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ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

The Capital Goods Data Miner - May 2024

Our key long ideas are: Alfa Laval, Hexagon, Metso, Sandvik, Volvo. We are cautious on: Autoliv, Nibe, Wärtsilä

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 15 May 2024

This week, we take a preliminary look at Vestas' Q2 announced order intake quarter to date.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 8 May 2024

This week, we look at key takeaways from GWEC's 2024 Global Wind Report.

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 29 April 2024

This week, we summarise our Q1 previews for the sector.

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

SKF : 2024 guidance still looks ambitious to us, based mainly on H2

>Q1 2024: margin resilience (+30bp for adjusted EBIT margin to 13.4%) - SKF reported on the morning of Friday, 26 April, Q1 2024 results ahead of expectations at the adjusted EBIT level.Revenues were down 7% on an organic basis (vs css at -6.5%). Although not quantified by SKF, volumes were down significantly, on our estimates (~-10%) with a still positive price-mix effect (~3%).The adjusted EBIT margin was up 30bp to 13.4% (vs css at 12.9%), a good performa...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

SKF : La guidance 2024 nous semble toujours ambitieuse, reposant princ...

>T1 2024 : résilience des marges (+30 pb de marge d’EBIT ajusté à 13.4%) - SKF a publié vendredi matin des résultats T1 2024 supérieurs aux attentes au niveau de l’EBIT ajusté.Le chiffre d’affaires était en recul organique de 7% (vs css à -6.5%). Bien que non quantifiés par SKF, nous estimons que les volumes étaient en recul significatif (~-10%) avec un effet prix/mix toujours positif (~3%).La marge d’EBIT ajusté était en hausse de 30 pb à 13.4% (vs css à 12...

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm

Comfortingly undramatic

In-line Q1 as Auto margin recovered. Estimates unchanged; return to growth modelled for Q4. Adds some support even after partial cyclical re-rating. HOLD.

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

SKF (Hold, TP: SEK250.00) - Margins going in the right direction

Disregarding some unclarity on fixed-cost under-absorption during the conference call, we view SKF’s Q1 report as solid, especially the better-than-expected adj. EBIT margin, supporting the longer-term margin story. However, cash flow was on the soft side and we struggle to bridge the 2024 guidance, which could become a more prominent risk later in the year. We have raised our 2024–2026e adj. EBIT by 3% and target price to SEK250 (240), and reiterate our HOLD.

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

SKF : A resilient margin despite a marked decline in sales in Q1

>Q1 2024: sales down 7% organic, adjusted EBIT margin up 30bp - This morning, SKF published Q1 2024 results that came in a shade below forecasts on sales but beat expectations on the EBIT margin.Sales were SEK 24.7bn (consensus at SEK 24.8bn), an organic decline of -7% (consensus at -6.5%). This decline resulted in negative volumes at both divisions, with a -7.3% decline in sales for Industrial and -6.2% in Automotive. As expected, the group indicates a marked sl...

Delphine Brault ... (+2)
  • Delphine Brault
  • Quentin Borie

SKF : Une marge résiliente malgré la forte baisse du chiffre d’affaire...

>T1 2024 : CA en recul organique de 7%, marge d’EBIT ajusté en hausse de 30 pb - SKF a publié ce matin des résultats T1 2024 légèrement inférieurs aux attentes au niveau du chiffre d’affaires mais supérieurs sur la marge d’EBIT.Le CA atteint 24.7 MdSEK (consensus à 24.8 MdSEK), en recul organique de 7% (consensus à -6.5%). Ce recul embarque des volumes négatifs dans les deux divisions avec un recul du CA de 7.3% pour Industrial et de 6.2% pour Automotive. Comme a...

Paul de Froment ... (+3)
  • Paul de Froment
  • Sebastián Marroquin Mérida
  • Thomas Mordelle

Nel: Capacity reservation agreement with Hy Stor Energy

This morning, Nel announced a multi-year capacity reservation agreement (CRA) with Hy Stor Energy, representing more than 1GW of alkaline electrolyser capacity combined over 2025/2027, for its Mississippi Clean Hydrogen Hub (MCHH) project. The project is still pending regulatory approvals, financin

ABGSC Capital Goods Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Capital Goods Research
  • Anders Idborg
  • Karl Bokvist
  • Olof Cederholm
 PRESS RELEASE

Vegard Søraunet avböjer omval till SkiStars styrelse vid årsstämman i ...

Vegard Søraunet avböjer omval till SkiStars styrelse vid årsstämman i december Valberedningen inför årsstämman i december 2024 tillsatt Styrelseledamoten i SkiStar AB (publ) Vegard Søraunet har meddelat SkiStars valberedning att han avböjer omval vid SkiStars årsstämma, som avses hållas i december 2024. Detta till följd av ägarförändring i Nordic Ski & Mountains AB, som är större aktieägare i SkiStar. Søraunet, som representerar Aeternum Capital som fortsättningsvis är minoritetsägare i Nordic Ski & Mountains AB, har varit ledamot i SkiStars styrelse sedan årsstämman 2021. SkiStars ...

Mattias Holmberg
  • Mattias Holmberg

Volvo Cars (Hold, TP: SEK39.00) - Better than it looked

We were impressed by the BEV and non-BEV gross margins, both of which improved YOY and beat our expectations. Q1 still looked disappointing on headlines as sales were soft and ‘other’ costs diluted the strong margins. However, we believe the positives outweighed the negatives and have raised our 2024–2026e EBIT before JVs by 17–0%, albeit remaining materially below consensus for 2025–2026e. We reiterate our HOLD but have cut our target price to SEK39 (42).

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