and urban-redevelopment, and limited new loans. Sep 25 data showed a rebound in Tier 1 city home sales, led by Shanghai. Central government capital is needed. However, the existing policy stance points to a low possibility of direct injection by the central government. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT, with CR Land as our top pick. Indonesia Strategy | T...
• Japan’s data centre market is at an inflexion point. KDCREIT could benefit from cap rate compression if regulations are eased to facilitate acquisitions of data centres by life insurance and real estate funds. • The AEI for SGP1 to be AI-capable could commence in 2028. • We like KDCREIT as a pure play on data centres and the expansion in Singapore and Japan.
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
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