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ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath

Hardware market to rebound in 2024e

Well positioned to regain growth from AI and cybersecurity. Adj. EBITA +1-3%, EPS +2-4% from completed buybacks. Share at 7.5x 2024e EV/EBITA, 30% below peers.

ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath

Data storage starting to see some AI demand

Tough comps in Q4e but tailwinds into 2024e. Cost reductions to yield margin expansion ahead. Share at 7.1x 2024e EV/EBITA, -37% vs . IT re-seller peers.

ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath

Margin resiliency and strong cash flow

An in line report on adj. EBITA and -8% org growth (ABGSCe -7%). Cost reductions bear fruit, adj. EBITA +2% in 2023e-'25e. Estimates hold up well at 6.9x 2023e EV/adj. EBITA and 5.6x in '24e.

ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath

Protecting bottom line in a slowing market

Sales -1-2% as we estimate neg . organic growth in Q3-Q4e. Cost reduction programme makes us raise adj. EBITA +0-2%. Share trading at 7.1x 2023e EV/adj. EBITA.

ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath

Cost miss in Q1

Good top-line but worse margin in Q1. We now estimate adj. EBITA to decline -7% in 2023e.

ABGSC IT Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC IT Research
  • Daniel Thorsson
  • Simon Granath
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