reports
- Cédric Rossi
- Clément Genelot
Fashion: navigating a cautious summer
Based on recent market trends, the start of Q3 appears to be a continuation of the softness observed in May and June for the fashion industry, as prolonged macroeconomic and tariff-related uncertainty continues to weigh on consumer spending. This environment has prompted a wait-and-see approach amo
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Cédric Rossi
H&M: modest signs of improvement
While still showing a contraction YoY, Q2 margins improved sequentially versus Q1, lending more credibility to the company’s guidance for a positive inflexion point expected in H2 2025. However, H&M remains particularly sensitive to fluid external factors such as promotional activity, freight c
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Anthony Dick
- Michael Foundoukidis
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Andreas Riemann
- Cédric Rossi
- Clément Genelot
Fashion: No sign of spring in second quarter
As we feared in our February sector update, tariffs took a toll on US consumer sentiment, prompting shoppers to become more cautious on discretionary spending. European optimism ticked up marginally as did spending intentions, leading to soft market trends in May-June. In view of constrained pricin
- Cédric Rossi
Inditex: normalised, not neutralised (cancel & replace)
Whereas Q1 results broadly met expectations, current trading was again underwhelming, with sales from 1st May to 9th June up 6% FX-n (vs. CSSe c.+7%), reflecting volatile demand and a tough comp base. We have trimmed our FY25 estimates by 3% to account for the ongoing normalisation phase and a more
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
Suspension of Coverage
From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
ADS ADIDAS AG
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
OR L'OREAL SA
KER KERING SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
SFL SAFILO GROUP S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
SFER SALVATORE FERRAGAMO S.P.A.
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
CFR RICHEMONT
BEI BEIERSDORF
BOSS HUGO BOSS
DHER DELIVERY HERO
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
EF ESSILORLUXOTTICA
UHR THE SWATCH GROUP
MC LVMH
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #71
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how tariffs have dominated recent earnings calls over other topics such a
- Clement Genelot
Zalando: persistent deflationary concerns overshadow good Q1 and curre...
Post a good set of Q1 results with reassuring current trading comments, we have left our estimates unchanged with a EUR39 PT. Persistent risks concerning deflationary pressures in the European fashion sector in H2 continue to weigh on Zalando's ST rerating despite an appealing MT equity story based
- Carole Braudeau
- Oliver Metzger
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Wim Gille
- Carole Braudeau
- Oliver Metzger
- Thomas Zlowodzki
- Wim Gille
- Andreas Riemann
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
Fashion disruption: will de minimis reforms trigger "de maximis" marke...
In addition to the implementation of reciprocal tariffs, the Trump administration is also closing the Chinese de minimis loophole from 1st May onwards, which will considerably disrupt the business model of major platforms like Shein and Temu in the US. Although this new market paradigm could be wel
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #65
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the impacts of US tariffs and potential retaliation strategies by foreign
- Cedric Rossi
Sporting Goods: reciprocal tariffs, the last straw?
Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" plan announced on 2nd April now applies huge tariff rates to new countries like Vietnam and Indonesia, which are key in the sourcing of US footwear and apparel. Although apparel and footwear are already heavily taxed at an average of 14.6% and 12.3% respectively, compar
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