HEADLINES: • DO & CO: new kitchens, same discipline (stays BUY) • Asseco Poland: Adam Góral resigns from incentive scheme POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group SE: gets add-on order from Danmark POSITIVE • Akcansa: 4Q25 conference call takeaways • Teknosa: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 24 February) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (6-12 February) • Solutions by STC: weak 4Q25 financial results, with a miss on the 2025 revenue guidance NEGATIVE • Short News (4IG)
HEADLINES: • OPAP: only 6.7% of shares elect for cash exit; free float to remain above all-important 20% level POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: TUI renews cooperation with Wakacje.pl POSITIVE • Budimex: signs PLN 481m contract with GAZ-SYSTEM NEUTRAL • Orlen: 4Q25E results preview (due on 19 February) NEUTRAL • InPost: 4Q25E preview – flattish adjusted EBITDA expected (due on 18 March) NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25E preview – 11% EBITDA drop on weaker Generation and Mining (prelims due on 23 March; full due ...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...
HEADLINES: • AmRest/Sphera Group: no beauty and no beast (AmRest stays BUY, Sphera downgraded to HOLD) • InPost: EUR 15.6 offer from FedEx, Advent, A&R and PPF consortium POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: solid 4Q25 delivery, beat due to tax differences NEUTRAL • PGE: URE initiates proceedings over FWRC settlements NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: January sales growth drops to 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Develia: 4Q25E preview – 30% EBITDA drop, following margin normalisation (due on 3 April) • 4iG: 4Q25E preview – 4%...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 4Q25 trading update – miss on annual investments, but recoveries strong NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska/Erste Bank: shift of shareholdings finalised as of 9 January NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: December sales increased by 13.6% yoy NEUTRAL • Duna House: strong 4Q KPIs; Czexit; Italy stake raised to 95% POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 trading update and 2026E volume guidance NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-8 January)
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
We discontinue our coverage of the following stocks, with immediate effect: PCF Group Patria Bank Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising Jahez Sipchem Gentoo Media We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks.
HEADLINES: • Polish utilities: 2026E distribution bills to increase 7.6% yoy on average, implying a smaller-than-expected reduction in WACC POSITIVE • Kety: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with expectations; FY25 guidance met NEUTRAL • Kety: conservative management guidance for 2026E NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales +6.1% yoy NEUTRAL • Santander BP: PFSA agrees the sale of a 49% stake to Erste • Polish utilities: retail electricity price for 2026E set at PLN 495/MWh; utili...
HEADLINES: • TBC Bank: rough patch in Uzbekistan, but stock is cheap (upgraded to BUY) • LPP: 3Q25 ahead of expectations; FY25E profitability guidance upped; FY26-27E EBITDA guidance 10-11% above the consensus POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires PrestaShop for EUR 55m POSITIVE • Polish utilities: capacity market auction results for 2030 POSITIVE • Tauron: to build a 600 MW OCGT unit in Jaworzno POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: administrative court ruling on increased landfill fees for 2019 NEUTRAL • Titan: sign...
We have upgraded TBC Bank to BUY (from Hold), with a new price target (PT) of GBP 47.9/share (vs. GBP 53.1/share previously). Despite the rough patch and lower visibility in Uzbekistan, we see the group’s market value as largely supported by the Georgian business alone, on both an intrinsic and relative basis. The group is trading at 5.7x P/E and 1.4x P/TBV on our 2025E estimates vs. 6.8x P/E and 1.7x P/TBV at our target.
HEADLINES: • Eurocash: key takeaways from the strategy presentation NEGATIVE • Allegro/InPost: Allegro launches C2X locker service NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 2.6bn bid from BDX's consortium selected in PKP PLK tender NEUTRAL • Theon International: signs its largest ever contract, worth EUR 1bn, with OCCAR POSITIVE • Mavi: strong beat in 3Q25 results POSITIVE • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: wins 10-year contract to operate advertising at Prince Mohammad bin Abdulaziz Airport (PMIA) in Madinah POSIT...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: Bucharest vote supports government • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • PGE: CEO and COO dismissed; former Tauron CEO appointed as acting CEO NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: ready for lower distribution WACC NEGATIVE • Jumbo: sales up 6% in November and 8% in 11M25, as expected NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: 4m shares block trades at 1.9% discount NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m POSITIVE • ...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: industry-leading FFO ROE, despite low LTV (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: 3Q25 results – strong margin recovery, solid FCF generation POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 57% yoy, 3% above the consensus; strong 4Q25E outlook in Travel e-commerce POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: 3Q25 beat, but FY25E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Enea: full 3Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Patria Bank: solid bottom-line delivery in...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: summer performance ahead of our estimates (upgraded to BUY) • Elm: clarity is on its way (stays BUY) • AmRest: 3Q25 below expectations NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: 3Q25 EBITDA above our expectations and the market by 3-6% NEUTRAL • Halyk Bank: 3Q25 highlights before the call - good quarter with an 8% beat to our estimate, 2026E guidance POSITIVE • HELLENiQ Energy: 3Q25 results beat, on record-high refining output POSITIVE • Romgaz: 3Q25 results - net income beat our expec...
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