EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
We have updated our financial model to reflect recent macroeconomic developments, setting a 2026 year-end ex-dividend target price of 3,330 HUF, representing a 20.5% upside (14.1% CAGR) including the anticipated HUF 283 dividend following the 2025 fiscal year. Consequently, we maintain our Accumulate recommendation for MOL.
The company has delivered USD 685 mn clean CCS EBITDA missing the consensus, but only due to a USD 98 mn one-off related to BME acquisition. Core segment delivered on expectations at the EBITDA level. EBIT and profit miss were strengthened by higher than expected depreciation and strongly negative CCS effect. These are non-cash items and only the increased depreciation is recurring.
HEADLINES: • Allegro: August is harvest time (downgraded to HOLD) • Hungary macro: challenging conditions keeping fiscal pressure high • Patria Bank: solid delivery in 2Q25 POSITIVE • Premier Energy: 2Q25 normalised EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • 4iG: 2Q25 results review – 11% yoy increase in reported EBITDA, 3% above our estimate NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 2Q25 – continued progress with disposals; cancels treasury shares, launches new buyback • MedLife: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings ...
While the consensus expectations for the FFO for this year may be reviewed down slightly in wake of the guidance, the cash inflows from property sales need to be reviewed up, in our view. Additionally, while we believe that the market was valuing CA Immo and looking at the per-share metrics excluding the treasury shares, we still welcome their partial cancellation. The new round of buyback could also be supportive for the stock, in our view.
HEADLINES: • PZU: 2Q25 results – beat on the bottom line, but insurance operations show some weakness and delivered below expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 2Q25 results – beat driven by stellar 37% gross profit margin POSITIVE • Bank Handlowy: neutral 2Q25 results – beat on underlying bottom line driven by bond sales gains; negative NII trend NEUTRAL • Eurocash: 2Q25 – slightly above low expectations; new strategy publication in November POSITIVE • DataWalk: 2Q25 actual numbers fully in li...
A director at MOL Hungarian Oil and Gas sold 28,000 shares at 3,004.000HUF and the significance rating of the trade was 66/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two ...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.