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Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Engie : Results above expectations benefiting from a timing effect

>Results above our forecast with strong contribution in Flex Gen and GEMS - Engie released this morning Q1 2024 results that beat expectations. EBITDA came in at € 5.4bn, (-0.7% organic) above our expectation (at € 5,085m). EBIT was down -1.6% organic to € 4,166m vs € 3,835m expected. By division, the renewable segment reported € 712m (+4.3% y-o-y in organic terms, vs ODDO BHF at € 800m), benefiting from very good hydro conditions in France and Portugal and commissio...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Engie : Results above expectations benefiting from a timing effect

>Results above our forecast with strong contribution in Flex Gen and GEMS - Engie released this morning Q1 2024 results that beat expectations. EBITDA came in at € 5.4bn, (-0.7% organic) above our expectation (at € 5,085m). EBIT was down -1.6% organic to € 4,166m vs € 3,835m expected. By division, the renewable segment reported € 712m (+4.3% y-o-y in organic terms, vs ODDO BHF at € 800m), benefiting from very good hydro conditions in France and Portugal and commissio...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/16/2024

We have tactically downgraded the energy sector from Overweight to Neutral (excl. oil services on which we are maintaining our Overweight rating) and dropped Shell Plc from our Large Caps list. The IEA report has accelerated the downswing for the energy sector, which could continue in the days ahead. June will be a better month to come back to the sector. - ...

Ahmed Ben Salem ... (+2)
  • Ahmed Ben Salem
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 16/05/2024

Nous dégradons tactiquement à Neutre le secteur de l’énergie (hors Services Pétroliers sur lesquels nous conservons une opinion Surperformance) et faisons sortir Shell plc de notre liste Large Caps. Le rapport AIE a accéléré la baisse du secteur énergie, qui pourrait se poursuivre dans les jours qui viennent. Juin sera un meilleur mois pour revenir sur le secteur. - ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : Solid results bode well going forward

>Q1 2024 results beat expectations - RWE's Q1 2024 results, reported yesterday, beat expectations. EBITDA came in at € 1.709bn, (-26%) vs € 1.57bn expected (€ 1.569bn css). Adjusted EBIT fell by 34% to € 1.22bn vs € 1.07bn expected (ODDO BHF) / € 1.048bn (css). Adjusted net income came in at € 801m (vs € 1.315bn y-o-y) up relative to our expectations at € 654m and € 646m (css). All the divisions were in line with expectations, except for trading which posted € 251m (...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : Des résultats solides de bon augure pour la suite

>Résultats T1 2024 supérieurs aux attentes - RWE a publié hier ses résultats T1 2024 supérieurs aux attentes. L'EBITDA est ressorti à 1 709 M€, (-26%) contre 1 570 M€ attendus (1 569 M€ Css). L'EBIT ajusté est en baisse de 34% à 1 220 M€ vs 1 070 M€ attendus (ODDO BHF) / 1 048 € (Css). Le résultat net ajusté est ressorti à 801 M€ (vs 1 315 M€ y-o-y) en hausse par rapport à nos attentes à 654 M€ et 646 M€ (Css). Toutes les divisions ont été conformes aux prévisions, à...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/15/2024

With 71% of the companies in the Stoxx 600 having released their Q1 2024 results, the picture at this stage is encouraging, with 58% of positive surprises on results. Materials and financials were the sectors that delivered the most positive surprises. If the Q4 2023 earnings season put an end to a downward revision of EPS, the Q1 2024 earnings season has triggered the start of an upward EPS revision, more markedly in the US than in Europe. In terms of sectors, re-rating effects conti...

Julian Dobrovolschi ... (+2)
  • Julian Dobrovolschi
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 15/05/2024

Alors que 71% des sociétés du Stoxx 600 ont publié, le bilan est à ce stade positif avec 58% de surprises positives sur les résultats. Matériaux et Financières sont les secteurs ayant apporté le plus de surprises positives. Le consensus – qui avait stoppé sa baisse durant les publications T4-23, est désormais reparti à la hausse, plus nettement aux Etats-Unis qu’en Europe. Sectoriellement, les effets de rerating ont continué de dominer les révisions de BPA. - ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : Results above forecast but no change in the guidance at this poi...

>Good set of results above forecast due to trading business - RWE released its Q1 2024 results this morning, which came in above expectations. EBITDA came in at €1,709, (-26%) vs €1,570 m anticipated (€ 1,569m Css). Adjusted EBIT was down 34% to € 1,220m vs € 1,070m expected (ODDO BHF) / € 1,048m (Css). Adjusted net income was € 801m (vs € 1,315m y-o-y) above our forecast at € 654m and € 646m (Css). By division, EBITDA at the offshore wind business was up 16% y-o-y to...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

RWE : Results above forecast but no change in the guidance at this poi...

>Good set of results above forecast due to trading business - RWE released its Q1 2024 results this morning, which came in above expectations. EBITDA came in at €1,709, (-26%) vs €1,570 m anticipated (€ 1,569m Css). Adjusted EBIT was down 34% to € 1,220m vs € 1,070m expected (ODDO BHF) / € 1,048m (Css). Adjusted net income was € 801m (vs € 1,315m y-o-y) above our forecast at € 654m and € 646m (Css). By division, EBITDA at the offshore wind business was up 16% y-o-y to...

Verbund AG: 4 directors

Four Directors at Verbund AG bought 5,399 shares at 71.794EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 63/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

EDP : A welcome revision to the 2026 trajectory

>Outperform rating maintained and target price adjusted to € 5.95 (vs € 6.0) - Following the Q1 2024 earnings release on Thursday 9 May, the group organised a conference call on Friday 10 May in which it announced a revision to its 2026 trajectory given market conditions that are significantly different from what was expected in the March 2023 strategic presentation. This update reduces the capex envelope by € 2bn and lowers the 2023-2026e CAGR for EBITDA (1% vs 6%) a...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

EDP : Une révision salutaire de la trajectoire 2026

>Opinion Surperformance conservée et OC ajusté à 5.95 € (vs 6.0 €) - A l’issue de la publication des résultats du T1 24 le jeudi 9 mai, le groupe a organisé une conférence téléphonique le vendredi 10 mai dans la laquelle il a annoncé une révision de sa trajectoire 2026, compte tenu des conditions de marchés qui diffèrent significativement par rapport aux anticipations de la présentation stratégique de mars 2023. Cette mise au point réduit l’enveloppe d’investissement ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

EDP : Q1 2024 a shade below forecasts, excluding non-recurring element...

>Outperform recommendation and target price of € 6.0 maintained - Recurring performances in Q1 2024 fell short of our forecasts. On a reported basis, Q1 2024 was in line with consensus. Activity in the first quarter was driven by the return to a more normal situation in terms of hydropower on the Iberian Peninsula and the positive trajectory of EDPR's activities, but offset by unfavourable price effects and marketing margins returning to more normal levels. Clearly, Q...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Enel : Q1 24 slightly better, with unchanged trajectory for 2024

>Outperform rating and € 9.20 target price maintained - Enel’s Q1 24 performances just beat expectations. Q1 was, as expected, driven by generation and marketing but it also benefited from investments in grids and price revisions. Management confirmed the group’s compliance with the 2024-2026 trajectory given last November. In view of this confirmation, we are leaving our estimates unchanged. We maintain our Outperform rating and target price of € 9.20, still based on...

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