HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • Poland macro: presidential candidates announced; negative early sentiment signals for November • Romania macro: first round of presidential elections confirms rise of the far right • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: awarded contract to advertise on intercity roads in Saudi Arabia POSITIVE • PCF Group: 3Q24E EBITDA returns to positive territory, on revenue recovery (due out tomorrow)
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: high net cash position and strong FCFF yield (upgraded to BUY) • GTC: buys German residential portfolio worth EUR 448m • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: gross margin and wage costs weigh on the 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations; new signed contracts for defence and high-tech industries NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q24 highlights – solid, on the back of better-than-expected NIM • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 call takeaways – strong long-term ...
HEADLINES: • Banca Transilvania: stellar 3Q24 print sponsored by OTP RO integration POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 3Q24 results – small beat; FY24E guidance reiterated; buyback programme expires POSITIVE • Sok Marketler: highly weak set of results in 3Q24 NEGATIVE • ONE United Properties: 3Q24 broadly in line with recent trends NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 3Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Alpha Services and Holdings: 3Q24 results highlights – improved outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: Oc...
EME Equity Market – October 2024 A red October for the EME indices, only Czechia in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 6.0% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in October. The Czech PX index was the only one spared, adding 1.3% mom in EUR terms. Türkiye was battered the most, with the Turkish ISE30 declining by 7.3% mom in EUR terms, followed closely by the Polish WIG20 (-6.7% mom in EUR terms). Greece fell 4.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Hungarian BUX index lost 2.7% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 3Q24 headline net profit at record high (in line with earlier flash estimate), enables revenues to grow 35% yoy NEUTRAL • Raiffeisen Bank International: 3Q24 in line with expectations; higher CHF mortgage saga costs in Poland to affect FY24E ROE; significant acceleration in downsizing Russian business NEUTRAL • ADNOC Drilling: 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • Elm: 3Q24E financial results preview (due on 3 November) • CCC: 3Q24E prelims preview – 93% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 8 ...
HEADLINES: • Kaspi.kz: agrees to acquire Türkiye's Hepsiburada NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q24 highlights - on track to meet guidance NEUTRAL • Al Arabia: MBC Group sells 4.9% of shares of Al Arabia NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: establishment of JV with Jedco completed NEUTRAL • OTE: ANAF imposes EUR 33.5m in additional tax charges related to alleged VAT and CIT miscalculations NEGATIVE • Greece macro/banks: BOG increases the countercyclical capital buffer rate to 0.25%, with effect from October 2025E N...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: summer traffic in line, but consensus seems too bullish on earnings • Benefit Systems: net additions of 20k sport cards in 3Q24 POSITIVE • PCF Group: earnings call takeaways - Echo to be smaller than the other WFH projects NEUTRAL • Polish consumer staples: Netto plans to open 350 discount stores in Poland by 2028E NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: delays the release of The Alters to 1Q25E NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: September bookings estimate up 10% mom, but flat for the flagship ...
EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Medicover: private healthcare pioneer keeps on rolling (BUY - initiation of coverage) • OTE: safe dividend play (upgraded to BUY) • National Bank of Greece: HFSF launches the sale of a 10% stake in NBG NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 2Q24 results in negative territory, below our expectations NEGATIVE • mBank: issues traditional profit warning related to the CHF mortgage saga, ahead of 3Q24E results NEUTRAL • InPost: 4.9% price hike for Allegro NEUTRAL • Allegro: introduction of spirits from 21...
HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: risk profile increased materially (downgraded to HOLD) • Lamda Development: breaking ground (stays BUY) • Georgia macro: important elections approaching • CTP: 2024 CMD, the demand led growth continues • NEPI Rockcastle: buys Magnolia Park in Wroclaw for EUR 373m POSITIVE • PZU: has paid more than PLN 111m of claims related to floods, and serviced 70% of filed cases so far POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: incoming CEO talks to Forbes • 11 bit studios: interview with the CEO on...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (16-22 September) • Raiffeisen Bank International: signs agreement targeted at sale of its Belarusian operations • 11 bit studios: Frostpunk 2 post-release player reviews and player count disappoint NEGATIVE • PCF Group: updates timeframe for strategy implementation, new PLN 350m financing needed in 2025-26E NEGATIVE • Kety: takeaways from the Investor Day NEUTRAL • ADNOC Distribution: Board approves interim dividend NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: beg...
HEADLINES: • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: waiting for better times (downgraded to HOLD) • Noval Property: 1H24 – recurring results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Motor Oil Hellas: fire at refinery NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: key takeaways from the 2Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: another land plot sales tranche, to lift NAV by 6% POSITIVE • mBank: UniCredit seeks regulator's approval to reach 30% stake in Commerzbank • CTP: raises EUR 300m through an ABB, at EUR 16.0/share • 11...
We have downgraded our rating for Al Arabia to HOLD (from Buy), with an updated price target (PT) of SAR 214, which offers 7% upside. We still like Al Arabia for its market-leading position, strong growth prospects, position as an Outdoor Advertising champion, and as one of the beneficiaries of the Vision 2030 programme. We note, however, that the upcoming revenue growth will be slower than originally expected, with more pressure on the gross margin, while new projects are yet to be announced. T...
HEADLINES: • Lamda Development: 2Q24 – good sales at the Ellinikon, capex to accelerate NEUTRAL • Colt CZ Group SE: 1H24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • Orlen: discussing possible deals for Grupa Azoty’s polyolefins business NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: signs a conditional agreement with the EIB for the financing of the HyperPIC project NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: begins construction of a polyethylene complex NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 4Q24E trading update preview (due on 26 September)
HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: WP boosts media margins (stays BUY) • Aselsan: 2Q24 IAS 29 results – strong execution POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 2Q24 EBITDA 10% above our forecast and 5% above the consensus, on higher margin POSITIVE • Inter Cars: August sales growth at 8% yoy, in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: new work-for-hire agreement with Krafton; PLN 7m write-off on Project Red POSITIVE • Santander Bank Polska: strategic investor wants to reduce its stake • Kazatomprom: obtains...
HEADLINES: • Duna House: loan ranger, with dividends to boot (BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 September) • Huuuge Games: 2Q24 earnings call takeaways NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: August sales growth decelerates to just 7% yoy NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: class action lawsuit in the US regarding technical solutions used by GOG NEUTRAL • PCF Group: termination of credit facilities at Bank Pekao NEUTRAL • DIGI Communications: delivers first part of FTTH network in Spain NEUTRAL
EME Equity Market – August 2024 A red month for the EME indices, with only the Czech PX index in positive territory. The MSCI EM Europe index declined by 4.7% in EUR terms and 2.6% in USD terms in August. The Czech PX index was the only index to report a positive figure, adding 0.5% mom in EUR terms. The rest of the indices were in the red: the Turkish ISE30 index was down 11.5% mom in EUR terms, followed by Greece (-3.2% mom), Romania (-2.6% mom) and Hungary (-1.2% mom; all in EUR terms). The P...
HEADLINES: • Baltic Classifieds Group: niche diamond (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 2Q24 financial results NEGATIVE • Jahez: mixed 1H24 financial results NEGATIVE • TBC Bank: 2Q24 results and conference call NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (5-11 August) • Orlen: 2Q24E EBITDA estimates published NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: still challenging 2Q24E expected, with weaker yoy EBITDA, but up slightly qoq already (due on 29 August) • PZU: 2Q24E preview (due ...
HEADLINES: • Trade Estates: Greek retail parks – a dividend growth story (HOLD - initiation of coverage) • Wizz Air: thrust issues (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: posts bottom line slightly below expectations, NPL ratio down to below 5%, solid 19%+ ROE intact NEUTRAL • CCC: 12% EBITDA beat in 2Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 2Q24 results – strong margin recovery, FY24E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • CEZ: 2Q earnings beat, EBITDA guidance up 2-3%, but net guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • CTP:...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: how strong are the recession signals? • Richter: well-rounded 2Q24 beat vs. the consensus POSITIVE • Tupras: 2Q24 results and dividend announcement POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q24 – RASK up 1% and CASKX up 8% yoy, driving margins lower from peak levels, as expected NEUTRAL • Arabian Drilling: 2Q24 results below expectations NEGATIVE • Air Astana Group: 2Q24 in line, but 1H24 EBIT and FCFE both down yoy, and VietJet entry into Kazakhstan a risk NEUTRAL • KazMuna...
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