Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has today assigned Ba3 (hyb) rating to National Bank of Greece S.A.'s (NBG) proposed Euro-denominated Additional Tier 1 (AT1) perpetual capital instrument with non-viability loss absorption features. The AT1 notes include a call option for the issuer after five-and-a-half y...
Two Directors at National Bank Of Greece sold 3,737 shares at between 15.315EUR and 15.600EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors ov...
A director at Alpha Bank S.A bought 15,000 shares at 4.088EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
Six Directors at Piraeus Bank S.A sold 45,200 shares at between 8.196EUR and 8.415EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 61/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the l...
Fundamentals taking over – Greek equities delivered an exceptional performance in 2025, emerging as one of the strongest markets globally, with the ASE General Index up c50%. This marked the 4th consecutive year of outperformance vs the Euro Stoxx 600, a streak not witnessed in the past two decades. The magnitude of the 2025 rally inevitably sets a high base heading into 2026 (especially since the ASE is already up c6% ytd). As a result, we believe the market will transition from a beta-driven p...
Fundamentals taking over – Greek equities delivered an exceptional performance in 2025, emerging as one of the strongest markets globally, with the ASE General Index up c50%. This marked the 4th consecutive year of outperformance vs the Euro Stoxx 600, a streak not witnessed in the past two decades. The magnitude of the 2025 rally inevitably sets a high base heading into 2026 (especially since the ASE is already up c6% ytd). As a result, we believe the market will transition from a beta-driven p...
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: paid to wait (stays BUY) • Polish utilities: 2030 capacity market price set at PLN 465/kW/year NEUTRAL • Orlen: receives response from Grupa Azoty about offer for Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEUTRAL • CEZ: new government aiming to reduce power bills by c.10% or more NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: preparing to drill offshore Bulgaria by the year-end NEUTRAL
We maintain our BUY on Bank of Cyprus (BOCH) and increase our price target (PT) to EUR 9.62/share (from EUR 9.34/share). BOCH is trading at 8.2x P/E and 1.3x P/TBV on our 2025E estimates. At our fair value, the bank would trade at 9.9x P/E and 1.6x P/TBV for 2025E. We believe that both the intrinsic and relative valuation cases remain intact. Investors will earn an 8% yield, while waiting for realistic rerating upside. In our view, the longer the bank holds this much excess capital, the higher t...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: Bucharest vote supports government • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • PGE: CEO and COO dismissed; former Tauron CEO appointed as acting CEO NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: ready for lower distribution WACC NEGATIVE • Jumbo: sales up 6% in November and 8% in 11M25, as expected NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: 4m shares block trades at 1.9% discount NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m POSITIVE • ...
HEADLINES: • Optima Bank: buying the dip (stays BUY) • CTP: great story, fairly valued (downgraded to HOLD) • PCF Group: key takeaways from the 3Q25 earnings call • Cyfrowy Polsat/Wirtualna Polska: CPS audience share at 22.37%, while WP TV at 0.46% in November 2025 NEUTRAL • Budimex: plans to pay out 100% of net income in dividends in 2025-29E NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: finalises agreement with Microsoft on licence for Game Pass POSITIVE • Huuuge Games: October Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat...
We maintain our BUY on Optima Bank (Optima), with a revised 12M price target (PT) of EUR 8.92 (15.3% upside). We continue to expect strong loan book growth, supportive of vigorous NII expansion and best-in-class profitability. Given the growth prospects, the profitability profile, and in the absence of material asset quality deterioration, we do not see Optima’s valuation, trading at 1.95x P/BV and 9.27x P/E on our 2026E figures, as demanding. We view the recent dip as a decent buying opportunit...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
Broad earnings resilience, but no spark for upgrades… – Systemic Greek banks delivered results broadly in line with our estimates and consensus. NII momentum stabilised in 3Q (-0.2% q/q), effectively marking the trough after three consecutive quarters of deceleration, given Euribor’s plateauing. Fees posted a mild q/q decline—consistent with our forecasts—reflecting seasonal softness in payments and money transfers, while bancassurance and asset-management’s AuMs continued to expand at a strong ...
Broad earnings resilience, but no spark for upgrades… – Systemic Greek banks delivered results broadly in line with our estimates and consensus. NII momentum stabilised in 3Q (-0.2% q/q), effectively marking the trough after three consecutive quarters of deceleration, given Euribor’s plateauing. Fees posted a mild q/q decline—consistent with our forecasts—reflecting seasonal softness in payments and money transfers, while bancassurance and asset-management’s AuMs continued to expand at a strong ...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: 3Q25 – results boosted by land plot sale POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q25 – EBIT 13% ahead of our estimate, driven by 1% better CASK POSITIVE • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 3Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • DO & CO: 2Q FY26 results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Ignitis Group: 3Q25 adjusted EBITDA 3% lower yoy on weak Green Generation and Reserve Capacities NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: 3Q25 results highlights • Titan: takeaways from the Investor Day; ambit...
Bank of Cyprus has posted EUR 118m in 3Q25 net income, 15% above our estimate. We are positive on the 3Q25 results, with the earnings beat driven partly by stronger-than-expected cost control. Management has also finetuned and upgraded its 2025E guidance, and confirmed that, by 4Q25E, the NIM should have fully settled with the current rate environment, positioning the bank for NII expansion from 1Q26E. We have a BUY rating on Bank of Cyprus, with a EUR 9.3/share PT. The bank is trading at 9.1x P...
HEADLINES: • BIM: 3Q25 results – strong beat POSITIVE • CEZ: 3Q25 operating results miss, bottom line beats by 9% NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q25 highlights – 2025 continues to be soft; USD 100m buyback NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q25 – EBITDAR down 17% yoy, despite 15% ASK growth NEGATIVE • Optima Bank: small bottom-line miss in 3Q25, but FY25E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Aselsan: second Steel Dome serial production contract, and signs MOU with ROMARM POSITIVE • Auto Partner: October sales growth d...
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