Broad earnings resilience, but no spark for upgrades… – Systemic Greek banks delivered results broadly in line with our estimates and consensus. NII momentum stabilised in 3Q (-0.2% q/q), effectively marking the trough after three consecutive quarters of deceleration, given Euribor’s plateauing. Fees posted a mild q/q decline—consistent with our forecasts—reflecting seasonal softness in payments and money transfers, while bancassurance and asset-management’s AuMs continued to expand at a strong ...
Broad earnings resilience, but no spark for upgrades… – Systemic Greek banks delivered results broadly in line with our estimates and consensus. NII momentum stabilised in 3Q (-0.2% q/q), effectively marking the trough after three consecutive quarters of deceleration, given Euribor’s plateauing. Fees posted a mild q/q decline—consistent with our forecasts—reflecting seasonal softness in payments and money transfers, while bancassurance and asset-management’s AuMs continued to expand at a strong ...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
A director at Alpha Bank S.A sold 8,000 shares at 3.556EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly sh...
HEADLINES: • Graphisoft Park: 3Q25 – results boosted by land plot sale POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: 3Q25 – EBIT 13% ahead of our estimate, driven by 1% better CASK POSITIVE • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: weak 3Q25 financial results NEGATIVE • DO & CO: 2Q FY26 results in line with our estimates NEUTRAL • Ignitis Group: 3Q25 adjusted EBITDA 3% lower yoy on weak Green Generation and Reserve Capacities NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: 3Q25 results highlights • Titan: takeaways from the Investor Day; ambit...
Bank of Cyprus has posted EUR 118m in 3Q25 net income, 15% above our estimate. We are positive on the 3Q25 results, with the earnings beat driven partly by stronger-than-expected cost control. Management has also finetuned and upgraded its 2025E guidance, and confirmed that, by 4Q25E, the NIM should have fully settled with the current rate environment, positioning the bank for NII expansion from 1Q26E. We have a BUY rating on Bank of Cyprus, with a EUR 9.3/share PT. The bank is trading at 9.1x P...
HEADLINES: • BIM: 3Q25 results – strong beat POSITIVE • CEZ: 3Q25 operating results miss, bottom line beats by 9% NEUTRAL • Kaspi.kz: 3Q25 highlights – 2025 continues to be soft; USD 100m buyback NEUTRAL • Air Astana Group: 3Q25 – EBITDAR down 17% yoy, despite 15% ASK growth NEGATIVE • Optima Bank: small bottom-line miss in 3Q25, but FY25E guidance maintained NEUTRAL • Aselsan: second Steel Dome serial production contract, and signs MOU with ROMARM POSITIVE • Auto Partner: October sales growth d...
A director at Piraeus Financial Holdings S.A. sold 157,298 shares at 6.926EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 100/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last ...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 3Q25 results NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 3Q25 results review – 55% yoy EBITDA growth, 3% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 3Q25 results review – 10% yoy EBITDA growth, 2% above the consensus POSITIVE • Shoper: 3Q25 results review – EBITDA up 28% yoy, to PLN 18.4m, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Richter: weak 3Q25 across all segments NEGATIVE • CTP: 3Q25 – in line, FY targets reiterated NEUTRAL • Ford Otosan: 3Q25 results in line operationally NEUTRAL • Sok ...
From Turnaround to Top-Tier Returns – Over the past decade, Bank of Cyprus (BoC) has executed one of Europe’s most far-reaching restructurings. From NPEs peaking at 63% in 2015, the ratio has collapsed to just 1.7% in H1’25, among the cleanest in Europe, with coverage at 124%. This derisking, coupled with high-rate sensitivity during the 2022–23 tightening cycle, propelled profitability to the top of the sector: RoTE reached 21.4% in 2024 (18.4% in H1’25), well above the 14–15% Greek/periphery a...
From Turnaround to Top-Tier Returns – Over the past decade, Bank of Cyprus (BoC) has executed one of Europe’s most far-reaching restructurings. From NPEs peaking at 63% in 2015, the ratio has collapsed to just 1.7% in H1’25, among the cleanest in Europe, with coverage at 124%. This derisking, coupled with high-rate sensitivity during the 2022–23 tightening cycle, propelled profitability to the top of the sector: RoTE reached 21.4% in 2024 (18.4% in H1’25), well above the 14–15% Greek/periphery a...
A director at National Bank Of Greece sold 13,693 shares at 13.118EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 64/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years...
EME Equity Market – September 2025 Romanian BET led in September, while Türkiye and Hungary lagged. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms. The Romanian BET was the top performer, adding 3.6% in EUR terms; followed by the Czech PX (+3.2% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+1.1% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Greek ASE (+0.6% mom in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 and the Hungarian BUX were the worst performing indices in September(...
HEADLINES: • Bank of Cyprus: value is (sometimes) relative (stays BUY) • Kazakhstan macro: State of the Nation Address sets grounds for new constitutional reform and ambitious digitalisation agenda • PGE: 2Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: August sales growth decelerates to a mere 2% yoy NEGATIVE • Aselsan: massive domestic contract win POSITIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: wins multi-billion CZK tender for new generators at Temelin POSITIVE • MOL: announces discovery of an oil fie...
We reiterate our BUY on Bank of Cyprus (BOCH). Our new price target (PT) is EUR 9.34. The bank is trading at 8.5x P/E and 1.2x P/TBV for 2025E, on our estimates (and 10.6x P/E and 1.6x P/TBV at target). With the Eurozone opportunity costs low (AT1 spreads at historic lows and the Cypriot 10-year at 2.9%), we still see value in BOCH, even after a 200% gain over the past two years, supported by its relative value versus its Eurozone peers with similar earnings power, but weaker capital.
HEADLINES: • Greek Refiners: elevated margins, extended run (HELLENiQ Energy (HOLD) and Motor Oil Hellas (BUY) - transfer of coverage) • Asseco Poland: 2Q25 review – net profit up 33% yoy, 11% above the consensus; 2025 backlog up 9% yoy POSITIVE • OPAP: 2Q25 results – in line NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: 1H25 – FFO at EUR 10m, up 37% yoy POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • cyber_Folks/Shoper: key takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Shoper: 2Q25 earning...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Alior Bank: solid 2Q25, with a beat vs. the market's expectations on stronger other income and lower LLPs POSITIVE • Richter: 2Q25 results broadly in line NEUTRAL • Aselsan: 2Q25 results – strong beat, driven by operating performance POSITIVE • Turkish Airlines: 2Q25 – EBIT above the consensus on better costs POSITIVE • Isbank: 2Q25 highlights – a mixed bag, but management sounds confident in sharp margin recovery in 2H25E • Cimsa: 2Q25 financial results review – strong revenue grow...
Bank of Cyprus (BOCH) has reported EUR 118m in 2Q25 net income, 5% ahead of our EUR 113m estimate for the quarter. The 2Q25 bottom line brought the 6M25 net income to EUR 235m, suggesting meaningful upside risk for our EUR 393m 2025E estimate. Everything else being equal, we calculate that, if the sequential decline in the NII during 3Q25E and 4Q25E stays limited to the 2% qoq drop seen in 2Q25, there would be 10% upside for our 2025E net income estimate (pre-AT1 coupons). In 1H25, the bank also...
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