Greater China Economics | PMI November PMI undershot expectations; manufacturing PMI was at 49.2 (+0.2pt mom) and non-manufacturing PMI slipped to 49.5 (-0.6pt mom), the first contraction in nearly three years. With the services industry index weakened to 49.5 (-0.7pt mom). PMI data confirms growth momentum is easing, so expect more supportive policies to be rolled out soon, but for economic confidence to return, we need a sustainable bottom in the real estate sector. Sector Update | Heal...
Safe haven liquidity continues flowing into Singapore, pushing down SORA on an overnight basis to a low of 1.27%. Threemonth compounded SORA eased 8bp to 1.25% in Nov 25. The Fed cut the Fed Funds Rate by another 25bp to 3.75% during the FOMC meeting on 29 Oct 25. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.81).
Two out of the 16 large-cap S-REITs under our coverage surpassed expectations. FLT’s occupancy for logistics properties in Australia gained 4.3ppt qoq to 100% in 4QFY25. SUN has received a favourable ruling from the ATO, which has a positive impact of 3.7% on 2025 DPU. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue-chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.65), KREIT (Target: S$1.20) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Our channel check showed that new home property prices in the core districts of Hohhot and Taiyuan showed signs of stabilisation, supported by population inflow, higher efficiency ratio of new products and sharper contraction in supply. With greater downward pressure on property prices in Tier 1 cities, the trend in lower tier cities points to continued divergence and complexity in China’s property market. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. CR Land...
Top Stories Company Results | Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust (FLT SP/BUY/S$0.95/Target: S$1.22) Occupancy for logistics properties in Australia gained 4.3ppt qoq in 4QFY25 and they are back to full occupancy of 100%. Two additional leases were signed at Alexandra Technopark, bringing the backfilling of the ex-Google space to 83%. We raise our 2026 DPU forecasts by 2.5% due to the recent improvement in occupancies and paying 75% of management fees in units (previous: 50%). Maintain BUY. Tar...
Occupancy for logistics properties in Australia gained 4.3ppt qoq in 4QFY25 and they are back to full occupancy of 100%. Two additional leases were signed at Alexandra Technopark, bringing the backfilling of the ex-Google space to 83%. We raise our 2026 DPU forecasts by 2.5% due to the recent improvement in occupancies and paying 75% of management fees in units (previous: 50%). Maintain BUY. Target price: S$1.22.
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
The merger of CapitaLand and Mapletree is a matter of time given the emphasis to create global giants within Temasek. MINT (HOLD/Target: S$1.22), MLT (HOLD/Target: S$1.38) and MPACT (BUY/Target: S$1.84) are potential takeover targets. KREIT (BUY/Target: S$1.20) and SUN (HOLD/Target: S$1.42) are potential new entrants to be included as constituents of the STI. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
Greater China Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Oct 25 GGR was MOP$24.1b, increasing 32% mom and 16% yoy, and recovering to 91% of 2019’s level (vs a recovery of 83% in Sep 25). Oct 25’s GGR number beat market consensus by 4%, and set another post-COVID-19 record. For 10M25, GGR climbed to MOP$205.4b, up 8% yoy, and recovered to 83% of 2019’s level. Maintain OVERWEIGHT; Galaxy remains our top pick. Company Results | China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/HOLD/HK$48.64/Target: HK$51.00) CMB rep...
Greater China Sector Update | Internet The growing robotaxi ecosystem is drawing in an increasing number of new entrants, including autonomous service providers and ride-hailing platforms. We expect technological maturity, policy support, and better fleet economics to drive a major expansion wave for the robotaxi industry into 2H25/2026, with China’s robotaxi fleet size expected to grow ten-fold during this period. We see material development and monetisation progress of Robotaxi, sparking r...
The sudden U-turn in trade negotiations between the US and China has caught the market by surprise. Risk from a protracted US government shutdown also adds to greater uncertainties. The most defensive sectors are suburban retail (CICT and LREIT), healthcare (PREIT) and data centres (KDCREIT and NTTDCR), which are less affected by trade conflicts and reciprocal tariffs. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY CICT (Target: S$2.79), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), PREIT (Target: S$5.34), LREIT (Target: S$0.79) and NTT...
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs US monetary policy is at an inflexion point and has switched towards easing to support the job market, which has slowed considerably in recent months. S-REITs benefit from lower cost of debt and expanded yield spread. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), KREIT (Target: S$1.18) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79). Market Spotlight US stocks ended higher on Tuesday, ...
Top Stories Sector Update | REITs The iEdge Singapore Next 50 Index tracks the next 50 largest companies listed on the SGX Mainboard that fall just outside the top 30 STI constituents. S-REITs account for 15 out of the 50 constituent stocks of the Next 50 Index, and carry a total weightage of 42.6% in aggregate. BUY constituents of the Next 50 Index: CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KREIT (Target: S$1.18), PREIT (Target: S$5.34), LREIT (Target: S$0.79) and FEHT (Target: S$0.81). Market Spotlight US sto...
Greater China Initiation Coverage | Metasurface Technologies Holdings (8637 HK/BUY/HK1.48/Target: HK2.90) Metasurface is set to benefit from robust investment in the semi supply chain. As chip fabrication grows in complexity, more time is required to fabricate wafers and more wafer fabrication equipment is needed. Aerospace engineering is set to drive long-term growth as airline capacity continues to face shortages, forcing airlines to rely on their existing fleets and bo...
Attractive yield differentials. With Singapore government bond yields trending lower, the yield differential between fixed income and equities has narrowed in 2025, thus reinforcing the relative appeal of companies offering high, sustainable dividend payouts. Equity yields in the 4-6% range now offer a compelling pickup versus the 10-year Singapore Government Bond yield (1.8579% as at 4 Sep 25), while also providing potential for capital gains. In our view, this widening yield gap should support...
US monetary policy is at an inflexion point, and is likely to switch towards easing to support the job market, which has slowed considerably recently. S-REITs benefit from the recovery in liquidity triggered by the upcoming rate cuts. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY blue chip S-REITs with specific catalysts: CLAR (Target: S$4.02), CLAS (Target: S$1.56), KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69), KREIT (Target: S$1.18) and LREIT (Target: S$0.79).
GREATER CHINA Results China Mengniu Dairy (2319 HK/BUY/HK$15.84/Target: HK$21.70) 1H25: Revenue slightly misses but operating profit beats; expect mid-to-high single-digit revenue decline for 2025. China Resources Gas (1193 HK/BUY/HK$19.05/Target: HK$22.60) 1H25: In line; from earnings drag to guidance-driven re-rating; upgrade to BUY. ECARX Holdings Inc (ECX US/BUY/US$1.60/Target: US$3.40) 2Q25: Net loss widens; recovery expected in 2H25. Maintain...
The data centre industry is gravitating towards building of hyperscale and even gigawatts data centres. Smaller data centres, particularly those serving enterprise tenants, could become irrelevant. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. BUY KDCREIT (Target: S$2.69) and DCREIT (Target: US$0.88) as hyperscale tenants accounted for sizeable 67% and 75% of rental income respectively. Downgrade MINT to HOLD (Target: S$2.30) as its enterprise tenants are susceptible to non-renewal.
GREATER CHINA Results China Overseas Property Holdings (2669 HK/BUY/HK$5.85 /Target: HK$7.00) 1H25: Results a mixed bag; quality growth with slower expansion pace; special dividend for 10th listing anniversary. Goldwind Science & Technology (2208 HK/BUY/HK$9.52/Target: HK$10.80) 1H25: In line; solid backlog, stabilised pricing, and margin recovery ahead. Han’s Laser (002008 CH/BUY/Rmb35.70/Target: Rmb39.50) 2Q25: Solid growth in operating income. PCB/IT equip...
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