HEADLINES: • Kazatomprom: soft metal still rocks (stays BUY) • Elbit Systems: strong execution at a rich valuation (stays HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: management recommends CZK 4/share extra dividend due before the year-end POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: conditions have been met for the acquisition of Eco Point PSA shares POSITIVE • Inter Cars: September sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • Rainbow Tours: winter season pre-sales 5.7% higher yoy NEUTRAL • GTC: repurchases EUR 195m of 2026 bonds • Er...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • Allegro: 1Q25 results spot on our expectations; lower bound of FY25E guidance increased POSITIVE • Colt CZ Group: 2Q25 results – slightly below the consensus; no changes in FY25E guidance • Mavi: 2Q25 results miss expectations; 2025E guidance lowered NEGATIVE • Echo Investment: 2Q25 – sales could unlock net cash equivalent to one-third of market cap • Auto Partner: 2Q25 EBITDA broadly in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Lamda Development: 2Q25 – yield compressio...
GEVORKYAN’s 2Q25 results were broadly in line with our estimates, and the company has upgraded both its 2025E and long-term (2025-29E) guidance. For 2025E, at the midpoint, the new guidance implies a 5% increase in revenues and a 15% increase in the EBITDA vs. the previous (May) guidance. For the mid-term, our 2025-27E estimates remain in line with the bottom end of GEVORKYAN’s guidance; however, if executed successfully, it could provide additional upside for our forecasts. Importantly, the upg...
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: 2Q25 EBITDA misses our and the market's expectations by 4-5% NEGATIVE • Eurozone macro: so far, so good • Colt CZ Group SE: multiple military contracts POSITIVE • CEZ: Babis will not buy CEZ "at any price" NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: PGE, Enea and Tauron contract 5.9 GW of new capacity obligations for 2026 NEUTRAL • Romania macro: inflation soars in August • Türkiye macro: interest rates drop, but monetary stance remains tight • LPP: 2Q25E results preview – 13% yoy EBITD...
HEADLINES: • Sarantis: 1H25 in line with expectations; profit guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: 1H25 earnings beat on one-offs; broadly in line on an underlying basis POSITIVE • Footshop: 2Q25 broadly in line with our estimates; 2025E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • PGE: 2Q25 results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Enea: 2Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: August sales growth decelerates to 5% yoy NEGATIVE • Georgia Capital: announces early redemption of USD 100m ...
HEADLINES: • PGE: decent 2Q25 recurring EBITDA, 8% above our expectations; strong cash generation POSITIVE • CEZ: ANO deputy chair puts cost of CEZ nationalisation at CZK 250bn POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-7 September) • Greece macro: 2Q GDP – first impressions • VIGO Photonics: signs letters of intent with PCO and CRW Telesystem-Mesko POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 2Q25E preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth forecast (due on 11 September) • Short News (CDR)
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Warsaw Stock Exchange: bottom-line beat in 2Q25, due mostly to non-operating net revenues POSITIVE • KazMunayGas: 2Q25 results – EBITDA in line with our forecast NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 2% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Mo-BRUK: 2Q25 EBITDA up 6% yoy, in line with our and the market's expectations NEUTRAL • Orlen: 2Q25 results – broadly in line NEUTRAL • Lion Finance Group: 2Q25 highlights – in line, but not strong enough to sh...
HEADLINES: • Solutions by STC: balance of risks to the upside (upgraded to BUY) • TBC Bank: 2Q25 results and conference call highlights • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 2Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • Jahez: weak 2Q25 financial results, with significant pressure on the EBITDA margin NEGATIVE • Inter Cars: July sales growth accelerates marginally, to 11% yoy NEUTRAL • Austriacard: 1H25E earnings preview (due on 28 August)
EME Equity Market – July 2025 EME indices all in the green in July. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 6.0% mom in EUR terms and 3.0% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE30 was, once again, the top performer, adding 7.9% mom in EUR terms, followed very closely by the Romanian BET, advancing 7.8% mom in EUR terms. The Greek ASE added 6.8% mom in EUR terms, while the Czech PX added 4.5% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and Polish WIG20 added 3.6% and 3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: MPC turns cautiously dovish on the fiscal package • Hungary macro: June inflation picks up further • Kruk: 2Q25 trading update shows a pick up in recoveries vs. 1Q25 NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 2Q25 revenue at USD 59m, down 7% yoy and 6% qoq NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: June sales growth at 10% yoy, implying 2Q25E revenue growth of also 10% yoy NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: 280k copies of The Alters sold NEUTRAL • Murapol: sells 708 apartments and hands over 289 units in...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (16-22 June) • Turkish Airlines: confirms talks over Air Europa stake purchase NEUTRAL • Aegean Airlines: may issue EUR 200-250m of new bonds NEUTRAL • GEVORKYAN: might raise up to 3.5m shares in the next 5Y NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI 2025 Global Market Accessibility Review
We have downgraded GEVORKYAN to HOLD (from Buy), with a new 12M price target (PT) of CZK 257/share, implying 11% upside. The share price is 6% below its July 2022 IPO price. We believe the relatively high IPO valuation (12.6x EV/EBITDA) and the prolonged capex cycle are the key reasons for the rerating of the stock closer to its CEE industrial peers. While the capex cycle has enabled GEVORKYAN to expand capacity, buy high-end machinery and sign a record number of contracts, it is still not over....
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: May sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: Steam demo of Moonlighter 2 attracted limited interest and disappointing reviews NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: increases prices for its Nju mobile post-paid tariffs POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires Romanian hosting company Hosterion for EUR 6.7m NEUTRAL • DO & CO: 4Q FY25E preview - 7% EBITDA growth yoy (due on 12 June) • Text: 4Q24-25E preview – 10% yoy EBITDA increase expected (due on 27 June)
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
HEADLINES: • OPAP: 1Q25 – strong, as expected NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: 1Q25 EBIT broadly as expected, guidance on three unannounced projects POSITIVE • VIGO Photonics: adjusted EBITDA up 2x yoy (on a low base), in line with our estimate NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 1Q25 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kazatomprom: 1Q25 results – much weaker than expected NEGATIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – opex outside the Ellinikon better than expected, but quarterly capex still slow ...
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