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Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Entel (Neutral, TP: CLP3,150, -1.5%) Q2 25: Slower trends, the environ...

Entel has reported a slower set of Q2 results, driven by slower wireless and wireline trends in Chile.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Megacable (Buy, TP: MXN75, +36%) Q2 25: Good quarter, lower capex driv...

Megacable reported a good set of Q2 results post close yesterday with core mass market revenue and EBITDA trends inflecting.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

America Movil (Buy, TP: $22, +23%) Q2 25: Good quarter; Better Mexico ...

AMX reported a solid set of Q2 results yesterday. Both revenue and EBITDA came in slightly above consensus and trends accelerated.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $2.3, -3%) Better broadband KPIs and nice EPS ...

Televisa has reported a mixed set of Q2 results after the close yesterday. Revenue came in slightly below consensus expectations while OSI came in roughly in line. The small revenue miss was driven by Sky which saw a further deterioration in trends this quarter. EPS beat nicely, mainly driven by TVUNI which posted a better quarter. Perhaps the highlight this quarter is the Broadband net adds which were positive (+6k).

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $2.3, +7%) Debt downgrade / TelevisaUnivision: ...

Moody’s has downgraded Televisa’s senior unsecured ratings to Ba1 from Baa3 and assigned a Ba1 corporate family rating; the outlook remains negative. TelevisaUnivision has announced a proposed $1bn refinancing and preliminary Q2 25.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Mexican Broadband Update; Upgrade MEGA to Buy, pt MXN75

Following Q1s and our calls with the CFOs of Televisa, Megacable and Totalplay last month we provide an update on Mexican Broadband.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $2.3, +22%) Q1 25: Small beat at OSI and solid...

Televisa reported Q1’s after close yesterday. Revenue came in in line with consensus and our expectations while OSI slightly beat consensus and our forecasts. Broadband net adds came in slightly better than consensus but remained in negative territory.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Megacable (Neutral, TP: MXN55, +21%) Q1 25: Slightly slower but solid...

Megacable has reported a decent set of Q1 results. Revenue came in a touch below expectations while EBITDA came in a touch above. Financial and KPI trends slowed this quarter but remained solid across the board

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Mexican Cable/FTTH MEGA and AMX the strongest performers, TV pt to $2...

The Mexican fixed market saw revenue trends roughly stable in Q4 vs. Q3 while EBITDA trends continued to inflect. KPIs were relatively slower but decent with ~220k net additions and Broadband penetration continued to creep up.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers – On Fire - NSR GEM Top-10 April 25 Update. ...

Our picks were on fire in March, with our top EM Telcos now up 27% YTD on average. This note also includes key news & other thoughts catalysts, help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Millicom (Buy, TP: $36, +30%) - Q4 24: Slower trends but strong EFCF

Millicom has reported a slower set of Q4 results and both service revenue and EBITDA came in a shade below consensus expectations. However, the EFCF performance was strong, well above expectations in Q4 and the guide for 2025 EFCF of ~$750m is also above consensus (in line with us).

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

TIM Brasil (Buy, TP: R$22, +29%) Feedback from small group call with ...

We hosted a small group Zoom call with TIM Brasil CEO, Alberto Griselli, and Head of IR, Vicente Ferreira last Tuesday. Overall tone was positive

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Megacable (Neutral, TP: MXN55, +29%) Q4 24: Decent quarter, solid KPIs

Megacable has reported a decent set of Q4 results. Revenue came in a touch below expectations while EBITDA was in line.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Televisa (Neutral, TP: $3.1, +50%) Q4 24: Solid FCF but weak fundamen...

Televisa reported Q4’s after close. Cable revenue and OSI were broadly as expected but KPIs were weak this quarter, with broadband net adds back into negative territory. Focus remains on FCF rather than growing the base, helped by relatively low cable capex this year.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

TIM Brasil (Buy, TP: BRL22, +27%) New R$1bn share buyback plan approv...

TIM Brasil has approved a new share buyback plan, up to R$1bn (US$ 173m), which represents a significant uptick in overall shareholder remuneration. This is another positive development following its new medium term guidance. With a net cash position and 14% 2025 FCFE yield, the stock is a compelling Buy and represents one of our Top Picks in EM with a R$ 22 price target.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

LatAm Telcos: Outlook 2025 – Market repair continues, TIM Brasil and V...

Fundamentals continue to look pretty good to us in Latin America, with market repair continuing across wireless markets and further consolidation likely. Macro / political risk is probably the biggest issue. We upgrade TIM Brasil and Vivo to Buy. Price targets rise to BRL22 and BRL66 (from BRL19 and BRL57 ) respectively.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Millicom (Buy, TP: $34, +24%) Impressive new shareholder remuneration...

Millicom has announced a new , very positive , shareholder remuneration policy which includes resuming regular cash dividends, sustaining or growing cash dividend every year, and keeping a prudent capital structure. The new dividend policy is well ahead of our expectations.

Chris Hoare
  • Chris Hoare

Global EM Telcos & Towers Introducing the NSR Global EM Telco & Tower...

In a separate note published last week we introduced the NSR GEM-Top 8. However, many of the stocks in that list are not liquid and so, given the tailwinds we now see in the Telco industry we introduce a second list – the GEM Telco & Towers Liquid Compounders; large cap, well-managed telcos in attractive markets at cheap valuations that are likely to generate market-beating returns over time. These are the best large cap investments in the Global EM Telco & Towers space we think.

Soomit Datta
  • Soomit Datta

LatAm Telcos – TIM/Vivo to Neutral; Wireless MVNO threats - NuCel / Br...

As well as a broader regional recap, we focus on wireless MVNO threats: NuCel in Brazil, recapping also the experience of AMX in Mexico with Bait (Walmart).

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