reports
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- Jørgen Lian
Another abrupt change
The US Trade Representative on 17 April published revised US port fees with significant changes to the initial proposal based on industry feedback. In its current form, the fees will primarily discourage use of Chinese-controlled maritime trade services to the US, and directly affect the use of Chinese-built vessels in US ports (with several considerable exemptions to avoid harm to US trade). The previous broader fees based on fleet composition and share of Chinese-built vessels has been scrappe...
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
GNK GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD.
MAERSK B A.P. MOLLER - MAERSK A/S CLASS B
ODF ODFJELL ASA
WAWI WALLENIUS WILHELMSEN LOGISTICS ASA
WWI WILHELM WILHELMSEN HOLDING
SBLK STAR BULK CARRIERS CORP.
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
AMSC AMERICAN SHIPPING COMPANY ASA
SN6 STOLT-NIELSEN LTD.
BWLPG BW LPG LTD.
GOGLO GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD
AVACF AVANCE GAS HOLDINGS LTD
HUNT HUNTER GROUP ASA
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
FLNG FLEX LNG LTD.
SFL SFL CORPORATION LIMITED
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
2020 2020 BULKERS LTD
KCC KLAVENESS COMBINATION CARRIERS
EGLE EAGLE BULK SHIPPING
MPCC MPC CONTAINER SHIPS AS
HAUTO HOEGH AUTOLINERS ASA
WEST WESTERN BULK CHARTERING
HAFNI HAFNIA
COOL COOL COMPANY LTD.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
- Jørgen Lian
Cool Company (Buy, TP: NOK120.00) - Persevering through the storm
The share price is down sharply on all-time low freight markets and weak shipping sentiment. While we believe rates will remain depressed in 2025, we see improvements from 2026. The share price implies a 2026e P/E of ~4x, versus Flex LNG at ~8x; applying the Flex LNG multiple indicates a valuation of ~NOK100. Hence, we find the risk skewed to the upside, and reiterate our BUY and NOK120 target price.
- Jørgen Lian
Flex LNG (Buy, TP: NOK320.00) - Set to hold course on 14% DPS yield
With ~90% of days fixed for 2025 and 2026, and a cash balance of 11x its ‘regular’ quarterly dividend, Flex LNG’s USD0.75 DPS looks insulated from market storm, offering a compelling 14% yield. Additionally, we expect freight markets to recover from 2026, with current newbuild prices implying a long-term TC contract of cUSD90k/day to justify the investment, in our opinion supporting a firm long-term rate outlook. We reiterate our BUY but have cut our target price to NOK320 (340).
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Oliver Dunvold
- Petter Haugen
- Jørgen Lian
‘The times they are a-changin’
The recurring theme at our 18th Energy & Shipping Conference was geopolitical uncertainty and a potential trade war, warranting a wait-and-see approach, particularly on the Trump 2.0 effect. The consensus view pointed to high asset values, with no rush to the yards, aligning with below-NAV valuations across most of our coverage. However, panellists generally saw less downside risk than the 25% average discount to steel for our Tanker, Dry Bulk and Gas coverage. Overall, the day highlighted uncer...
DHT DHT HOLDINGS INC.
SBL SAFE BULKERS INC.
LPG DORIAN LPG
GNK GENCO SHIPPING & TRADING LTD.
MAERSK B A.P. MOLLER - MAERSK A/S CLASS B
ODF ODFJELL ASA
WAWI WALLENIUS WILHELMSEN LOGISTICS ASA
WWI WILHELM WILHELMSEN HOLDING
SBLK STAR BULK CARRIERS CORP.
FRO FRONTLINE LTD.
G2O GOLAR LNG LIMITED
AMSC AMERICAN SHIPPING COMPANY ASA
SN6 STOLT-NIELSEN LTD.
BWLPG BW LPG LTD.
GOGLO GOLDEN OCEAN GROUP LTD
AVACF AVANCE GAS HOLDINGS LTD
HUNT HUNTER GROUP ASA
STNG SCORPIO TANKERS INC.
FLNG FLEX LNG LTD.
SFL SFL CORPORATION LIMITED
TNK TEEKAY TANKERS
2020 2020 BULKERS LTD
KCC KLAVENESS COMBINATION CARRIERS
EGLE EAGLE BULK SHIPPING
MPCC MPC CONTAINER SHIPS AS
HAUTO HOEGH AUTOLINERS ASA
WEST WESTERN BULK CHARTERING
HAFNI HAFNIA
COOL COOL COMPANY LTD.
HSHP HIMALAYA SHIPPING LTD.
- Jørgen Lian
Cool Company (Buy, TP: NOK120.00) - Fighting an uphill battle
We expect improving markets towards 2027 on solid demand growth, offsetting the heavy delivery scheduled. We find the upside potential outweighs the downside risk in Cool Company, with c20% upside to the current share price applying USD60k/day TFDE and USD80k/day 2-stroke spot rates in 2027 on 7x EV/EBITDA and P/E, and with a NOK130/share valuation on same multiples raising the spot rate assumptions by USD10k/day. We reiterate our BUY, but have cut our target price to NOK120 (130).
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
- ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
- Martin Mauseth
- Petter Haugen
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