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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Ageas: AG Real Estate looking to reduce exposure to Interparking, lower capital charges. Air France-KLM: 3Q25 a bit light? ASML: Preview 3Q25, riding the AI wave. Barco: Preview 3Q25, self-help offsets macro headwind. D'Ieteren: Belron starts to roll out static mobile recalibration. Euronext: September's seasonal recovery. Tessenderlo More focus on capital allocation and returns. TomTom: Preview 3Q25, Cost cutting offsets slow markets. Umicore: Gold inventory sale-and-lease-back

Kristof Samoy ... (+2)
  • Kristof Samoy
  • Wim Hoste
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Acomo: Acquires Manuzzi, expanding footprint in Southern Europe ASR: Ingrid de Swart to succeed Jos Baeten as CEO of ASR in May 2026 Fagron: Antitrust clearance for Brazilian Purifarma and Injeplast deals PostNL: Relaxation USO D+3 brought forward, pre-earnings analyst call 3Q25 Sofina: Over €0.5bn of additional firepower

Guy Sips ... (+6)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Guy Sips ... (+5)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Wim Lewi
Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

PostNL From Volume to Value Amid Mail Uncertainty

During the CMD mid-September, PNL announced a normalized EBIT target of at least € 175m by 2028. The improvement is expected to come from strong international growth and a significant margin uplift in domestic e-commerce. Key drivers include the expansion of the APL network and the shift from next-day to best-day delivery. While we see these initiatives as logical next steps, we expect uncertainty in the mail business and negative mix effects at parcels to persist. As most of the guided margin i...

Martijn Den Drijver
  • Martijn Den Drijver

TKH GROUP NV : Massive value creation in the works…if executed well

We upgrade TKH from Neutral to Outperform with a DCF/SOTP based price target of €48 per share. TKH has decided to divest Electrification (EF), Digitization and other non-core units, with the largest divestments expected in the next 6 to 18 months. We estimate the proceeds to be c. € 640m, of which the vast majority will be returned to shareholders via share buy backs. Together with regular dividend of the core activities, this implies a cash return (on average) in the next three years of € 7 per...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aedifica: €21m investment in the development of 3 care homes in Finland. CTP: Highlights from 2-day CMD in Germany. dsm-firmenich: Softly does it. Prosus: Expanding the ecosystem. Randstad: Preliminary preview 3Q25F results due 22 October. TKH Group: Change is coming. UCB: Renewed tariff threat on US branded pharma unlikely to affect UCB

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Belgian telecoms: Telenet increases its fixed internet speed at unchanged price Colruyt: FY25/26F profitability guidance maintained despite market share loss Corbion: Keep Calm and Carry On Fagron: Acquires UCP, adding to its 503A health and wellness offering in California GBL: Planning ahead to deliver on its promise OCI: Limited details on Orascom merger, sales process for Nitrogen Europe ongoing TKH Group: Mixed emotions Wolters Kluwer: Launches UpToDate Expert AI

Guy Sips ... (+8)
  • Guy Sips
  • Hilde Van Boxstael
  • Jacob Mekhael
  • Livio Luyten
  • Mathijs Geerts Danau
  • Michiel Declercq
  • Thibault Leneeuw
  • Wim Hoste

Morning Notes : ACKB BB, COLR BB, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, HYL BB, SEQUA BB,...

: ACKB BB, COLR BB, DSFIR NA, FAGR BB, HYL BB, SEQUA BB, TWEKA NA, DEME BB

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

B&S: Sarabel launches recommended all cash offer; Belgian Telecoms: Digi confirms possible minority stake disposal in Spain; market test for Flanders cooperation agreement due any time; Exor: Great companies outperforming the benchmark; PostNL: Feedback on Capital Markets Day event 2025 - new strategy and ambitions 2028; UCB: Encouraging P2a data for Galvokimig in Atopic Dermatitis; Wolters Kluwer: Accelerating share buyback programme and good start to 2H25

Michiel Declercq
  • Michiel Declercq

PostNL CMD: Launches new financial targets for 2028

Today, PNL holds a CMD in the Netherlands where it launches its new strategy and financial targets for 2028. The strategy is based on ten strategic priorities to achieve four key goals, including a strong financial performance, improved customer experience, reduced CO2 emission and greater employee engagement. The new financial targets by 2028 include revenues above € 4.0bn (kbcse: € 3.54bn), a normalized EBIT above € 175m (kbcse: € 106m), FCF above € 75m (kbcse: € 51m) and annual capex of aroun...

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