reports
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
- Chris Hoare
TIM Brasil (Buy, TP: R$28, +1%) IHS Towers (Buy, TP: $10, +20%) TIM B...
As rumoured, TIM Brasil is buying the 49% of i-Systems it doesn’t own from IHS Towers for R$950m (US$ 181m). As we have been thinking would happen, the M&A cycle is hotting up in EM, and this deal likely facilitates the potential takeover of IHS by MTN too. This seems a sensible transaction to us, at a fair price to both sides.
- Chris Hoare
EM Tower Trends Q3 CY25 review: Solid quarter, especially in Africa
Tower revenue trends were slightly slower across the board except for Indus Towers as it benefited again from VIL’s network catch up spend. EBITDA margins were roughly stable across EM except in Indonesia which faces the near-term pressure of the XL-Smartfren consolidation. Africa continue to perform well and the LatAm Towers space had a decent Q3.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
Mexican Cable/FTTH Megacable the clear outperformer in Q3; Q3 25 revi...
Q3 was a slightly slower quarter for the Mexican Broadband market from a top line and EBITDA growth perspective. However, subscriber net adds remained decent, in line with the previous quarters. Financially, Megacable was the clear outperformer in Q3 with double-digit revenue and EBITDA growth and widened the gap with peers.
- Chris Hoare
LatAm Telcos Outlook 2026 – Consolidation moves to broadband + Millic...
Fundamentals continue to look pretty good to us in Latin America, with market repair continuing across wireless markets, and further consolidation likely. Despite a strong 2025, valuations still look compelling across the region in our view too. Top picks: Liberty Latin America, Vivo, AMX and Megacable. We also upgrade our Millicom pt to $70.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers 2025 wrapped. NSR GEM 2026 Top-10 unveiled:...
2025 was when the EM Telco bull market really took off. Two of our top picks returned >100% and four more 50%+. We make one change to our top picks for 2026 from 2025, introducing Megacable in exchange for IHS Towers. In a separate note out today we run through the Themes that we think will drive performance in 2026.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Themes and Top picks for 2026
EM Telcos have been strong for some time, but 2025 was a banner year. Multiples have expanded somewhat, but we remain bullish, as we think EM Telcos operate on a long cycle driven by market structure which has now definitively turned up We therefore see EM Telcos in a true stealth bull market as conditions still seem ripe for the best to exhibit pricing power and hence GDP+ revenue growth and rising ROIC. This note explains the key themes we see for 2026.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos Fish in a barrel? 8 Themes that drove EM Telcos in 2...
2025 was a banner year for EM Telcos, following on from a good 2023 and 2024. As we head towards the New Year we thought it might be useful to highlight a few of the thematic pieces we wrote last year that we think help to highlight why EM Telcos are in a clear and sustained bull market and why therefore we are confident that 2026 will be another good year for investors in the space, as fundamentals continue to look much stronger than in the past. I hope you enjoy reading these and happy holiday...
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Japan DC exposure, future developments and valuati...
EM & Japanese Telcos have more DC capacity than those in other regions. In this short note, we look at the current and future Data Center (DC) capacity for the telcos in our coverage as well as the potential valuation for these assets, in an attempt to contextualise this exposure.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Blow out Q3 results drive another great mon...
EM Telco earnings season was extremely strong, and with 8 of our 10 picks reporting this month, our picks rose 6.8% on average in November and are now up 80% YTD. With Singtel having strongly outperformed, Bharti we swap the latter in for the former; this note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
Moody's Ratings says America Movil's Baa1 ratings and stable outlook u...
Moody's Ratings (Moody's) comments that America Movil, S.A.B. de C.V.'s ("America Movil")'s Baa1 ratings and stable outlook remain unchanged following the company's announcement that it plans a combined issuance for up to MXN15,000 million ($800 million) in senior unsecured notes. The issuance is th...
- Chris Hoare
- David Lopes
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos & Towers Back to Black: NSR GEM Top-10 November ‘25 ...
Our portfolio of Top Picks was higher again in October, and now up 69% ytd. This month we make no changes to our top picks. This note also includes key news & other thoughts, to try to help investors generate alpha within the EM Telco space.
- Chris Hoare
Global EM Telcos When does Digital drive a re-rating? Upgrade VEON, V...
We analyze how much revenue EM Telcos are generating from digital businesses, and therefore at what point they are likely to make the transition from being “Telcos with digital assets” to “Digital first”. We use this to predict when the market is likely to re-rate those exposed, and as a result make multiple upgrades across our GEM Telcos.
- Chris Hoare
- Chris Hoare
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