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Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Golden Week -- Modest Consumption Trend With S...

We observed the following trends in holiday consumption: a) jewellery performed well on rising gold prices; b) retail and catering consumption was modest, with growth decelerating from that during the 2025 Spring Festival and Labour Day; c) specialty retail (duty-free) saw per capita spending improve; and d) consumers continued to show enthusiasm for tourism and leisure spending, with domestic long-haul travel and outbound travel gaining popularity. The lower-than-expected Macau visitor arrivals...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Ministry Of Commerce Issues Plan To Expand Ser...

On 16 Sep 25, the Ministry of Commerce and eight other government departments jointly issued a plan to expand service consumption. This plan introduces 19 measures focusing on five areas. We highlight IP-related consumption and tourism as the two primary themes positioned to benefit the most. In addition, the government plans to optimise student vacation schedules by exploring the possibility of shortening winter and summer vacations while introducing spring and autumn vacations to increase the ...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: 2Q25/1H25 Results Wrap-up

In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are committed to enhancing shareholder returns. W...

Audrey Celia ... (+10)
  • Audrey Celia
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Lester Siew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Willinoy Sitorus

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, September 10, 2025

Greater China Sector Updates | Consumer In 2Q25/1H25, among 22 companies under our coverage, 9 beat / 7 inline or mixed / 6 missed. We observed: a) Deflation persists. b) Companies with more diversified product portfolios, along with product offerings ridding on the emerging consumption trends, stay constructive. c) Companies are expanding into new consumption channels. d) Sectors supported by monetised policy stimulus continue to demonstrate robust domestic sales in 3Q25. e) Companies are c...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH): 2Q25: On track to achieve full-year targe...

Moutai reported 1H25 revenue growth of 9% yoy, on track to fulfil its full-year growth target. In 2Q25, revenue from Moutai liquor was up 11% yoy while revenue from series liquor was down 7% yoy. Although Moutai has implemented channel control measures to stabilise wholesale prices since Jun 25, wholesale prices have remained under pressure. Looking ahead, we expect the pressure to persist into 2H25 due to China’s anti-extravagance policies. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of Rmb1,72...

Ejann Hiew ... (+6)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Ming San Soong
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, August 13, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$40.18/Target: HK$45.00) Galaxy’s 2Q25 normalised EBITDA rose 7% qoq. In 2Q25, the lower hold rate led to a modest mass market share gain. However, the hold rate has been normalising qtd. With Capella’s opening, management expects reinvestments efficiency to be optimised further amid intense market competition. The company declared an interim dividend of HK$0.70, implying a payout ratio of 58%, and management expects the payout rat...

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+16)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jo Yee Ng
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Lester Siew
  • Ming San Soong
  • Posmarito Pakpahan
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanapon Cholkadidamrongkul
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, August 13, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results Galaxy Entertainment Group (27 HK/BUY/HK$40.18/Target: HK$45.00) 2Q25: Normalised EBITDA up 7% qoq; expects reinvestment efficiency to optimise. Increased dividend payout to remain sustainable. Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH/BUY/Rmb1,437.04/Target: Rmb1,722.00) 2Q25: On track to achieve full-year target; expect wholesale price pressure to persist into 2H25. Tencent Music Entertainment Group (1698 HK/BUY/HK$88.30/Target: HK$105.00) ...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Consumer: Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sal...

During the Labour Day holiday (1-5 May), Macau's visitor arrivals significantly beat the government's expectation. Retail and catering sales showed a modest improvement in terms of yoy growth compared with the Chinese New Year holiday, while home appliance sales continued to benefit from the trade-in programme, with premium products demonstrating robust growth. Maintain OVERWEIGHT on the China consumer sector. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai.

Adrian Loh Tzum Yung ... (+15)
  • Adrian Loh Tzum Yung
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Jack Goh Tooan Orng
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Kasemsun Koonnara
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Tanaporn Visaruthaphong
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Meeting Notes: Wednesday, May 07, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy China And Hong Kong Property Market watch around May holiday: New-home sales recovery weakens in Apr 25; the trend of Hong Kong resident travelling north remains strong. Sector Consumer Strong Macau visitations and robust home appliance sales during Labour Day Holiday. INDONESIA Initiate Coverage Aneka Tambang (ANTM IJ/BUY/Rp2,540/Target:...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00688 CHINA OVERSEAS LAND & INVESTMENT LIMITED
00683 KERRY PROPERTIES LIMITED
00016 SUN HUNG KAI PROPERTIES LIMITED
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
5168 HARTALEGA HOLDINGS BHD.
PTT PTT PUBLIC COMPANY LIMITED
ANTM PT ANEKA TAMBANG TBK
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
01109 CHINA RESOURCES LAND LIMITED
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
B8O YANGZIJIANG SHIPBUILDING (HOLDINGS) LTD.
SCNR SUNAC CHINA HOLDINGS LTD.
RLF LONGFOR GROUP HOLDINGS LTD.
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
CPN CENTRAL PATTANA PUBLIC CO. LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
GAM GAMUDA BHD
KPJ KPJ HEALTHCARE BERHAD
MYEG MY EG SERVICES BHD
HEIM HEINEKEN MALAYSIA BHD
BANPU TB BANPU
ECW ECO WORLD DEVELOPMENT GROUP
HLBANK HONG LEONG BANK BHD
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
TDC TIME DOTCOM BHD
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MPM MARCO POLO MARINE LTD
00017 NEW WORLD DEVELOPMENT CO. LTD.
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
STM SEATRIUM LTD
PEKAT PEKAT GROUP BHD
Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH): 1Q25: Revenue growth tracked ahead of the...

Moutai’s 1Q25 revenue increased 11% yoy, tracking ahead of its full-year growth target of 9%. By product, revenue of Moutai liquor rose 10% yoy, while revenue of series liquor grew much faster at 18% yoy. By end-1Q25, contract liabilities decreased 8% both yoy and qoq. Maintain BUY with an unchanged target price of Rmb1,722.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+13)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Greater China Daily: Wednesday, April 30, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/HOLD/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.00) CCB delivered disappointing 1Q25 results as net profit declined 4.0%, dragged by NIM compression and tepid fee income. Furthermore, revenue growth was no longer supported by trading gains, as yields rebounded during 1Q25. Asset quality was a silver lining as CCB highlighted the sequential improvement in the retail and property developer segments. Management also noted that tariff risk is manageable in terms of...

Arsit Pamaranont ... (+18)
  • Arsit Pamaranont
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Benyamin Mikael
  • Chong Lee Len
  • Claire Wang Kelai
  • Colin Lee
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • John Cheong Ming Chern
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Kong Ho Meng
  • Lester Siew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Ziv Ang Sze Champ

Regional Morning Notes - Wednesday, April 30, 2025

GREATER CHINA Results China Construction Bank (939 HK/HOLD/HK$6.79/Target: HK$7.00): 1Q25: Earnings miss due to weaker NIM and fee income; tariff risk is limited. Downgrade to HOLD. China Longyuan Power (916 HK/HOLD/HK$6.10/Target: HK$6.60): 1Q25: In line; cautious outlook amid rising curtailment rates and upcoming policy shift. China Merchants Bank (3968 HK/BUY/HK$44.50/Target: HK$49.00): 1Q25: Earnings down 2.1% yoy on weaker trading gains. Estun Automation (002747 CH/SELL/Rmb19.17/Target: Rmb...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: Politburo meeting: Emphasising income improvem...

The Politburo meeting held on 25 April emphasised a more detailed focus on improving incomes and boosting service consumption. In the China consumer sector, we prefer companies that: a) demonstrate strong cost control capabilities and are able to enhance operational efficiencies; and b) focus primarily on the domestic market, given the ongoing uncertainties related to the US tariffs. Our top picks include CR Beer, Mengniu, and Moutai. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Kweichow Moutai (600519 CH): 2024: Results slightly above preliminary ...

2024 revenue was in line with the preliminary results announcement while net profit was slightly above. By end-4Q24, contract liabilities decreased 32% yoy and 3% qoq. For 2025, the company aims to achieve about 9% yoy growth in total revenue, which is in line with our forecasts. Moutai’s full-year dividend payout ratio was 75%, in line with its 2024-26 dividend payout plan. Maintain BUY. Cut target price by 4% to Rmb1,722.

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+10)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Daily: Thursday, April 3, 2025

KEY HIGHLIGHTS Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls The HSI and MSCI China index rose 0.8% mom and 2.0% mom respectively in March, after the DeepSeek fervour passed and investors locked in profits ahead of Trump’s tariff announcement in early-April. In the face of geopolitical uncertainties and potential trade war escalations, we will keep our exposure to companies reliant on domestic demand and beneficiaries of policy support. New additions to our BUY list are CR Beer, Desay SV, JBM H...

Bella Lu Yifei ... (+16)
  • Bella Lu Yifei
  • Benjaphol Suthwanish
  • Colin Lee
  • Damon Shen
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Greater China Research Team
  • Jieqi Liu
  • Johnny Yum Chung Man
  • Ken Lee
  • Kitpon Praipaisarnkit
  • Malaysia Research Team
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Singapore Research Team
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Vincent Khoo Boo Aik

Regional Morning Notes - Thursday, April 03, 2025

GREATER CHINA Strategy Alpha Picks: April Conviction Calls: Add CR Beer, Desay, JBM Healthcare, JD Logistics, Minth, WuXi App Tech and Xiaomi Corp to our BUY list. Take profit on AIA, Hansoh Pharma, JD and Zijin Mining. Sector Automobile: Weekly: Solid growth in PV sales. Maintain MARKET WEIGHT on the sector. Top BUYs: Geely, CATL, Fuyao and Desay SV. IT Hardware: AI devices and AI robots to remain as key investment theme throughout 2025. Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Property Management: 2024 results wr...

Ejann Hiew ... (+3)
  • Ejann Hiew
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

Greater China Consumer: The State Council issued a plan on special ini...

On 16 March, the State Council issued a plan on special initiatives to boost consumption, aiming to increase spending power by increasing income and reducing financial burdens, generate effective demand through high-quality supply, and improve the consumption environment to strengthen consumers’ willingness to spend. In the China consumer sector, we prefer Anta, CR Beer, Galaxy, Haier, Mengniu, Midea, Miniso and Yili. Maintain OVERWEIGHT.

Carol Dou Xiao Qin ... (+15)
  • Carol Dou Xiao Qin
  • Desmond Chong Chee Wai
  • Heidi Mo Jinghui
  • Jack Lai Yuan Khai
  • Jonathan Koh
  • Julia Pan Mengyao
  • Kampon Akaravarinchai
  • Kenny Yong Hui Lim
  • Llelleythan Tan Tan
  • Ming San Soong
  • Roy Chen Chengzhi
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting
  • Sunny Chen
  • Wei Xiang Ku

Regional Morning Notes - Monday, January 27, 2025

GREATER CHINA Sector Aviation Airlines: The three major airlines’ 2024 preliminary earnings estimates were below expectations – still loss-making. Healthcare TCM: GPO price pressure continues to cloud 2025’s growth outlook. Consumer CNY preview: Expect home appli...

02313 SHENZHOU INTERNATIONAL GROUP HOLDINGS LIMITED
AS7 ANTA SPORTS PRODUCTS LTD.
00291 CHINA RESOURCES BEER (HOLDINGS) CO. LTD.
CPF CHAROEN POKPHAND FOODS PUBLIC CO. LTD.
600132 CHONGQING BREWERY CO.LTD CLASS A
000858 WULIANGYE YIBIN CO. LTD. CLASS A
600809 SHANXI XINGHUACUN FEN WINE FACTORY CO. LTD. CLASS A
EZQ CHINA MENGNIU DAIRY CO. LTD.
02331 LI NING COMPANY LIMITED
01299 AIA GROUP LIMITED
N2IU MAPLETREE COMMERCIAL TRUST
AJBU KEPPEL DC REIT
600519 KWEICHOW MOUTAI CO. LTD. CLASS A
600887 INNER MONGOLIA YILI INDUSTRIAL GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
00027 GALAXY ENTERTAINMENT GROUP LIMITED
C52 COMFORTDELGRO CORPORATION LIMITED
600872 JONJEE HI-TECH INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL HOLDING CO. LTD. CLASS A
601888 CHINA TOURISM GROUP DUTY FREE CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS A
5162 VSTECS
599A SANDS CHINA LTD.
000333 MIDEA GROUP CO. LTD. CLASS A
603288 FOSHAN HAITIAN FLAVOURING & FOOD CO. LTD. CLASS A
0168 TSINGTAO BREWERY CO. LTD. CLASS H
AD2 AIR CHINA LIMITED CLASS H
1055 CHINA SOUTHERN AIRLINES COMPANY LIMITED CLASS H
0670 CHINA EASTERN AIRLINES CORPORATION LIMITED CLASS H
06862 HAIDILAO INTERNATIONAL HOLDING LTD.
CAB CARLSBERG BREWERY MALAYSIA B
CPALL TB CP ALL
2877 CHINA SHINEWAY PHARMACEUTICA
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC CLASS A
1368 XTEP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS
01876 BUDWEISER BREWING CO. APAC LTD.
6186 CHINA FEIHE LTD
MNSO MINISO GROUP HOLDING ADS (N SHARES)
2209 YESASIA HOLDINGS LTD
06690 HAIER SMART HOME CO. LTD. CLASS H
09922 JIUMAOJIU INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS LTD.
09888 BAIDU INC
123F 123FAHRSCHULE SE
EPIC 1CM INC
Z29 029 GROUP SE
VST VSTECS BHD
Shirley Wang Xueyi ... (+2)
  • Shirley Wang Xueyi
  • Stella Guo Yuting

China Baijiu: Industry remains under pressure; conservative tone towar...

We believe the baijiu industry will remain under pressure in 2025, given the ongoing macro headwinds. Against this backdrop, baijiu companies remain relatively conservative toward 2025, while they prioritise maintaining channel healthiness and stabilising wholesale prices as their key tasks. We lower the 2025 revenue and earnings forecasts for our baijiu coverage by 5-8%/5-9%. Downgrade the baijiu sector to UNDERWEIGHT.

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