Company Results | GFPT (GFPT TB/HOLD/Bt10.10/Target: Bt11.00) GFPT reported a 4Q25 core profit of Bt494m (+59% yoy but -31% qoq). The results exceeded our and the market’s expectations. 2025’s net profit was Bt2,439m (+23.51%), while core profit stood at Bt2,441m (+30% yoy). Expect unexciting earnings momentum in 2026 due to global competition and lower gross profit margin yoy. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Bt11.00 (previously Bt13.50).
Top Stories Company Results | GFPT (GFPT TB/HOLD/Bt10.10/Target: Bt11.00) GFPT reported a 4Q25 core profit of Bt494m (+59% yoy but -31% qoq). The results exceeded our and the market’s expectations. 2025’s net profit was Bt2,439m (+23.51%), while core profit stood at Bt2,441m (+30% yoy). Expect unexciting earnings momentum in 2026 due to global competition and lower gross profit margin yoy. Downgrade to HOLD with a lower target price of Bt11.00 (previously Bt13.50). Company Results | PTT (PTT...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile As of mid-Feb 26, over 20 Chinese provinces and cities have announced 2026 vehicle purchase subsidy schemes, aligning with the national policy that shifted to percentage-based subsidies (favouring mid-range to high-end vehicles) from 2025’s fixed amounts. This supports premium segments and market stability but may not fully counter the new 5% EV tax. 2026 PV sales forecast: 30.4m units (+3% yoy); PEV sales: 18.2m units (+19% yoy). Maintain MARKET WEIG...
Company Update | GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt9.80/Target: Bt13.50) We expect GFPT to post a 4Q25 core profit of Bt460m, up 48% yoy but down 35% qoq. Gross margin is projected to normalise, coming in at 14.8% in 4Q25, up yoy but down qoq. Looking ahead, we expect 1Q26 earnings to recover qoq, driven by higher livestock ASPs during the Chinese New Year and the low raw material costs of stock inventories. Maintain BUY on GFPT with a lower target price of Bt13.50 (previously Bt15.00).
Top Stories Company Update | GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt9.80/Target: Bt13.50) We expect GFPT to post a 4Q25 core profit of Bt460m, up 48% yoy but down 35% qoq. Gross margin is projected to normalise, coming in at 14.8% in 4Q25, up yoy but down qoq. Looking ahead, we expect 1Q26 earnings to recover qoq, driven by higher livestock ASPs during the Chinese New Year and the low raw material costs of stock inventories. Maintain BUY on GFPT with a lower target price of Bt13.50 (previously Bt15.00). Company...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property In 2025, CR Land and COLI saw 15-20% yoy profit declines and Longfor’s core profit may turn from positive to negative due to weak DP margins. For 2026, the outlook remains constrained, though as it is the first year of the 15th Five-Year Plan, SOEs are expected to have clearer growth targets. In Jan 26, new-home sales in 28 major cities fell 40% yoy, while second-hand transactions in three Tier 1 cities declined 4% yoy. Maintain UNDERWEIGHT, but we se...
Greater China Sector Update | China Property Demand stayed weak in Nov 25, with new-home sales in 28 cities down 42% yoy and second hand home prices in most cities falling. Land auctions in Shanghai and Hangzhou cooled, with most plots near reserve prices. We maintain UNDERWEIGHT on China property, with CR Land as our top pick for its consistent earnings outperformance. Sector Update | Macau Gaming Macau’s Nov 25 GGR reached MOP 21.1b, down 12% mom but up 14% yoy, and recovering to 92% o...
Company Results | GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt10.30/Target: Bt15.00) GFPT reported a 3Q25 core profit of Bt710m up 26% yoy and 7% qoq, primarily driven by a strong gross profit margin as the company benefitted from low raw material costs. The outlook for 4Q25 remains strong, supported by an expected improvement in export volume and low raw material costs. Maintain BUY on GFPT with a target price of Bt15.00.
Top Stories Company Results | Betagro (BTG TB/BUY/Bt16.70/Target: Bt20.00) Betagro’s 3Q25 core profit was reported at Bt1,180m (up 14% yoy, but down 54% qoq). The key pressure on 3Q25 earnings qoq was a lower gross margin due to softer swine prices. We observe an upward trend in domestic swine prices in Nov 25 and expect the trend to continue into 1H26. Upgrade to BUY with a higher target price of Bt20.00. Company Results | CP Axtra (CPAXT TB/BUY/Bt20.00/Target: Bt24.00) 3Q25 earnings are we...
Greater China Strategy | Alpha Picks: November Conviction Calls HSI and MSCI China fell 3.5%/4.0% mom in October, dragged by renewed US-China trade tensions and lack of fresh policy signals from the 4th Plenum. We remain constructive in the medium term but expect further consolidation as uncertainties persist. The best performer among our picks was SELL-rated Li Auto (+21.4% mom). For November, we rotate into oversold names with near-term upside: add AIA, LINK REIT, NAURA, Pinduoduo, PICC P&...
Company Update | GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt10.30/Target: Bt15.00) We expect GFPT to post 3Q25 earnings of Bt675m (+5.2% qoq, +24.6% yoy), outperforming its farm operator peers. The growth was driven by low raw material costs and strong export volumes, despite the rainy season and also labour shortages in Cambodia. The 4Q25 outlook remains strong despite the low season for exports, supported by an anticipated rise in chicken prices due to seasonality and low raw material prices. Maintain BUY with a l...
Top Stories Sector Update | Banking Banks under our coverage reported a combined net profit of Bt62.2b, up 14% yoy and 10% qoq, beating our expectation by 23% and the market's estimate by 13%. The key reason it exceeded expectations was an investment income that surpassed forecasts. All banks have reiterated their focus on asset quality and clean loan portfolios. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Our top picks are KBANK and KTB. Company Update | Berli Jucker (BJC TB/BUY/Bt19.70/Target: Bt24.00) BJ...
Greater China Sector Update | Automobile The escalating China-US trade tensions have triggered a dual crisis in chips and rare earth, potentially disrupting the global auto supply chain like that seen in 2021-22. China's auto sector sees short-term gains from domestic prioritisation but long-term risks. Chinese auto part companies may see a revenue loss in 4Q25 if the issue is not resolved in a month. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT. Top BUYs: CATL and Geely. Top SELLs: BYD and Li Auto. Sector Upda...
GFPT posted a core profit of Bt664m in 2Q25, rising 18.15% yoy and 5.74% qoq. The earnings exceeded both our and consensus estimates by 12.5%, driven by a robust gross margin. We expect 2H25 earnings to rise hoh on lower raw material costs and more high-margin exports. However, we remain cautious on the Cambodian labour issues. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt15.50.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt24.50/Target: Bt29.50) 2Q25: Better-than-expected earnings. Electricity Generating (EGCO TB/BUY/Bt113.00/Target: Bt125.00) 2Q25: Results beat expectations, with yield remaining impressive. GFPT (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt10.10/Target: Bt15.50) 2Q25: Earnings beat expectations on solid profitability. Hana Microelectronics (HANA TB/HOLD/Bt22.60/Target: Bt20.00) ...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile Weekly: Yoy growth of China’s PEV sales turns negative; lithium price recovers. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: CATL, Geely and Tuopu. Results Geely Auto (175 HK/BUY/HK$18.95/Target: HK$42.00) 2Q25: Core earnings surge 93% yoy, in line; raise target price to HK$42.00. Maintain BUY. Hysan Development (14 HK/BUY/HK$15.67/Target: HK$17.84) ...
GFPT reported a core profit for 1Q25 of Bt628m, up 42% yoy and 102% qoq, exceeding consensus expectations by 20% thanks to strong gross margin and share of profit. We expect 2Q25 earnings to be flat qoq due to lower raw material costs, but this could be offset by lower carcass prices and lower share of profit. However, GFPT’s valuation remains undemanding at 6x 2025F PE. Maintain BUY. Target price: Bt13.40.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Bangchak Corporation (BCP TB/BUY/Bt38.00/Target: Bt45.00) 1Q25: Soft results, but better than expected; likely to see a strong rebound in 2Q25. COM7 (COM7 TB/BUY/Bt21.20/Target: Bt29.50) 1Q25: Better-than-expected earnings. CP ALL (CPALL TB/BUY/Bt51.50/Target: Bt79.00) 1Q25: Stronger-than-expected earnings. GFPT Plc. (GFPT TB/BUY/Bt9.80/Target: Bt13.40) ...
GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property & Hong Kong Landlord Tariffs curtail US rate cuts, thereby hindering the recovery of Hong Kong property and tourism; Maintain OVERWEIGHT on China property. INDONESIA Strategy Alpha Picks: Outperform In Mar 25 Remove BBNI, BBRI, ASII, JSMR and KLBF; add BBCA, ICBP, ERAA and BUKA. MALAYSIA Update Pekat Group (PEKAT MK/BUY/RM1.08/Target: RM1.45) Good earnings visibility over 2025...
GREATER CHINA Sector Automobile: Weekly: PV sales rebound wow but remain low due to wait-and-see sentiment. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay. Renewable Energy: Solar energy equipment: Policy-driven installation rush to support prices; milder module shipment growth in 2025. Results Alibaba Group (9988 HK/BUY/HK$120.90/Target: HK$150.00): 3QFY25: CMR beat; all-in AI; capex in next three years to exceed that of the past decade. Lenovo Group (992 HK/BUY/HK...
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