reports
Mattias Holmberg
- Mattias Holmberg
Assa Abloy (Hold, TP: SEK290.00) - Showing resilience
Assa Abloy’s Q1 was in line, but the call leaned slightly positive, with April activity trends steady compared with February–March, and no slowdown observed in US non-residential demand despite new tariffs. Some tariff-related pre-ordering in March should support Q2 sales, while Global Tech margin headwinds from M&A are expected to ease. We reiterate our HOLD, but have cut our 2025–2027e sales and adj. EBIT by 3% on average due to FX, and lowered our target price to SEK290 (345).
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
Delphine Brault
- Delphine Brault
LR
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Benoit Valleaux ... (+2)
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ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
CSM CORBION NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
VOS VOSSLOH AG
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
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POM PLASTIC OMNIUM SE
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FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
SUN SULZER AG
ROYAL VOPAK NV
DOKA DORMAKABA HOLDING AG
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
CSM CORBION NV
SIE SIEMENS AG
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VOS VOSSLOH AG
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
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SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
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ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
Delphine Brault
- Delphine Brault
Delphine Brault
- Delphine Brault
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
Delphine Brault
- Delphine Brault
LR
LEGRAND
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ABB ABB LTD.
RXL REXEL SA
ALO ALSTOM SA
SCHP SCHINDLER HOLDING AG PREF
SUN SULZER AG
DOKA DORMAKABA HOLDING AG
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
ANDR ANDRITZ AG
SIE SIEMENS AG
VOS VOSSLOH AG
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
KBX KNORR-BREMSE AG
SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
KNEBV KONE OYJ CLASS B
ABB ABB LTD.
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ALO ALSTOM SA
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ANDR ANDRITZ AG
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SRAIL STADLER RAIL AG
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
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KONE OYJ CLASS B
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ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
KNEBV
KONE OYJ CLASS B
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ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+3)
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
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- Bruno Cavalier
- Delphine Brault
BMW
BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
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UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
LPP LPP S.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
INPST INPOST S.A.
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
Bruno Cavalier ... (+2)
- Bruno Cavalier
- Delphine Brault
BMW
BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
LPP LPP S.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
INPST INPOST S.A.
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
HM B H&M HENNES & MAURITZ AB CLASS B
LPP LPP S.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
INPST INPOST S.A.
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ACLN ACCELLERON INDUSTRIES LTD
Mattias Holmberg
- Mattias Holmberg
Assa Abloy (Hold, TP: SEK345.00) - Lock in profit
We have downgraded Assa Abloy to HOLD (BUY), and lowered our target price to SEK345 (390), as we see increased end-market uncertainty (in particular in the US), which is likely to put pressure on consensus and sentiment. For Q1e, we are 7% below consensus on adj. EBIT due to recent adverse FX moves and headwinds from M&A, as well as some non-recurring costs. We have lowered our 2025–2027e adj. EBIT by 6% on FX and slightly lower margin assumptions.
ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Anders Idborg
- Karl Bokvist
- Lara Mohtadi
KNEBV
KONE OYJ CLASS B
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
VOLV B VOLVO AB CLASS B
WRT1V WARTSILA OYJ ABP
ABB ABB LTD.
SAND SANDVIK AB
TREL B TRELLEBORG AB CLASS B
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
ASSA B ASSA ABLOY AB CLASS B
SKF B SKF AB CLASS B
HPOL B HEXPOL AB CLASS B
ALFA ALFA LAVAL AB
MTRS B MUNTERS GROUP
HEXA B HEXAGON AB
EPI A EPIROC AB
NIBE B NIBE INDUSTRIER AB
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
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