reports
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
Suspension of Coverage
From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
ADS ADIDAS AG
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
OR L'OREAL SA
KER KERING SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
SFL SAFILO GROUP S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
SFER SALVATORE FERRAGAMO S.P.A.
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
CFR RICHEMONT
BEI BEIERSDORF
BOSS HUGO BOSS
DHER DELIVERY HERO
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
EF ESSILORLUXOTTICA
UHR THE SWATCH GROUP
MC LVMH
- Cedric Rossi
Eyewear: what caught our eyes in Q1 publications
Against macro uncertainty and a fluid tariff backdrop, the O&E industry has played its defensive role with an average performance of +15% YTD (vs. soft luxury sample at -5% and sportswear at -11%), supported by reassuring Q1 publications, proactive tariff mitigation initiatives and reiterated F
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #69
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how increased consumer anxiety about tariffs leads to diverging trends be
- Cedric Rossi
Mister Spex: headed in the right direction
The call yesterday provided an opportunity for newly-appointed CEO Tobias Krauss to reiterate the main strategic measures of SpexFocus, which aims to stabilise and strengthen the group's operational performance this year and eventually lead to scalable and profitable growth from 2026 onwards. Reass
- Cedric Rossi
Mister Spex: reassuring Q1 numbers
Mister Spex has posted reassuring Q1 numbers this morning, with sales performance in line and stronger-than-expected margin delivery, including a 440bp-expansion in the GM. Albeit negative, FCF was close to B/E point, -EUR1.5m, thanks to positive operating CF and lower capex, leading to a NCP pre-I
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #67
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the largest beauty groups in the world. Happy reading!
- Loic Morvan
LVMH Q1 worse than expected
Q1 sales momentum at LVMH was softer than anticipated with a 3% organic sales decline vs stable sales expected by the consensus. Q1 2025 faced a still-demanding comparison basis (+3% in Q1 2024 vs +1% over FY 2024). In view of the Q1 sales release, we revise our 2025-26 earnings downwards by 9% wit
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #66
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the correlation between robust financial markets and healthy US consumer
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #65
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the impacts of US tariffs and potential retaliation strategies by foreign
- Cedric Rossi
- Loic Morvan
Luxury goods: The trend should gradually improve in 2025 after a chall...
After a poor 2024 vintage, we expect a gradual recovery during 2025, which will nevertheless remain a soft year as we anticipate an average sales increase of just 4% for our luxury groups sample (+3% excluding Hermès). Q1 is set to be challenging with a 1% average sales decline (-2% excluding Hermès
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #64
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at accelerating trends in European corporate earnings relative to those in t
- Cedric Rossi
Mister Spex: all eyes on execution of "SpexFocus" plan
When MRX announced its SpexFocus plan last summer, we commented that its initiatives would bring short-term pains before delivering long-term gains. In 2025, these short-term pains will be visible at the revenue level, while margins and FCF should show a sequential improvement thanks to the SpexFoc
- Cedric Rossi
Mister Spex: Reassuring FY24 numbers; priority for FY25 is margin impr...
Mister Spex reported this morning in-line FY sales of EUR217m (-3% YoY) reflecting the Group's decision to close all its nine International stores. On the positive side, FY aEBITDA of -EUR5.8m was less negative than anticipated by the market (-EUR7.1m). For FY25, i.e. "discount detox" and the negat
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #63
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how sub-sectors within our Consumer coverage have fared since the beginni
- Cedric Rossi
US eyewear: black tariff clouds looming over consumers
In our last report a month ago ("Trumping tariffs"), we were relatively optimistic as Donald Trump had only added a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and implemented a 30-day pause on tariffs for imports from Mexico and Canada. However, the situation has darkened since an additional 10% tariff has been
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #62
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's trade war is negatively impacting US consumer sentiment. Happ
- Cedric Rossi
US eyewear: Trumping tariffs
With existing duties relatively low compared to other consumer categories, the potential new tariffs that could be imposed by incoming President Trump are naturally sparking concern across the US optical industry. At this stage, we are optimistic about the sector's ability to navigate tariffs: (i)
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #56
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how US tourism could drive European luxury sales, especially if Trump imp
- Cedric Rossi
Mister Spex: preliminary 2024 results broadly in line with guidance an...
Yesterday morning, Mister Spex unveiled preliminary Q4 numbers matching the company's guidance and expectations, reflecting good progress in the SpexFocus transformation programme and no negative surprises from its induced effects on the group's operating performance. Final FY24 results and FY25 ou
- Loic Morvan
LVMH 2024 EBIT below expectations but an encouraging start to the year
As expected, LVMH' 2024 results were not a good vintage, both at the top line and profitability levels. FY sales were stable on the whole (+1% in Q4) while EBIT margin declined 340bp to 23.1% (cs:24.1%). Nevertheless, we expect 2025 to be better with a 4% organic sales increase. Buy reiterated with
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