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Roy Külter ... (+3)
  • Roy Külter
  • Steven Boumans
  • Thomas Zlowodzki
DHL DHL GROUP
AKE ARKEMA ... (+25)

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 06/11/2024

Notre scénario central s’est concrétisé dans la nuit : Donald Trump remporte la présidentielle américaine, et le choix des électeurs ne devrait pas être contesté. Il pourrait disposer d’une majorité dans les deux assemblées. Les actions américaines en seront les premières bénéficiaires. Sur les actions européennes, les secteurs les plus gagnants seront l’Energie, les Médias, les Métaux, Construction & Materials, Financial Services, Insurance. Sont en revanche plus à risque Utilities, ...

Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez

INWIT : Uneventful results; minor adjustments to 2024 guidance

>Results in line with both our estimates and the consensus - INWIT’s Q3 2024 results were in line with both our estimates and the consensus at operating level: revenues at € 260m vs € 263m ODDO BHF and € 262m css i.e. 1.1% or 0.7% below respectively. The slight miss was due to lower revenues from the Vodafone’s MSA (€ 2m or 1.6% below) and lower revenues from OLOs macro sites and others, which declined by 6% y-o-y (€ 3m below). Slightly higher opex (€ 1m) was offset...

Ben Rickett
  • Ben Rickett

Inwit (Neutral, €12.0, +18%) 3Q24: Slower quarter, but higher returns ...

Inwit has reported Q3 numbers slightly below consensus and updated 2024 guidance to the low-end of the revenue and RLFCF ranges. We expect attention to now move towards the Q4 results in March 2025, where we expect further shareholder returns to be announced.

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Two more constellations! IRIS² and Apple-GlobalStar

>IRIS²: a high cost, new investments for SES and Eutelsat - The European Commission has awarded a 12-year concession contract for the design, delivery and operation of the IRIS² constellation to SpaceRISE, a consortium composed of Eutelsat, SES and Hispasat. IRIS2 will have 260 low earth orbit satellites (LEO, orbit used by OneWeb/Eutelsat) and 18 medium earth orbit satellites (MEO, the orbit for which SES is the only player). Orange and Deutsche Telekom are partners,...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Et deux constellations de plus ! IRIS² et Apple-Globalstar

>IRIS² : un coût élevé, de nouveaux investissements pour SES et Eutelsat - La Commission européenne a attribué un contrat de concession de 12 ans pour la conception, la livraison et l'exploitation de la constellation IRIS² à SpaceRISE, un consortium composé d'Eutelsat, SES et Hispasat. IRIS2 comptera 260 satellites de basse orbite (LEO, orbite utilisée par OneWeb/Eutelsat) et 18 de moyenne orbite (MEO, l’orbite dont SES est le seul acteur). Orange et Deutsche Telekom ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/26/2024

‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In the U...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 09/26/2024

tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 26/09/2024

“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffrent ma...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 26/09/2024

tonies is a pioneer in the children’s audio entertainment and educational industry, offering a screen-free and interactive listening experience (stories and music) through its Toniebox and Tonies figurines. With a proven track record of rapid international growth, portfolio expansion and strong brand recognition mainly in the DACH region (Germany, Austria and Switzerland) and North America, we see in the coming years: 1/ further strong revenue increases (CAGR 2024-2026e of 25%) with a...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : More users switching provider in France, Italy and the UK

>More consumers are looking to change provider in France, Italy and UK - The Oliver Wyman consultancy published yesterday a survey with 7,000 consumers in five countries (see page 2). These studies are not indisputable but offer additional indicators.Mobile market: according to the survey, the desire to switch operator within 24 months is up sharply in Italy (27%, +9pp), the UK (31%, +6pp) and France (27%, +4pp). No major shifts in Germany (26%, +2pp) or Spain (2...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Stephane Beyazian

ODDO : Plus d’envies de résiliations en France, Italie et au Royaume-U...

>Les consommateurs veulent plus bouger en France, Italie et Royaume-Uni - La cabinet Oliver Wyman a publié hier un sondage auprès de 7 000 consommateurs dans 5 pays (Cf. page 2). Ces études ne sont pas incontestables mais offrent des indicateurs de plus.Marché mobile : selon l’étude, la volonté de changer d’opérateur d’ici 24 mois est en nette hausse en Italie (27%, +9pp), au R-U (31%, +6pp) et en France (27%, +4pp). Pas de grand changement en Allemagne (26%, +2p...

Ben Rickett ... (+2)
  • Ben Rickett
  • James Ratzer

EU Towers (Cellnex - Neutral, €31, -16%; Inwit - Neutral, €12, +8%) : ...

With interest rates in focus, we take a look at how recent rates moves impact our EU Towers valuations. Consensus wisdom would suggest that falling rates should be positive for towers, but in this short note we challenge that view.

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/12/2024

We have upgraded our target price from € 43.4 to € 45.3 which factors in the growth strategy out to 2027 (EBITDA +5% to 6% p.a.) whereas the share price implies decrease of 0.65% p.a. The strategic GreenUp plan is based on three booster businesses that should see a gradual acceleration and will involve asset rotation. An accretive re-profiling in terms of EPS, and with no repercussions for the leverage limit, could also show through with minority buyouts for the regulated water operat...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 12/09/2024

Nous relevons notre objectif de cours de 43.4 € à 45.3 € qui intègre la stratégie de croissance à 2027 (EBITDA +5% à 6%/an) alors que le cours de Bourse sous-tend une baisse de 0.65%/an. Le plan stratégique GreenUp repose sur trois métiers Boosters qui doivent connaitre une accélération graduelle et impliquer des rotations d’actifs. Un reprofilage relutif en termes de BPA, et sans conséquence sur la limite de levier, pourrait aussi intervenir par le biais de rachats de minoritaires de...

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