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Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: MBR PW; OPL PW; KTY PW; EMEA Airlines; CEZ CP; MYTIL GA; S...

HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: 4Q24 results miss expectations, on jumping SG&A costs NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: 1Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 3% yoy, in line with the consensus; 2025E guidance reiterated NEUTRAL • Kety: 1Q25 results and new strategy presentation call takeaways NEUTRAL • EMEA airlines: 1Q25 traffic; demand concerns vs. cheaper USD and oil • CEZ: ANO promising privatisation and lower fees NEGATIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells Chilean RES for USD 815m (EUR 710m) POSITIVE • Polish banks: Trea...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Türkiye in the red, again

EME Equity Market – March 2025 Türkiye hammered, once again. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 0.5% in EUR terms and 4.5% mom in USD terms in March. The Czech PX Index was the best performer (+7.0% mom in EUR terms), followed by the Greek ASE (+4.8% mom), Polish WIG (+3.7% mom) and Hungarian BUX(+1.3% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). There was a muted performance from the Romanian BET Index (-0.1% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 finished in the red again, declining 9.5% mom in EUR terms.

BRE MBANK SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
KTY GRUPA KETY SA
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
TKNSA TEKNOSA IC VE DIS TICARET AS
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
M MED LIFE
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
VRC CTP NV
GPP VERCOM SA
BCG GRUPA PRACUJ DA
KLKIM BALTIC CLASSIFIEDS GROUP PLC
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
7203 SHOPER SA
AQ ELM CO
AIRA AQUILA PART PROD COM
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
DSPW BANK OF CYPRUS
DIAG DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
DIAGNOSTYKA SA
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Morning (26 March 2025)

HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong delivery in 4Q24, due mainly to the lower costs booked POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q24 EBIT 7% above our forecast; The Witcher 4 to be released after 2026E NEUTRAL • KazMunayGas: 4Q24 results – below expectations NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: earnings call takeaways – focus on flagship games’ monetisation improvement in 2Q25E NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Eurowag: takeaways from the 2H24 earnings call NEUTRAL...

Research Team
  • Research Team
CEZ CEZ AS
LPP LPP S.A. ... (+8)

WOOD Daily: WPL PW; ALR PW; TEN PW; WPS LN; PL Retail; CEZ CP; PL Macr...

HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 17% yoy, 8% above the consensus POSITIVE • Alior Bank: 2027E targets – PLN 2.6bn of net profit; ROE above 18%; payout ratio above 50% POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: mixed newsflow – solid 4Q24 adjusted EBITDA, strong dividend recommendation, but disappointing trading update POSITIVE • Eurowag: 2H24 operating results in line, special dividend announced NEUTRAL • Polish retail: Zabka's 4Q24 below the consensus NEGATIVE • CEZ: up...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PL Banks; SIPCHEM AB; TL Macro; KAP LI; JMT PL; ALR PW; PC...

HEADLINES: • Polish banks: first politician to suggest additional military tax for the banks NEGATIVE • Sipchem: preliminary 4Q24 results, net profit down, on maintenance NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: CBRT tightens policy with surprise corridor hike • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results – well above the market’s estimates POSITIVE • Jeronimo Martins: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call NEGATIVE • Alior Bank: CEO Żabski’s interview with Puls Biznesu, ahead of strategic update (due on 25 March) • Sipchem: to mothb...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: DSPW CP; ESLT IT; CBF PW; KAP LI; VRC PW; OPL PW; PEO PW; ...

HEADLINES: • Doosan Škoda Power: steaming ahead (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Elbit Systems: 4Q24 – strong results, record FCF generation POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: 4Q24 results review – 27% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with our estimates and the consensus POSITIVE • Kazatomprom: 4Q24 results POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 2025-28E strategy announcement – at least PLN 1.2bn FCF in 2028E POSITIVE • Bank Pekao: recommends DPS of PLN 12.6 and des...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PCO PW; AIRA LI; CEZ CP; ALE PW; SHO PW; PL Banks; MBR PW;...

HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: structurally challenged (downgraded to HOLD) • Air Astana Group: 4Q24 – good, at first glance; dividend surprises positively • CEZ: takeaways from the 4Q24 earnings call NEGATIVE • Allegro: key takeaways from the 4Q24 call POSITIVE • Shoper: takeaways from the post-4Q24 prelims management call NEUTRAL • Polish banks: receive maximum dividend payout ratio letters from the PFSA – no surprises NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: unfavourable ruling results in closure of Wałbrzych branch (2...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: OTP HB; KLKIM TI; PCO PW; TL Macro; PCF PW; GPP PW; ETE GA...

HEADLINES: • OTP Bank: 4Q24 results in line with expectations; guiding cautiously for 2025E operating performance, and HUF 964 DPS in play NEUTRAL • Kalekim: strong 4Q24 IAS 29 results POSITIVE • Pepco Group: key takeaways from the Capital Markets Day NEUTRAL • Türkiye macro: CBT cuts again by 250bps • PCF Group: decides to phase out VR games publishing business NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: acquires 65.5% stake in Kadromierz for PLN 20m NEUTRAL • National Bank of Greece: dismisses speculation over an...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: starting 2025 on the right foot

EME Equity Market – January 2025 The markets entered 2025 on the right foot. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 7.7% in EUR terms and 8.4% in USD terms in January. The Polish WIG20 was the best performer (+12.7% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX and Czech PX indices (+8.9% mom and +6.2% mom, in EUR terms, respectively). There was also a very solid performance from the Greek ASE Index (+5.4% mom in EUR terms), but more muted performances from the Romanian BET and Turkish ISE 30 indices (+1.6%...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; PZU PW; PCF PW; KRKG SV; ALR PW

HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: 4Q24 traffic; could constrained capacity support fares in 2025E? • PZU: CEO Olech dismissed, former CEO Klesyk returns • PCF Group: reveals details behind Maverick work-for-hire project NEUTRAL • Krka: 4Q24E earnings preview (due on 30 January) • Alior Bank: 4Q24E preview (due on 4 March)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; KMGZ KZ; SHO PW; PCO PW; MTELEK...

HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (20-26 January) • KazMunayGas: KMG and partners achieve first oil at the Future Growth Project POSITIVE • Shoper: PLN 3.2m positive one-off related to updated liability values NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: local press reports on potential acquisition of a competitor NEGATIVE • Magyar Telekom: sells ViDaNet NEUTRAL • Short News (MIL)

Research Team
  • Research Team
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS ... (+38)

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: positive performances from all ind...

EME Equity Market – December 2024 A green December. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 2.9% in EUR terms and 0.8% in USD terms in December. The Greek ASE Index (+5.5% mom in EUR terms) was the best performer, followed closely by the Czech PX Index (+5.0% mom in EUR terms). Solid performances were also reported by the BET (+2.4% mom), BUX (+2.2% mom) and ISE 30 (+1.5% mom) indices (all in EUR terms). The Polish WIG 20 Index (+0.4% mom in EUR terms) reported a muted performance.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PZU PW; ALR PW; PEO PW; RO Macro; GE Macro; CZ Macro; CEZ ...

HEADLINES: • PZU: discounted valuation for growing EPS and dividend yields (stays BUY) • Alior Bank: trading cheaply, but in stand-by mode (stays BUY) • Bank Pekao: complicated, but not value destructive (stays BUY) • Romania macro: a frail situation • Georgia macro: NBG keeps policy rate unchanged, at 8.0%; sanctions from the US and the UK • Czech Republic macro: CNB keeps policy rate on hold • CEZ: government takes new nuclear financing plan under advisement NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: pre-clos...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: CPS PW; PL Banks; PZU PW; PCF PW; CDR PW; PPC GA

HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: court in Liechtenstein appoints administrator for Zygmunt Solorz’s foundations NEGATIVE • Polish banks: to face the same dividend guidance from the watchdog as last year NEUTRAL • PZU: PFSA issues dividend payment guidance for 2025 NEUTRAL • PCF Group: limits scope of work on Project Bifrost and suspends work on Project Victoria NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: releases new Update 2.2 for Cyberpunk 2077 NEUTRAL • Public Power Corporation: cancellation of own shares NEUTRAL

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: PCO PW; PCF PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; DUNAHOUS HB; NR...

HEADLINES: • Pepco Group: 2H24 beat on gross margin; lfl recovery at Pepco since September, EUR 775m impairment at Poundland; first DPS of EUR 0.062 POSITIVE • PCF Group: closing strategic options review, with no new financing obtained NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 December) • Duna House: a good set of 3Q24 numbers; postcard from WOOD's Winter Wonderland conference POSITIVE • NEPI Rockcastle: buys Silesia City Centre in Katowice for EUR 405m (7.1% yield) POSITIVE • Inter C...

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: Turkiye rebounds, Romania declines

EME Equity Market – November 2024 Rebound in Türkiye, Romania hammered. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 3.8% in EUR terms and 1.0% in USD terms in November. The Turkish ISE30 recouped the losses of the previous month, adding 10.4% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX added 4.3% mom in EUR terms, followed by the PX (+2.9% mom), the ASE (+0.8% mom) and the WIG (+0.8% mom) (all in EUR terms). Following the first round of presidential elections, and the polemic and uncertainty that ensued, the BET ...

EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
EXAE HELLENIC EXCHANGES SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
PZU POWSZECHNY ZAKLAD UBEZPIECZEN SPOLKA AKCYJNA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
AKCNS AKCANSA CIMENTO
BRISA BRISA-BRIDGESTONE SABANCI LASTIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CIMSA CIMENTO SANYAI VE TICARET A.S.
LOGO LOGO YAZILIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
CCC CCC SA
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
LVC LIVECHAT SOFTWARE SA
TBCB TBC BANK JOINT STOCK CO
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
OTKAR OTOKAR OTOMOTIV VE SAVUNMA SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
ECH ECHO INVESTMENT
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
ETEL TELECOM EGYPT
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
PBK PATRIA BANK SA
TOFAS TOFAS TURK OTOMOBIL FABRIKASI A.S.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
RICHT RICHTER
SFG SPHERA FRANCHISE GROUP SA
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
NLBR NLB GROUP
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ILRA-R-A ILIRIJA D.D.
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
DUNAHOUSE DUNA HOUSE
INPST INPOST S.A.
PCF PCF GROUP SA
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
CTPNV KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
ONE CTP NV
GPP ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
GIG KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
2381 GAMING INNOVATION GROUP
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
ELPE JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
4071 HELLENIQ ENERGY
7203 ARABIAN CONTRACTING SERVICES CO
AQ ELM CO
TRESTATES AQUILA PART PROD COM
AIRA TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
BOCHGR GEVORKYAN A.S.
BANK OF CYPRUS
Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: G2M SS; CCC PW; ACP PW; ECH PW; TXT PW; CAI AV; PCF PW; VG...

HEADLINES: • Gentoo Media: let’s roll! (BUY - initiation of coverage) • CCC: 3Q24 results in line with prelims; positive trends maintained in 4Q24 NEUTRAL • Asseco Poland: 3Q24 review –net profit up 18% yoy, 9% above the consensus POSITIVE • Echo Investment: 3Q24 results in line with the consensus; to sell React office in Lodz POSITIVE • Text: 2Q24-25 (calendar 3Q24) results – EBITDA up 12% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 3Q24 in line, focus remains on disposals NEUTRAL • PCF ...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ESLT IT; HUG PW; TEN PW; PCF PW; VGO PW; CDR PW; PGE PW; G...

HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: HOLD, on valuation grounds (downgraded to HOLD) • Polish mobile game development: missing the growth, counting cash (Huuuge Games stays BUY, Ten Square Games stays HOLD) • PCF Group: 3Q24 EBIT in positive territory, above our and the market's expectations POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: 3Q24 – miss on the adjusted EBITDA and bottom line NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: 3Q24 EBITDA 8% below our forecast, 5% above the consensus NEUTRAL • PGE: 3Q24 results fully in line with the prelim...

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: KMGZ KZ; PL Macro; RO Macro; ALARABIA AB; PCF PW

HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • Poland macro: presidential candidates announced; negative early sentiment signals for November • Romania macro: first round of presidential elections confirms rise of the far right • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: awarded contract to advertise on intercity roads in Saudi Arabia POSITIVE • PCF Group: 3Q24E EBITDA returns to positive territory, on revenue recovery (due out tomorrow)

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: AEGN GA; GTC PW; AQ RO; GEV CP; HSBK LI; BFT PW; MOH GA; K...

HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: high net cash position and strong FCFF yield (upgraded to BUY) • GTC: buys German residential portfolio worth EUR 448m • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: gross margin and wage costs weigh on the 3Q24 results NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: 3Q24 broadly in line with our expectations; new signed contracts for defence and high-tech industries NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q24 highlights – solid, on the back of better-than-expected NIM • Benefit Systems: 3Q24 call takeaways – strong long-term ...

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