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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $2.3, +22%) Q1 25: Small beat at OSI and solid...

Televisa reported Q1’s after close yesterday. Revenue came in in line with consensus and our expectations while OSI slightly beat consensus and our forecasts. Broadband net adds came in slightly better than consensus but remained in negative territory.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Megacable (Neutral, TP: MXN55, +21%) Q1 25: Slightly slower but solid...

Megacable has reported a decent set of Q1 results. Revenue came in a touch below expectations while EBITDA came in a touch above. Financial and KPI trends slowed this quarter but remained solid across the board

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Mexican Cable/FTTH MEGA and AMX the strongest performers, TV pt to $2...

The Mexican fixed market saw revenue trends roughly stable in Q4 vs. Q3 while EBITDA trends continued to inflect. KPIs were relatively slower but decent with ~220k net additions and Broadband penetration continued to creep up.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Megacable (Neutral, TP: MXN55, +29%) Q4 24: Decent quarter, solid KPIs

Megacable has reported a decent set of Q4 results. Revenue came in a touch below expectations while EBITDA was in line.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $3.1, +50%) Q4 24: Solid FCF but weak fundamen...

Televisa reported Q4’s after close. Cable revenue and OSI were broadly as expected but KPIs were weak this quarter, with broadband net adds back into negative territory. Focus remains on FCF rather than growing the base, helped by relatively low cable capex this year.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Introducing the NSR Global EM Telco & Tower...

In a separate note published last week we introduced the NSR GEM-Top 8. However, many of the stocks in that list are not liquid and so, given the tailwinds we now see in the Telco industry we introduce a second list – the GEM Telco & Towers Liquid Compounders; large cap, well-managed telcos in attractive markets at cheap valuations that are likely to generate market-beating returns over time. These are the best large cap investments in the Global EM Telco & Towers space we think.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

LatAm Telcos – TIM/Vivo to Neutral; Wireless MVNO threats - NuCel / Br...

As well as a broader regional recap, we focus on wireless MVNO threats: NuCel in Brazil, recapping also the experience of AMX in Mexico with Bait (Walmart).

America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.: Update following rating affirmation

Our credit view of this issuer reflects its strong market position, offset by its intense competition.

Empresa Nacional de Telecomunicaciones S.A.: Update to credit analysis

Our credit view of Empresa Nacional de Telecomunicaciones reflects its strong market share, offset by its high leverage and tight liquidity.

Moody's Ratings announces completion of a periodic review of ratings o...

Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has completed a periodic review of the ratings of Empresa Nacional de Telecomunicaciones S.A. and other ratings that are associated with this issuer. The review was conducted through a rating committee held on 11 November 2024 in which we reassessed the appropriateness of ...

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

VIVT3 (Buy, TP: R$61, +15%) TIMS3 (Buy, TP: R$23, +43%) AMX (Buy, TP: ...

Rounding off the reporting season, Vivo reported solid Q3s results with a 3% beat at EBITDA and the best postpaid net adds in Brazil this quarter.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

Mexican Cable/FTTH - Q3 24: MEGA and TPLAY the strongest performers; T...

The Mexican fixed market experienced a slight slowdown in revenue and EBITDA trends in Q3 but KPIs remained robust with 423k net additions and continued growth in Broadband penetration.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

AMX(Buy, TP: $22, +34%) America Movil - Q3 24: Accelerating growth, 4...

AMX reported a good set of Q3 numbers yesterday after close. Both revenue and EBITDA beat consensus by ~4%. Service revenue growth accelerated to 5.5% in Q3 vs. 4.7% last quarter and EBITDA growth accelerated to 7.3% from 6.9% in Q2. Almost all geographies beat.

America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.: Annual Update

Our credit view of America Movil reflects its regional presence with leading market position and strong credit metrics, offset by intense competition.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

AMX (Buy, TP: $22, +32%) Televisa (Neutral, TP: $3.5, +58%) Megacable ...

AMX and Totalplay emerged as the strong performers in Q2, in terms of KPIs (Telmex the highest BB subs again) and financials (TPLAY 16% EBITDA y/y growth). MEGA continued good momentum, slowing perhaps a touch (and with weaker Corporate). Izzy (Televisa) continues to back off from chasing growth and focus more on FCF - helped by a cut in Cable capex (from $630m to $590m, or 22% of sales to 20%) and with deal synergies to come (MXN400m per Q).

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

TV US (Neutral, TP: $3.5,) Televisa Q2 24 - Cost (and maybe capex?) t...

Televisa reported Q2’s after close. Trends were broadly as expected, with focus on FCF rather than growing the base, meaning revenue momentum slipped further (-6% y/y from -5% in Q1) on the back of limited broadband adds (in contrast to peers like AMX) as well as a video subs disconnection. Operating segment income improved a touch (still down 8% y/y) and with the prospect of DTH/cable synergies coming through from Q3.

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