The tariffs announced by the Trump administration in the last two weeks have resulted in major swings in the stock market and broader concerns regarding the global economy. We developed a framework to understand the situation and interpret its daily evolution last week and follow up today with an initial perspective on potential macro implications.
Swings observed in the last 10 days has been second to none. The Great Financial Crisis and Covid didn’t get us in a worst spot. Make no mistake: The markets are panicking today even more than when the world came to a COVID standstill, with the individual contributors to the vast majority of the world’s GDP locked down. How reasonable is that? Very little, in our view. The polarization of the political landscape has created a global brain freeze. Few analyses calmly assess the U.S. administrati...
Short Shots is a collection of technically vulnerable charts culled from the Negative Inflecting and Toppy columns within our Weekly Compass report or from various technical screening processes. The charts contained in this report have developed concerning technical patterns that suggest further price deterioration is likely. For these reasons Short Shots can also be a great source of ideas for investors interested in short-selling candidates.
We publish today our comprehensive quarterly bible: 240 pages of detailed analyses on what happened in the last 3 months, and how we interpret it, in light of our current convictions. The first section acts as a PM summary, outlining our key findings, and latest thoughts on the semi cycle, in 6 slides.
Our two-day 9th virtual TMT Forum was attended by 32 listed companies and 292 investors. The trends in media seem to point to a correct start to the year. Telecom players are optimistic on the regulatory front (intra-market consolidation). Software & IT services and semis continue to see mixed trends, apart from in AI and some hopes that a few companies will benefit from the rise of defence spending. In terms of companies, the main positive messages came from Auto1, CMCOM, Indra, Infineon, Telec...
We are hosting our 9th ODDO BHF TMT Forum virtually on 6 and 7 March 2025. In total, 34 companies will be presenting during the forum. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from companies on day 1. Out of the 21 feedbacks collected during the first day, 4 were clearly positive, and only 2 were negative. Among the positive names, we would particularly highlight Auto1, CMCOM, INDRA, KPN and Telecom Italia. Among the negative names, we would highlight Gamma and AT&S.
Today, we are publishing the Smartphones section of our 26th Tech Infrastructure Quarterly Bible. The Tech Bible is a must-read for any tech investor, as it summarizes the quarterly earnings reports from the over 140 companies we track, providing an update on our key perspectives and convictions. In the coming weeks we will publish sections on Automotive, Memory, Cloud Infrastructure, Telecom Equipment, Industrials, PCs, Enterprise IT, Ride sharing & Delivery, Foundry, and Semicap Equipment. Sh...
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