Cut TP by 22% to EGP14.0/share. We update our FY21/22e forecasts for CSAG to factor in: i) +21pp higher throughput at DCHC and PSCH, on the 33% newly added capacity to the former terminal, ii) -16pp lower blended EBITDA margin at DCHC and PSCH, to reflect lower pricing amid substantial local capacity build-up (+77pp over 2019-22), and iii) loss-making core operations (e.g. custom clearance) vs. nil previously, eating into dividend income from terminal investments. CSAG trades on a FY20/21e P/E o...
Appealing valuation. We initiate coverage on Canal Shipping (CSAG) with a TP of EGP18.0/share, mainly derived from its container handling investments, as we value core operations (i.e. custom clearance, warehousing), which almost break even, at nil. CSAG owns 20% stake in Damietta Containers (DCHC) and Port Said Containers (PSCH), strategically located at Suez Canal’s Mediterranean entrance, handling a combined c27% of TEUs in Egyptian ports in 2018. Our DCF for both port operators implies an av...
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