HEADLINES: • Solutions by STC: balance of risks to the upside (upgraded to BUY) • TBC Bank: 2Q25 results and conference call highlights • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 2Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • Jahez: weak 2Q25 financial results, with significant pressure on the EBITDA margin NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: July sales growth accelerates marginally, to 11% yoy NEUTRAL • Austriacard: 1H25E earnings preview (due on 28 August)
TBC has announced GEL 346m in net income (before minorities) for 2Q25, up 8% qoq and 5% yoy. This was 1% lower than our EUR 348m estimate and 3% lower than the GEL 358m consensus. The group-level results were in line, supported by an 8% beat in Georgia (GE), driven by a 40bps qoq NIM expansion and the NII coming in 8% above our estimate. That said, our overall bias on 2Q25 is negative, due to a significant 44% earnings miss in Uzbekistan (UZ) (our forecast at GEL 58m, vs. the GEL 32m actual UZ n...
We have upgraded Solutions by STC (Solutions) to BUY (from Hold), with an updated 12M price target (PT) of SAR 322, offering upside potential of 29%. With the stock down 24% over the past six months, and the company maintaining its 2025E revenue growth guidance, which implies a revenue acceleration in 2H25E, we see the current correction as an attractive buying opportunity. We continue to like Solutions for its market-leading position, and for being the “go to” IT name in Saudi Arabia. With a pr...
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • mBank: 2Q25 results – strong quality beat • Komercni Banka: beat on bottom line in 2Q25, driven solely by LLPs releases NEUTRAL • ING BSK: 2Q25 results – strong other income and lower provisions charges NEUTRAL • Kety: full 2Q25 results fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 2Q25 results – as expected NEUTRAL • Garanti Bank: 2Q25 highlights – still ahead of peers and soft 2026E guidance POSITIVE • BRD-GSG: solid 2Q25 results beat expectations POSITIVE • OMV Petr...
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: slower growth could help medium-term margins (stays BUY) • Arçelik: operating performance recovery masked by the higher-than-expected loss on the bottom line NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: 2Q25 financial results review NEUTRAL • Shoper/cyber_Folks: MCI’s stake in IAI to be sold to Montagu Private Equity
HEADLINES: • EMEA Airlines: 2Q25 traffic - Easter good, conflict bad • GEK Terna: motorway traffic grows faster than expected in 1H25 POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: changes in the Supervisory Board NEUTRAL • Allegro: expands its delivery network via a partnership with Zabka, adding 11,600+ new pick-up points NEUTRAL • Jahez: takeaways from the conference call on the Snoonu deal POSITIVE • Titan Cement: 2Q25E financial results preview (due on 31 July)
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (14-20 July) • OPAP: acquires remaining 15.5% stake in Stoiximan POSITIVE • Solutions by STC: 2Q25E financial results preview (due out tomorrow) • Borouge: 2Q25E results preview (due on 31 July) NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: 2Q25E results preview – 3% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 August) • Erste Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 1 August) • OTP Bank: 2Q25E preview (due on 5 August) • Bank Pekao: 2Q25E preview (due on 7 August) • PKO BP: 2Q2...
HEADLINES: • TBC Bank: good run, approaching fair value (downgraded to HOLD) • Krka: preliminary 2Q25 numbers – a mixed bag NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 50/50 JV with Motor Oil Hellas over their electricity supply and gas-fired power generation activities POSITIVE • DO & CO: EUR 2.00/share dividend approved, in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • OTE: 2Q25E results preview – 2% yoy adjusted EBITDA growth expected (due on 6 August)
We have downgraded TBC to HOLD (from Buy). Our valuation indicates 9% upside and 2025E target multiples of 7.5x P/E and 1.9x P/TBV from these levels (vs. the 6.9x and 1.7x market multiples). Our new price target (PT) is GBP 53.1 (from GBP 38.0). TBC’s stock has returned 93% in the past 12 months in USD terms, including reinvested dividends (and 682% in the past five years). A year ago, the bank was trading at 3.9x P/E and 1.1x P/TBV on our 2025E numbers, vs. 6.9x P/E and 1.7x P/TBV today. This p...
HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: MPC turns cautiously dovish on the fiscal package • Hungary macro: June inflation picks up further • Kruk: 2Q25 trading update shows a pick up in recoveries vs. 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 2Q25 revenue at USD 59m, down 7% yoy and 6% qoq NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: June sales growth at 10% yoy, implying 2Q25E revenue growth of also 10% yoy NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: 280k copies of The Alters sold NEUTRAL • Murapol: sells 708 apartments and hands over 289 units in...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
Feedback of the companies present at the ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum Company Country Market cap. (m) Company Country Market cap. (m) Accsys Technologies € 124 Hoffmann Green € 62 Afyren € 72 Hornbach € 1 451 Altri € 1 058 IDI € 537 AMG € 550 Implenia CHF 973 AmRest PLN 3 544 Jacquet Metals € 494 Arcure € 29 Kloeckner & Co € 653 Arverne 194 Knaustabbert € 144 Austriacard Holdings € 188 Lna Santé € 270 Bastide € 218 Medincell € 398 Befesa € 1 116 Nacon € 63 CAF € 1 649 N...
Our 14th edition of the ODDO BHF Nextcap Forum took place on 11 June in Paris, and on 12 June virtually. 96 companies and 170 investors were present for more than 700 meetings organized. Overall, we noted a still cautious tone from companies, with limited visibility on a solid rebound in a persistently uncertain market environment (geopolitical situation, US politics, etc.), even if there are some signs of recovery and certain sectors remain very well positioned (leisure, energy, defence). At th...
We initiate coverage of Austriacard (ACAG), which offers a complementary portfolio of products and services in Identity & Payment Solutions (smartcards, payments, IDs), Document Lifecycle Management (printing) and Digital Transformation Technologies for the financial, government, and general private sectors, with a BUY rating and a price target (PT) of EUR 7.5/share, implying 42% upside from the current levels. Thanks to the strong execution in the Middle East and Africa regions, and continuous ...
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