GFPT posted a core profit of Bt664m in 2Q25, rising 18.15% yoy and 5.74% qoq. The earnings exceeded both our and consensus estimates by 12.5%, driven by a robust gross margin. We expect 2H25 earnings to rise hoh on lower raw material costs and more high-margin exports. However, we remain cautious on the Cambodian labour issues. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt15.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt24.50/Target: Bt29.50) 2Q25: Better-than-expected earnings. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt113.00/Target: Bt125.00) 2Q25: Results beat expectations, with yield remaining impressive. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt15.50) 2Q25: Earnings beat expectations on solid profitability. Hana Microelectronics (HANA TB/HOLD/Bt22.60/Target: Bt20.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Yoy growth of China’s PEV sales turns negative; lithium price recovers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$18.95/Target: HK$42.00) 2Q25: Core earnings surge 93% yoy, in line; raise target price to HK$42.00. Maintain BUY. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$15.67/Target: HK$17.84) ...
GFPT reported a core profit for 1Q25 of Bt628m, up 42% yoy and 102% qoq, exceeding consensus expectations by 20% thanks to strong gross margin and share of profit. We expect 2Q25 earnings to be flat qoq due to lower raw material costs, but this could be offset by lower carcass prices and lower share of profit. However, GFPT’s valuation remains undemanding at 6x 2025F PE. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt13.40.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt38.00/Target: Bt45.00) 1Q25: Soft results, but better than expected; likely to see a strong rebound in 2Q25. COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt21.20/Target: Bt29.50) 1Q25: Better-than-expected earnings. CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt51.50/Target: Bt79.00) 1Q25: Stronger-than-expected earnings. GFPT Plc. (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt9.80/Target: Bt13.40) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...
GFPT reported a core profit of Bt311m for 4Q24, down 23% yoy and 45% qoq due to a lower-than-expected share of profit. Its overall operations remain resilient with strong export volume. Looking forward, we expect 2025 earnings to decline by 12.7% yoy. However, its share price has already factored in a PE de-rating, trading at a deep discount at 6.6x 2025F PE. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt13.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt36.50/Target: Bt45.00) 4Q24: Above expectations; earnings projected to outperform peers’ in 2025. Bangchak Sriracha (BSRC TB/BUY/Bt4.94/Target: Bt8.00) 4Q24: Results in line with expectations. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt9.15/Target: Bt13.00) 4Q24: Earnings miss expectations; deep discount valuation. True Corporation (TRUE TB/BUY/Bt12.80/Target: Bt14.50) 4Q24: Results below our...
GFPT reported a net profit of Bt542m for 3Q24, up 70% yoy but down 7% qoq, in line with our and market estimates. The strong 3Q24 results were driven by higher export volume and gross margin. Looking forward, we foresee a stronger-than-expected 4Q24 earnings momentum. However, we still expect 2025 earnings to decline 17.5% yoy. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt13.00.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt8.60/Target: Bt11.30) 3Q24: Results meet expectations; strong backlog supports 4Q24 earnings. Bangkok Dusit Medical Services (BDMS TB/BUY/Bt26.50/Target: Bt33.00) 3Q24: Record-high earnings delivered. BTG TB (BTG TB/BUY/Bt20.10/Target: Bt24.20) 3Q24: Earnings in line. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt10.80/Target: Bt13.00) 3Q24: Earnings in line; strong 4Q24 ea...
GREATER CHINA Small-mid Cap Highlight Modern Dental (3600 HK/NOT RATED/HK$3.68): Leading global provider of dental prosthetics devices. INDONESIA Update Indocement Tunggal Prakarsa (INTP IJ/BUY/Rp7,050/Target: Rp7,800): Expect earnings to recover 8.1% in 2025. Upgrade to BUY. MALAYSIA Results Hartalega Holdings (HART MK/BUY/RM3.32/Target: RM3.66): 2QFY25: Weak headline numbers due to forex losses, but operating matrixes chart strong growth. Maintain BUY with unchanged target price of RM3.66. H...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: PV sales down 4.8% yoy, missing estimates. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL, Desay SV, and Geely. Top SELL: GAC. INDONESIA Update Bank Central Asia (BBCA IJ/BUY/Rp10,850/Target: Rp12,000) Strong loan growth continues; asset quality remains solid. MALAYSIA Update SD Guthrie (SDG MK/HOLD/RM4.88/Target: RM4.75) Plantatio...
GFPT reported a net profit of Bt583m for 2Q24, up 67% yoy and 25% qoq, exceeding than our and market expectations by 11% and 9% respectively. The strong 2Q24 earnings were due to a higher gross profit margin and share of profit. Looking forward, we expect less exciting earnings momentum in 2H24 as we expect 3Q24 earnings to decline qoq but improve yoy. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt15.40.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Amata Corporation (AMATA TB/BUY/Bt23.50/Target: Bt30.00) 2Q24: Earnings below expectations; positive earnings outlook in 2H24. AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt7.85/Target: Bt11.30) 2Q24: Results within expectations; expect 3Q24 earnings to improve qoq. Bangkok Expressway and Metro (BEM TB/BUY/Bt7.75/Target: Bt11.60) 2Q24: Earnings in line. Banpu PCL (BANPU TB/HOLD/Bt4.60/Target: Bt5.00) ...
GFPT reported strong 1Q24 core earnings of Bt441m, up 86% yoy and 9% qoq, higher than our and market forecasts by 6-9%. The key drivers were from higher export volume, gross margin and share of profit. For 2Q24, we expect to see continuous yoy earnings growth on the back of better gross margin and share of profit. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt14.40.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt41.25/Target: Bt52.00) 1Q24: Results beat expectations; attractive long-term growth outlook. GFPT Plc. (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt12.60/Target: Bt14.40) 1Q24: Strong yoy earnings growth. LPN Development (LPN TB/SELL/Bt3.48/Target: Bt2.40) 1Q24: Results beat expectations but remain below the desired level. Major Cineplex (MAJOR TB/BUY/Bt14.80/Target: Bt18.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: May Conviction Call Adding CR Beer, Crystal, Geely, Haier, Kuaishou, Ningbo Tuopu, Pinduoduo, Shenzhou, and Tencent to our BUY list, closing out SELL calls. Small-Mid Cap Monthly Reiterate BUY on Crystal International. Sector Automobile Weekly: EV sales pick up; take...
GFPT’s 4Q23 net profit increased 27% qoq, exceeding our and market estimates by 12% and 8% respectively. The key drivers were gross margin improvement and a higher share of profit. We still expect 1Q24 earnings momentum to be resilient on the back of strong chicken export orders and a recovery in chicken carcass prices. We expect GFPT to deliver a slight yoy growth in 2024 from a high base. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt14.40.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results AP Thailand (AP TB/BUY/Bt10.90/Target: Bt13.50) 4Q23: Results in line; targets to grow presales and revenue in 2024 despite challenges. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt11.70/Target: Bt14.40) 4Q23: Better-than-expected results; resilient momentum in 1Q24. Muangthai Capital (MTC TB/HOLD/Bt43.50/Target: Bt40.00) 4Q23: Earnings beat market expectation. Supalai (SPALI TB/BUY/Bt19.80/Target: Bt24.20) 4Q23: Results exceed expectation, expect to see a recovery in 2024
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