reports
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Livio Luyten
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thibault Leneeuw
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Wim Hoste
Umicore FIRST LOOK: 1Q qualitative trading update, FY25 guidance reite...
Umicore issued an unexpected (qualitative) trading update in which it also reiterated its FY25 adjusted EBITDA guidance range of € 720-780m. Given the uncertain economic outlook, we decided to lower our forecast by 3% to € 734m, closer to the bottom end of the guidance range. We remind that Umicore recently organized a CMD, expressing the ambition to try to monetize past investments in Battery Materials, acknowledging that some additional capex and equity investment into the Ionway JV are still ...
- Marc Zwartsenburg
- CEFA
PostNL/Model update/HOLD
We have updated our model post FY24 reporting and we included the restated segment reporting with Real Estate sales and results now included in Parcels versus in MailNL previously. Note that PostNL guided for an underlying EBIT for FY25F of c.€53m, ie, in line with FY24. We estimate €48m, which is a significant downgrade vs the pre-FY24 results estimate of €98m. We feel that the outlook for FY25 is not without downside risk as (a) much will depend on a strong 4Q as we expect a rather soft start ...
Umicore S.A.: 1 director
A director at Umicore S.A. bought 14,000 shares at 7.700EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 61/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
- ING Helpdesk
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Hoste
Umicore Will the real cash flow generator please stand up?
Last week's long awaited strategy update highlighted Umicore's ambition to try to monetize past investments in Battery Materials, acknowledging that some additional capex and equity investment into the Ionway JV are still necessary to achieve this. In the meantime, the company will actively explore partnerships in Battery Materials. The financial targets for Battery Materials were above our expectations and the same can be said for the foundation businesses, particularly Catalysis, which is to b...
- Ahmed Ben Salem
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- Ahmed Ben Salem
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
FP TOTAL SE
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
SDG SYNERGIE SA
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
FR VALEO SE
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
NANO NANOBIOTIX SA
REP REPSOL SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
FACC FACC AG
SPIE SPIE SA
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
BP. BP P.L.C.
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
UMI UMICORE
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
SHEL SHELL PLC
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Martijn Den Drijver
- ING Helpdesk
- Wim Hoste
Umicore CMD feedback
Below are some key highlights from yesterday's CMD. We remind that Umicore announced a € 1-1.2bn adjusted EBITDA target for 2028 with the upside vs our € 0.8bn forecast coming from both Battery Materials as well Catalysis, which is guided to further grow share in the LDV market. We will up our forecasts somewhat following the CMD. Even after yesterday's share rebound, valuation seems attractive and we maintain our Accumulate rating and € 12 target price.
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Kristof Samoy
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thomas Couvreur
- Wim Hoste
- Jerôme Bodin
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BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
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APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
OSE OSE IMMUNOTHERAPEUTICS SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
HCO HIGHCO SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
IPH INNATE PHARMA SA CLASS A
NTG NETGEM SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
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ALCAR CARMAT SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
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FR VALEO SE
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QDT QUADIENT SA
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NDA AURUBIS AG
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MONT MONTEA SCA
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- Jerôme Bodin
- Thomas Zlowodzki
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
TKA THYSSENKRUPP AG
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
RNO RENAULT SA
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
EO FAURECIA SA
OSE OSE IMMUNOTHERAPEUTICS SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
DAI DAIMLER AG
POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
SZG SALZGITTER AG
TYRES NOKIAN RENKAAT OYJ
HCO HIGHCO SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
IPH INNATE PHARMA SA CLASS A
NTG NETGEM SA
LNA LNA SANTE SA
GBT GUERBET SA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ALCAR CARMAT SA
ACX ACERINOX SA
TRI TRIGANO SA
FR VALEO SE
G24 SCOUT24 AG
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
ERA ERAMET SA
QDT QUADIENT SA
POS PORR AG
NDA AURUBIS AG
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
CIE CIE AUTOMOTIVE S.A.
MONT MONTEA SCA
SLIGR SLIGRO FOOD GROUP N.V.
KTCG KAPSCH TRAFFICCOM
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
SEFER SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
ALBFR SIDETRADE SA
FYB FORMYCON AG
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
FACC FACC AG
RACE FERRARI NV
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
PIRC PIRELLI & C. S.P.A.
JST JOST WERKE AG
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
UMI UMICORE
GEST GESTAMP AUTOMOCION S.A.
2CRSI 2CRSI SA
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
ALCUR ARCURE SA
AML ASTON MARTIN LAGONDA GLOBAL HOLDINGS
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
FAST FASTNED
ALAFY AFYREN
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
LHYFE LHYFE S.A.
P911 DR. ING. H.C. F. PORSCHE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
TUI TUI AG
DSFIR KONINKLIJKE DSM N.V.
R3NK RENK GROUP AG
ARVEN ARVERNE GROUP SA
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
- Martijn Den Drijver
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Arcadis: Large contract in Resilience. ASM International: Highlights from CFO roadshow. Exor: Exor buying back Exor shares. Fastned: 2H24 results, cost pressure. Flow Traders: February volumes elevated in EMEA. Montea: JV with Weerts in Belgium. Sligro: FY24 results in line, weak 1Q25 outlook. Sofina: Final NAV a tad higher. Umicore: CMD targets – no big bang
- Kristof Samoy
Umicore Strategy update comes with ambitious targets for 2028
At the occasion of the long awaited CMD & Strategy Update, Umicore revealed ambitious targets for 2028. EBITDA28 target stands at €1-1.2bn well above our € 0.8bn estimate. While all divisional targets exceed our estimates the targets for Catalysis stand out most. We remind that Catalysis and to a lesser extent Recycling are facing structural headwinds from the ongoing electrification, whilst still generating top notch cash flow. Taking into account the current distressed valuation, we maintain ...
- Guy Sips
- Hilde Van Boxstael
- Jacob Mekhael
- Kristof Samoy
- Lynn Hautekeete
- Sharad Kumar S.P
- Thomas Couvreur
- Thomas Vranken
- Wim Hoste
- Wim Lewi
- Tijs Hollestelle
TKH Group/Saved by the HAL/BUY
On 17 December 2024, TKH's share price hit a low of €30.24. On 18 December it became clear that HAL Investments had acquired a 3.5% stake in TKH, and earlier this year HAL's stake rose to 5.2%. The share price stood at €37.48 a day before the FY24 results publication, reflecting a rise of 24%. TKH's results were broadly in line with our and consensus expectations and management expects revenue and EBITA to continue to grow organically in 2025, but warned for a slow 1Q25. The Subsea cable unit is...
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