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ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 07/05/2024

Professional activities are a support factor for organic growth and the sales mix should boost profitability. The regularity and strength of FCF coupled with a sound balance sheet (ND/EBITDA 1.6x) are additional advantages for expanding through acquisitions. We are reiterating our Outperform opinion and our target price of € 140. - ...

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 05/07/2024

Les activités professionnelles constituent un facteur de soutien à la croissance organique et un mix favorable à la hausse de la profitabilité. La régularité et l’importance du FCF couplées à une situation bilancielle déjà saine (DN/EBITDA 1.6x) sont des atouts supplémentaires pour se renforcer par acquisition. Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance et OC à 140 € - ...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Sales in May 2024 > forecasts, driven by memory, we still prefe...

>Worldwide sales in May 2024 > forecasts, up 18.3% y-o-y vs +15.8% in April - Worldwide semiconductor sales in May 2024 were published by the WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics) the usual one-month lag. On a three-month moving average, they were $ 48.7bn, above our forecast of $ 47.3bn, revealing a sequential increase of 4.9% and a fresh improvement in annual growth to +18.3%, after 15.8% in April. Strong growth continues in memory, better in aut...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Ventes de mai 2024 > aux attentes tirées par la mémoire, nous m...

>Ventes mondiales de mai 2024 > aux attentes à 18.3% yoy vs +15.8% en avril - Les ventes mondiales de semiconducteurs de mai 2024 ont été publiées par WSTS (World Semiconductor Trade Statistics), avec (comme toujours) un mois de décalage. En donnée lissées (moyenne de 3 mois), elles ressortent à 48,7 Md$, supérieures à notre prévision à 47.3 Md$, Il s’agit d’une hausse en séquentiel de 4,9% et d’une nouvelle amélioration de la croissance annuelle à +18.3%, après 15.8%...

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

The AI PC, Part I: Arm in PCs – different this time?

Over the last few weeks, there have been several announcements related to AI PCs and new PC SoCs to power them, from Qualcomm (Arm) and AMD/Intel (x86). In this note, we look at the setup for Arm. Is there an opportunity to break through, or will the alternative architecture again hit ecosystem walls? In a second note, we will look at whether AI PCs could trigger a refresh cycle.

Farid Bitari ... (+4)
  • Farid Bitari
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas David
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : Generative AI: a genuine revolution, pending the next revolutio...

Our conviction on the long-term growth potential and opportunities of generative AI is renewed. The enabler sectors (semiconductors, software and IT services) and those that provide the infrastructure (utilities, metals, capital goods and real estate) will be the primary beneficiaries, leading us to make certain target price changes. Among AI ‘user’ sectors (media, healthcare, automotive, banking and insurance, oil services, defence, aerospace and airlines), the effects will doub...

INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LR LEGRAND SA
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
REL RELX PLC
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
RNO RENAULT SA
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
INF INFOTEL SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
AUB AUBAY SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
ATE ALTEN SA
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ENEL ENEL SPA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
ICAD ICADE SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
OREGE OREGE SA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
VACN VAT GROUP AG
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SAP SAP SE
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
SIE SIEMENS AG
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
REY REPLY S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
OVH OVH GROUPE
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
Farid Bitari ... (+4)
  • Farid Bitari
  • Ghada Ben Sedrine
  • Nicolas David
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO : L’IA générative, une véritable révolution, en attendant la proc...

Notre conviction sur le potentiel de croissance LT et d’opportunités de l’IA générative est renforcée. Les secteurs 'enablers' (semiconducteurs, software et IT services) et fournisseurs d’infrastructures (utilities, métaux, biens d'équipements et immobilier) en seront les premiers bénéficiaires, conduisant à certains changements d’OC. Parmi les secteurs ‘utilisateurs’ de l’IA (média, santé, automobile, banque et assurance, services pétroliers, défense, aéronautique et compagnies ...

INFINEON INFINEON TECHNOLOGIES AG
LR LEGRAND SA
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AG
REL RELX PLC
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
SU SCHNEIDER ELECTRIC SE
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
BNP BNP PARIBAS SA CLASS A
RNO RENAULT SA
ACN ACCENTURE PLC CLASS A
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
DAI DAIMLER AG
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
INF INFOTEL SA
GLE SOCIETE GENERALE S.A. CLASS A
NOKIA NOKIA OYJ
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
WKL WOLTERS KLUWER NV
AUB AUBAY SA
MRK MERCK KGAA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
ATE ALTEN SA
RWE RWE AG
SAN SANOFI
NEX NEXANS SA
VOW3 VOLKSWAGEN AG PREF
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
ENEL ENEL SPA
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
WPP WPP PLC
ICAD ICADE SA
SOI SOITEC SA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
NDA AURUBIS AG
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
PRY PRYSMIAN S.P.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
OREGE OREGE SA
SMHN SUESS MICROTEC AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
VACN VAT GROUP AG
SLR SOLARIA ENERGIA Y MEDIO AMBIENTE S.A.
IDR INDRA SISTEMAS S.A. CLASS A
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
SAP SAP SE
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
SIE SIEMENS AG
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
REY REPLY S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
SHL SIEMENS HEALTHINEERS AG
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
GRE GRENERGY RENOVABLES
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
OVH OVH GROUPE
ATCO A ATLAS COPCO AB
IOS IONOS GROUP SE
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Nvidia beat and raise, AI networking, AI PCs, Industrial semi cycle, a...

As always, during earnings season, we start the week with a wrap-up of what happened in the previous week.

Pierre FerraguÊ
  • Pierre FerraguÊ

Microsoft Build Conference. What did we learn?

Microsoft hosted the annual ‘Build’ conference from May 21st through the 23rd. In this note we share selected thoughts on some of the announcements.

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

Arm Holdings plc : Arm remains the key vehicle to play the growing com...

>Outperform rating reiterated, target price increased to $ 130 (vs $ 110) - We did a recap with the company a few days after the release of its Q4 2023-24 results and came away with confirmation that Arm is set to continue to grow at an average of 20% per year over the next three years. Growth, as we wrote in our report initiating coverage of the stock, stems from an accelerated architecture complexification process, driven initially by the acceleration in significant...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

Arm Holdings plc : Arm reste le véhicule clé pour jouer la complexific...

>Opinion Surperformance réitérée, OC relevé à 130 $ (vs 110 $) - Nous avons fait le point avec la société, quelques jours après la publication du T4 23/24, et ressortons confortés sur le fait que Arm devrait continuer de croître en moyenne de 20% par an sur les 3 prochains exercices. Cette croissance découle bien, comme nous l’avions indiqué lors de notre initiation, d’un process accéléré de complexification des architectures, tirée dans un 1er temps par l’accélérati...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 05/21/2024

After a more challenging start to the year for Stellantis, we take a closer look at the stakes for the upcoming CMD (13/06) and our expectations as regards strategic levers that we see as still underestimated and the (significant) potential we continue to see for shareholder returns (close to 100%e of the current market cap by 2030 according to our estimates). We therefore believe it is interesting to return to the stock (TP increased to € 30) ahead of the CMD and the H1 results relea...

Martin Marandon-Carlhian ... (+2)
  • Martin Marandon-Carlhian
  • Stephane Houri

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 21/05/2024

Après un début d’année plus difficile qu’anticipé pour le constructeur, nous revenons ici davantage en détail sur les enjeux du prochain CMD (13/06) et nos attentes, qu’il s’agisse de leviers stratégiques encore sous-estimés ou de potentiel (significatif) de retour à l’actionnaire (près de 100%e de la capitalisation boursière actuelle d’ici 2030). Ainsi, il nous semble intéressant de revenir sur le titre (OC relevé à 30 €) en amont du CMD et des résultats semestriels alors que Stellan...

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