Greater China Sector Update | Consumer We met investors in Thailand and Malaysia during our marketing trip from 24-28 Nov 25. Overall investor interest in the China consumer sector is improving. The most frequently discussed segments and names include Miniso, Shenzhou, Anta, consumer staples (including dairy, beer and baijiu), as well as some new consumption names such as Pop Mart (non-rated) and Laopu Gold (non-rated). Our preferred stocks include: Galaxy, Midea, Miniso, Shenzhou and Sands ...
Company Results | Com 7 (COM7 TB/HOLD/Bt22.10/Target: Bt29.50) 3Q25 earnings came in at Bt872m, up yoy, in line with our and consensus forecasts. 3Q25’s performance was mainly driven by growth in non-retail businesses, while the IT retail business remained lackluster. Maintain HOLD with a target price of Bt29.50.
Top Stories Company Results | Central Pattana (CPN TB/BUY/Bt50.25/Target: Bt73.10) CPN reported a net profit of Bt5.4b in 3Q25 (+31.5% yoy, +26% qoq), supported by one-off items. Core earnings were strong as expected, improving both yoy and qoq. We anticipate the resilient core operational performance continuing into 4Q25. We are optimistic about CPN, given its resilient performance and positive business outlook with expansion plans. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt73.10. Company Update | Char...
Greater China Company Results | Fuyao Glass (3606 HK/BUY/ HK$67.50/Target: HK$105.00) Fuyao Glass’ 3Q25 earnings miss stems from its margins, dragged by the US division and higher effective tax rate. Revenue grew 19% yoy on 11% sales volume growth and 7% ASP hike. Based on the lower margins, we trim our 2025-27 net profit forecasts by 5%/3%/2% to Rmb9.61b/Rmb10.98b/Rmb12.71b respectively, implying 19% CAGR. Earnings prospects remain positive on overseas market share gains, optimisation of pr...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile China’s EV sales surged 25% wow in the 39th week of 2025 but slowed to 10.5% yoy amid a high base and anti-involution efforts. Geely and XPeng outperformed, while BYD and Li Auto saw yoy sales declines. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector, with top BUYs on CATL and Geely; we downgrade Ganfeng Lithium from BUY to HOLD with an unchanged target price of HK$40.00, as the stock price has hit our target. Indonesia Economics | Indonesia’s Trade Balance Hits Mu...
Highlights • We expect Apple products to be the key earnings driver going forward. The earnings outlook remains resilient, as we expect 3Q25 earnings to improve yoy. • COM7’s share price has delivered an impressive return since our BUY call and is now close to our target price. Moreover, share prices typically slump after an iPhone launch. Downgrade to HOLD, with a target price of Bt29.50.
Top Stories Company Updates | COM7 (COM7 TB/HOLD/Bt25.75/Target: Bt29.50) We expect Apple products to be the key driver going forward. The earnings outlook remains resilient, as we expect 3Q25 earnings to improve yoy. COM7’s share price has delivered an impressive return since our BUY call and is now close to our target price. Share prices typically slump after an iPhone launch. Downgrade to HOLD. Target price: Bt29.50.
Greater China Sector Updates | Consumer In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are c...
COM7 reported a 2Q25 net profit of Bt1,003m, up 33% yoy and beating both our and market expectations by 10%, driven by strong top-line growth and lower SG&A. Looking ahead, performance should be supported by new product launches, store expansion, and a higher contribution from the non-retail segment. We see no downside risk to our or consensus forecasts. Maintain BUY. Target price Bt29.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt24.50/Target: Bt29.50) 2Q25: Better-than-expected earnings. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt113.00/Target: Bt125.00) 2Q25: Results beat expectations, with yield remaining impressive. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt15.50) 2Q25: Earnings beat expectations on solid profitability. Hana Microelectronics (HANA TB/HOLD/Bt22.60/Target: Bt20.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Yoy growth of China’s PEV sales turns negative; lithium price recovers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$18.95/Target: HK$42.00) 2Q25: Core earnings surge 93% yoy, in line; raise target price to HK$42.00. Maintain BUY. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$15.67/Target: HK$17.84) ...
We expect COM7 to report 2Q25 earnings of Bt905m, up 20% yoy, supported by impressive sales growth in both retail and non-retail businesses. The outlook for 2H25 is expected to soften due to the high base and the weak economy. Meanwhile, the new iPhone 17 will be the key driver in 4Q25. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt29.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Sector Food Poultry operators stand out as key winners from trade deal tailwinds. Results Siam Cement (SCC TB/BUY/Bt207.00/Target: Bt240.00) 2Q25: Core earnings below our and consensus expectations, but 2H25 earnings improve hoh. Upgrade to BUY. Update COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt21.10/Target: Bt29.50) 2Q25 results preview: Solid growth expected.
GREATER CHINA Sector Healthcare Bi-Weekly: Expecting strong 1H25 results. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Results Contemporary Amperex Technology (300750 CH/BUY/Rmb277.09 /Target: Rmb390.00) 2Q25: Earnings in line, with margins hitting record-high levels. Maintain A-share at BUY. Downgrade H-share to HOLD. New Oriental Education & Technology Group (EDU US/BUY/US$44.37/Target: US$55.00) ...
The BOT attended our seminar to provide our clients with Thailand's economic outlook for 2H25. The BOT has revised its 2025 GDP forecast from 2.0% to 2.3% in the meeting. It foresees a softening of exports in 3Q25, due to the front-loading of exports in 1H25. The PM has been suspended, with a caretaker in charge, but there should be no impact on 2026’s budget. We highlight four sectors related to the BOT event. Top picks: KBANK, MTC, CPALL and STECON.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: July Conviction Calls Add CATL, KE Holdings, Longfor, Midea Group, Tencent and TME to our BUY list. Take profit on Prudential. Sector Online Games Upcoming new game releases to capitalise on the summer holiday season. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Good Performances In June Our new alpha picks are ANTM, BBCA, ERAA, ICBP, MYOR, MIKA...
GREATER CHINA Economics PMI Modest recovery with construction rebound. Sector Macau Gaming Jun 25 GGR beat consensus by 9%; GGR has regained momentum in recent months. INDONESIA Small/Mid Cap Highlights MAP Aktif Adiperkasa (MAPA IJ/NOT RATED/Rp700) Expanding active lifestyle retail business; 1Q25 NPAT up 21% yoy. MAL...
COM7 reported a 1Q25 net profit of Bt981m, up 18% yoy and exceeding our and market expectations by 8% 9.7%. The key drivers were top-line growth and gross margin improvement. Looking forward, the company still foresees continuous top-line growth momentum in 2Q25. We have upgraded our 2025-26 earnings forecasts by 7% per year. We expect 2025 earnings to grow 14% yoy. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt29.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt38.00/Target: Bt45.00) 1Q25: Soft results, but better than expected; likely to see a strong rebound in 2Q25. COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt21.20/Target: Bt29.50) 1Q25: Better-than-expected earnings. CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt51.50/Target: Bt79.00) 1Q25: Stronger-than-expected earnings. GFPT Plc. (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt9.80/Target: Bt13.40) ...
COM7 reported a 4Q24 net profit of Bt1,024m, up 53% yoy, better than our and market expectations by 9.7%. The key drivers were from the top-line growth and gross margin improvement. Looking forward, we expect a positive sentiment following the stronger than-expected 4Q24 earnings. We forecast a 6% yoy earnings growth for 2025, driven by top-line growth. Upgrade to BUY. Target price: Bt29.00.
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