We raise our 2025F-26F estimates for Umicore on the back of higher precious and platinum group metals prices, with our estimates for the battery materials business broadly unchanged. We raise our target price from €10 to €19 per share, driven by higher estimates and peer multiples, yet maintain our HOLD recommendation. Umicore shares have rallied +85% over the last year, largely driven by the melt-up in metals prices, although its earnings power in 2026F is likely moderated by elevated hedging l...
A director at Umicore S.A. bought 1,000 shares at 18.460EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
We upgrade our forecasts for the coming years with our 2030E adjusted EBITDA estimate upped by c. 8%. Loosening EU standards on CO2 emission regulation for cars & vans provide some additional support to the Catalysts business, whilst we have kept our forecasts for Battery Materials unchanged as these were already below the company's CMD targets and upside to our numbers will have to come from new supply arrangements/partnerships. The very strong metal price environment will most likely allow Umi...
Based on various press articles, it seems increasingly likely that the European Union is to abandon the earlier agreed ban on new combustion engine-based passenger cars by 2035, whilst new legislation would still require a significant reduction of tailpipe emissions. Any loosening of legislation would probably be good news for Umicore's Catalysts business, with European ICE Light duty Automotive Catalysts' revenue representing c. 28% of total ICE light duty Automotive Catalysts' revenue. We awai...
Adyen: CMD press release; strong growth for the years ahead. Heijmans: Nice bolt-on! Kendrion: Hitting a 15.5% EBITDA margin in 3Q25. Staffing Sector: French staffing: September trend weaker but October outlook slightly better despite tougher comps. TKH Group: Weak 3Q EBITA, keeps FY outlook
The 3Q25 results were a slight miss versus expectations due to a more negative impact from mix in Parcels. PostNL has taken some efficiency measures to compensate and hence reiterated its outlook for FY25. However, we feel the outlook is challenging given that 4Q25F will need a significant uplift vs 4Q24. Election mail and yield/efficiency measures provide support but mix and uncertain customer confidence and close clustered timing of festive events lead us to remain a bit more cautious for 4Q25...
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