In this report, we have summarised what we read from consumer companies’ 2023 results, the 2024 outlook and recent updates. We think companies: a) with overseas expansion or turnaround prospects, b) that have upside potential of improving operating efficiency, c) that will benefit from near-term catalysts (eg event-driven), and d) have increasing dividend payout will outperform. Anta, CR Beer, CTGDF, Galaxy, Haidilao, Haier, Midea and Shenzhou are our most preferred stocks. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Adding AIA, Midea, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, Shenzhen Inovance and Trip.com to our BUY list, with SELL calls on BYD, EVE Energy, and Li Auto. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance In Mar 24 and 1Q24: Our picks are ACES, BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Expanding The Variety Of Events Bets: Our Alpha Picks trounced the KLCI in Mar 24. Apr 24 picks: GENM, Inari, Mah Sing, MrDIY, MY...
Haier’s 2023 results were in line with market consensus but 1% slightly below our estimate. We expect Haier to continue to consolidate its market leading position in China, and its overseas operation to improve in terms of profitability, mainly driven by the turnaround of the Europe market. Management aims to raise the dividend payout steadily during 2024-26, and targets dividend payout ratio to be not lower than 50% in 2026. We maintain BUY and raise target price by 9% HK$31.00.
The sequential uptick in Mar 24’s GGR, which surpassed our and the street’s estimates, implies a sustained and resilient gaming demand after the CNY holiday. Notably, this marks another milestone as the industry’s GGR peaked at MOP19.5b after the reopening, marginally above Oct 23’s level. We are confident on the industry’s growth momentum. May 24 Golden Week is a potential catalyst for the sector. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top pick: Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK).
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: March Conviction Call: Adding CMB, COLI, CR Beer, Kuaishou and TUL to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Significant Outperformance In Feb 24: Our picks are BBTN, CMRY, SIDO, EXCL, MAPI, JSMR, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Focusing On Earnings Momentum: Our Alpha Picks underperformed the KLCI in Feb 24 (-0.9% vs 2.5%). Mar 24 picks significantly feature companies with good earnings momentum. SINGAPORE...
Feb 24 GGR was below our and the street’s estimates despite the strong demand seen during the CNY holidays, likely due to volatility in win rates and post-holiday seasonal effects. Nevertheless, Macau is focusing on expanding its international markets, which we view positively as efforts to uplift casino and non-gaming revenues. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top pick: Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK). Feb 24 GGR declined 4% mom. According to the Gaming Inspection & Coordination Bureau (DICJ), Feb 24 GGR h...
Galaxy’s 4Q23 luck-adjusted EBITDA is in line with consensus estimates. Galaxy’s mass drop and mass GGR exceeded 20% vs 2019 levels during the CNY holidays. In our view, its market share decline could be reversed as it reconfigured its gaming areas at Galaxy Macau and aims to increase focus on the high-end premium mass customers. We expect to see higher operating leverage from 2Q24 onwards. Maintain BUY with unchanged target price of HK$56.00.
GREATER CHINA Economics 2024/25 Budget: Tough Balancing Act. Sector Property: Government removes all cooling measures on Hong Kong property; upgrade sector to MARKET WEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/BUY/HK$106.60/Target: HK$128.00): 4Q23: Solid earnings growth; all eyes on AI-powered ads and Ernie Bot in 2024. Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$42.05/Target: HK$56.00): 4Q23: Market share shrank within expectations; expanding share in 2024. Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK/BUY/HK$78.00 /Tar...
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Economics 2024/25 Budget Tough Balancing Act. Sector Property Government removes all cooling measures on Hong Kong property; upgrade sector to MARKET WEIGHT. Results Baidu Inc (9888 HK/BUY/HK$106.60/Target: HK$128.00) 4Q23: Solid earnings growth; all eyes on AI-powered ads and Ernie Bot in 2024. Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$42.05/Target: HK$56.00) 4Q23: Market share shrank within expectations; expanding share in 2024. Sun Hung Kai Properties (16 HK/BUY/HK$78....
Galaxy Entertainment Group Reports Q4 & Annual 2023 Results Q4 2023 Group Adjusted EBITDA of $2.8 Billion,Versus $(163) Million in Q4 2022 2023 Full Year Group Adjusted EBITDA of $10.0 Billion Versus $(0.6) Billion in 2022 2023 Full Year Group NPAS of $6.8 Billion Versus $(3.4) Billion in 2022 Announced Another Special Dividend of $0.30 Per Share HONG KONG, Feb. 28, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Galaxy Entertainment Group (“GEG”, “Company” or the “Group”) (HKEx stock code: 27) today reported results for the three-month and twelve-month periods ended 31 December 2023. (All amounts are expr...
银河娱乐集团 2023 年第四季度及全年业绩 2023年第四季度经调整EBITDA为28亿元对比2022年第四季度为(1.63)亿元 2023年全年经调整EBITDA为100亿元,对比2022年为(6)亿元 集团全年股东应占溢利为68亿元,对比2022年为(34)亿元 宣布派发另一次特别股息每股0.30元 香港, Feb. 28, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- 银河娱乐集团(「银娱」、「公司」或「集团」)(香港联合交易所股份代号﹕27)今天公布截至2023年12月31日止三个月及十二个月期间之业绩。(除另有注明,所有金额均以港元列示) 银河娱乐集团主席吕志和博士表示﹕ 「今天,我很高兴就2023年第四季及全年财务业绩提供最新概况。在银娱,我们继续推动各项业务发展,特别将焦点放在中场并继续妥善分配资源以达至最有效运用。尽管澳门和区内的竞争持续,地缘政治和经济问题影响着消费者的情绪,但我们的努力反映在全年经调整EBITDA达到 100亿元,对比2022年为(6)亿元。 截至2023年12月31日,我们的资产负债表仍然稳健,现金和流动投资总额为250亿元,净现金为235亿元。我们于2023年10月27日派发了每股0.20元的特别股息,我们很高兴宣布另一次特别股息为每股0.30元,将约于2024年4月26日派发。我们是通关后首间宣布恢复派息以回馈...
During the Chinese New Year (CNY) holiday, tourism, both domestic and outbound, catering and movie consumption put up strong performances. For the consumer sector, we prefer discretionary to staple, and Macau gaming in the discretionary space, given the strong recovery momentum of Macau tourism and moderate hike in opex. Galaxy is our top pick in Macau gaming sector, given its net cash position amid the higher interests. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: February Conviction Calls: We remain hedged, adding COSCO Shipping Holdings and Foxconn Industrial Internet to our BUY list, but include additional SELL calls on Li Auto and Xpeng. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperformance in Jan 24: Our picks are EXCL, MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Eyes Also On Results Season Winners: Our Alpha Picks performance again trounced the KLCI in Jan 24 (+9.6% vs +4.0%). Feb 24 pic...
The HSI and the MSCI China fell 9.2% and 10.5% mom respectively in Jan 24, dragged down by IT and consumer discretionary stocks amid low market confidence and negative geopolitical news flow. The policy easing in late-Jan 24 may have established a bottom, but the timing of a new upcycle remains uncertain, contingent on favourable macro news flow in the near term. Hence, we remain hedged, adding COSCO Shipping Holdings and FII to our BUY list, with additional SELL calls on Li Auto and Xpeng.
Going into Feb 24, we expect daily GGR to rise further from Jan 24 (MOP624m) in view of a probable visitation surge during the CNY holidays, supported by the robust forward hotel bookings and free transportation offered to international visitors. The Macao Government Tourism Office expects a daily average of 120,000 visitors during the holiday, exceeding that of the National Day Golden Week (115,411). Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Top pick: Galaxy Entertainment (27 HK). Jan 24 GGR rose 4% mom. Accordi...
We expect to see sustained growth in premium mass markets in 2024, following the 12% qoq mass GGR per visitor growth in 4Q23, thanks to premium players’ strong spending power and upgraded new facilities as attractions. We believe the opex hike expectations for 2024, for which we foresee only a moderate growth, and recent salary hike announcements should have been fully digested by the market. Top pick remains Galaxy. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: January Conviction Calls: We add the potential beneficiaries of the upcoming CNY festival − Galaxy Entertainment and Trip.com − to our BUY list, but include SELL calls on BYD and Geely due to the subsidy reduction. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Underperformance in 4Q23 and 2023: Our picks are MAPI, BMRI, JSMR, TLKM, BBNI, CTRA, MYOR and AKRA. MALAYSIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Domestic Event Winners: Our Alpha Picks outperformed the KLCI in Dec 23. Jan 24 pick...
The HSI was flat in Dec 23 but the MSCI China fell 2.6% mom. Despite the announcement of new policy support and prospects of US rate cuts in 2024, investors sold into strength following weaker macro data. With MSCI China trading at 9.0x 12-month forward PE, we expect most negatives to have been priced in. We add the potential beneficiaries of the CNY festival − Galaxy Entertainment and Trip.com − to our BUY list, but include SELL calls on BYD and Geely due to the subsidy cut.
The Chinese economy will see a gradual climb higher in 2024, hitting 4% yoy growth, with private consumption providing much of the heavy lifting. Policy easing will be incremental, focusing on the real estate sector and local government financing. Until these issues are resolved, PE expansion will be limited. Thus, EPS growth will be the key driver, with an index target of 67.3pt. Our focus is on smart consumption, premiumisation and turnaround stocks, staying negative on the auto sector.
The Chinese economy will see a gradual climb higher in 2024, hitting 4% yoy growth, with private consumption providing much of the heavy lifting. Policy easing will be incremental, focusing on the real estate sector and local government financing. Until these issues are resolved, PE expansion will be limited. Thus, EPS growth will be the key driver and our index target is at 67.3pt. Our focus is on smart consumption, premiumisation and turnaround stocks. Staying the course. The Central Financ...
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