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ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

Pulp is gaining momentum

Q1e: Clean EBIT of ~SEK 37m. Pulp prices move higher, demand stronger. Fair value range: SEK 9-16/sh.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

A quarter to forget

Q4: Clean EBIT of SEK -100m. Pulp prices up and demand better. Fair value range: SEK 9-16/sh.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye

Pulp market better, but higher costs weigh

Q4e: Clean EBIT of SEK -20m. Pulp prices up and demand better. Fair value range: SEK 9-16/share.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
  • Njål Kleiven

Pulp markets are improving

Q3: Large volume-driven beat. Pulp prices on the rise. Fair value range: SEK 9-16/sh.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
  • Njål Kleiven
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Ali Shemmari
  • Martin Melbye
  • Njål Kleiven

Better pulp markets despite challenging H2'23

Q3e: Clean EBIT of SEK -28m. Pulp futures sharply up – Chinese pulp prices up 19%. Fair value range: SEK 8-16/sh.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Martin Melbye
  • Njål Kleiven

Pulp market weakness to continue

Q2: Clean EBIT of SEK 57m vs. ABGSCe of SEK 62m. European pulp prices down -20-40% from the peak. Fair value range: SEK 8-14/sh.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Martin Melbye
  • Njål Kleiven
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Martin Melbye
  • Njål Kleiven

Margin pressure going into H2'23

Q2e: EBIT of SEK 62m. European pulp prices down -20-40% from the peak. Fair value range: SEK 10-15/sh.

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Martin Melbye

Leading indicators for OECD industrial production

OECD: The indicator points up a bit from a low level. IP growth has dropped. US: The indicator points up a bit from a low level (housing starts, monetary policy, real FX). EU: The indicator points down (monetary policy, bond yields, real FX). Japan: The indicator is neutral (monetary policy vs hous

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Martin Melbye
  • Njål Kleiven
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Martin Melbye
  • Njål Kleiven
ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Martin Melbye
  • Njål Kleiven

Weaker pulp markets

Q1e: EBIT of SEK 90m. Chinese NBSK import price down ~20% YTD. Fair value range: SEK 10-15/sh (11-16).

ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Pulp & Paper Research
  • Martin Melbye

Leading indicators for OECD industrial production

OECD: The indicator points down. US: The indicator points down (house prices, bond yields, monetary policy). EU: The indicator points down (monetary policy, bond yields). Japan: The indicator is neutral (housing starts, monetary policy).

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